France vs Iceland, FIBA Eurobasket 2025, Today Match Prediction

France vs Iceland Basteball Odds

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France

In a pivotal Group D clash in Katowice, France ended host Poland’s unbeaten run with an 83–76 win, setting the stage for the fight over top seeding.

Guerschon Yabusele exploded for a national-team career-high 36 points, going 6-of-12 from beyond the arc, plus 6 rebounds, 2 assists, and 2 blocks, earning TCL Player of the Game honors. His dunk in Q3 ignited a massive 27–8 run, lifting France to a commanding 68–55 lead. Off the boards, France dominated 23–10 on offensive rebounds, translating into 19–5 in second-chance points; they also edged Poland in points off turnovers (21–13) and paint points (40–30).  

France, currently 3-1 in Group D, is locked in a tight battle for top seeding with Israel and Poland. A strong win against Iceland in their next game will significantly bolster their point differential and positioning as they head into the Round of 16.

Iceland

Iceland remains winless at 0-4 in Group D after their recent defeat against Slovenia. With the defeat, they fail to qualify for the Round of 16 and will instead play out the final group game for pride.

Iceland pushed Slovenia deep into the final minutes in an 87–79 defeat, showcasing tenacity despite the scoreline. Martin Hermannsson stood out, tallying 22 points and 6 assists, while center Tryggvi Hlinason added 11 points and 14 rebounds, keeping Iceland competitive inside the paint.

Though trailing by 14 late in the third quarter, Iceland mounted a major comeback, closing to just 70–65 on a deep triple from Hermannsson. However, key turnovers, 20 in total, compared to Slovenia’s 8 proved costly, yielding 22 points off turnovers for Slovenia. They managed to outscore Slovenia in the paint (32-26), and grabbed 21 assists. Despite the loss, Iceland’s resilience earned respect. Their next matchup against France gives Iceland a chance to end the group stage on a high note and chase their first EuroBasket win ever.

France vs Iceland Starting Lineups

France vs Iceland Match Prediction & Analysis

France vs Iceland offers a clear contrast in depth and stakes. France will lean on Yabusele’s scoring and size to secure group seeding, while Iceland, winless, plays purely for pride. The match is slated to be played at Katowice, Spodek Arena, Poland and the scheduled start time is 05:30 PM, Local Time: 02:00 PM (GMT+2).

France vs Iceland Player Stats

FRANCE vs ICELAND
Winning Prediction

France are overwhelming favourites with superior depth, size and scoring balance. Iceland’s backcourt duo may keep it competitive early but over the four quarters France should win comfortably.

France to Win!

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