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Australia vs Japan, FIBA Women's Basketball World Cup 2026 Qualifying Tournament, Today Match Prediction

Turkcell Basketball Development Centre, Türkiye (TUR)

Can Japan Women bounce back against the mighty Aussies?

  • Australia Women are currently on a 10 match winning streak.
  • Japan Women are averaging 75 points per game in the last 10 matches.
  • Australia Women are averaging 85 points per game in the last 10 matches.

Tournament: FIBA Women's Basketball World Cup 2026 Qualifying Tournament | Venue: Turkcell Basketball Development Centre, Türkiye (TUR) | Tip Off: 17:00:00

Live Streaming: Courtside 1891

Australia Women to win and cover the spread (-11.5)

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Australia vs Japan Basteball Odds

Bookmaker Team A Team B
Parimatch 1.14 5.00

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Australia

Australia Women kickstart their qualifiers with a dominant 91-65, 26 point win over Argentina Women in their last match. Isobel Borlase was the top scorer with 19 points, where she shot 3/3 from the field and 3/5 from three point range and 4/5 from the free throw line. 

Ezi Magbegor scored 16 points, 7 rebounds and 2 assists in 22 minutes contributing on both ends of the floor, while Jade Melbourne scored 12 points. In the game Australia Women shot at 51% from field goals hitting 70% 2-point shots and 35.3% from 3-point range. 

On the defensive end they grabbed 39 rebounds, made 7 steals and blocked 2 shots. But the turnover ratio was a tad high where they gave away 15 turnovers and also committed 19 personal fouls. Though they gave away many turnovers but they also converted 19 points from their opponents mistakes. 

Japan

Japan Women had a disappointing start to their World Cup qualifiers where they lost to Hungary Women 65-77. Mai Yamamoto was the top scorer with 15 points, while Kokoro Tanka scored 13 points. Aika Hirashita was the other player to score past 10 points in the game for Japan, she finished with1 2 points. 

Japan were outdone in rebounding where they managed to snatch only 28 rebounds and also committed too many personal fouls near the rim (25 fouls) allowing Hungary to outscore them in free throw's. 

Their lack of efficiency scoring cost them big time in the opening fixture which they will look to rectify against Australia a side they lost to earlier in 2025 in the FIBA Women's Asia Cup 79-88. In five of the last six matches, Japan haven't started well in the first half's. 

Australia vs Japan Starting Lineups

Position Player Name
PG Jade Melbourne
SG Sami Whitcomb
SF Alana Smith
PF Cayla George
C Ezi Magbegor
Position Player Name
PG Kokoro Tanaka
SG Stephanie Mawuli
SF Maki Takada
PF Yuki Miyazawa
C Ramu Tokashiki

Australia Women square off against Japan Women in the round 2 clash of the FIBA Women's Basketball World Cup 2026 Qualifying Tournament on Thursday, 12th March. The venue for this match Group C clash is Turkcell Basketball Development Centre, Türkiye (TUR) and the scheduled start time is 5:00 PM IST. 

Head to Head Record: Japan Women has a slight edge over Australia Women in the last 10 matches, where Japan won six, while Australia won four. During this period, Australia Women on average scored 74 PPG, while Japan Women scored 75 PPG. 

Australia vs Japan Player Stats

Player Name Points Rebounds Assists Steals/Blocks
Ezi Magbegor 12.7 4.3 1 0.5/0.7
Kokoro Tanaka 13 2 2 2/0

Australia Women enter this contest as the favourites to win, they have dominated against Japan Women in recent years. Japan also coming in with a slightly new players gives the Aussies the much needed edge in this fixture.

Australia Women to win and cover the spread (-11.5)

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Author: Vishnu Reddy