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Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks, NBA 2024-25 Season, Today Match Prediction

Kaseya Center, Miami

Heat look to stay in the play-in race, while Hawks aim for the 6th spot in the East

  • The Atlanta Hawks have won 37.8% of their games against the Miami Heat.
  • The Miami Heat average 103.2 points per game against the Atlanta Hawks.
  • In the last five h2h games, the Hawks won two games while the Heat won three games.

Tournament: NBA 2024-25 Season | Venue: Kaseya Center, Miami | Tip Off: 05:00:00

Live Streaming: NBA League Pass

Atlanta Hawks to Win!

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Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Basteball Odds

Bookmaker Team A Team B
1xBet 1.82 2.04
Stake.com 1.83 2.05

Teams Preview

Miami Heat

With a 31-41 record, the Miami Heat are currently 3rd in the Southeast division and 10th in the Eastern Conference. They are coming off a 112-86 win over the Golden State Warriors in their last outing. This was their second straight victory after having lost 10 games in a row. It was Jimmy Butler’s first game back in Miami after being traded to the Warriors last month.

Bam Adebayo led the team with 27 points, Tyler Herro scored 20 points and Alex Burks scored 18 for Miami, which never trailed. The Heat were 17 for 25 from 3-point range. Nikola Jovic, who missed Miami’s last 16 games, has gotten clearance, which means he could return at any time and help the team in their final push.

Offensively, Miami have been averaging 109.2 points per game and they emphasize ball movement and scoring in the mid-range. Their field goal percent have been averaging 46.0% and their three-point efficiency at 35.9%, showcasing their ability to stretch defenses effectively. They shoot 79.2% from the free throw line and 26.2 assists per game.

Defensively the Heat’s side averages 42.9 rebounds and 7.9 steals, allowing them to disrupt opponent plays and create chances. However, they are poor on the board, averaging only 3.8 blocks and committing 15.7 fouls per game, allowing opponents 110.3 points per game. Bam Adebayo, who has been averaging 17.5 points, 9.7 rebounds and 4.3 assists per game is expected to lead the offense for their upcoming match.

Miami Heat Player Props Predictions

Tyler Herro Total Points Over 22.5 1.81

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Atlanta Hawks

With a 35-37 record, the Atlanta Hawks are currently 1st in the Southeast division and 7th in the Eastern Conference. They are coming off a 114-121 loss against the Houston Rockets in their recent outing, which put an end to their three-game winning streak. The Hawks were just able to make 15 of 49 3-pointers against the Rockets and that’s not what a team trying to avoid the play-in tournament needed.

Dyson Daniels led the Hawks with 19 points, eight rebounds, 10 assists and four steals. Trae Young added 19 points and 12 assists for Atlanta, who have now lost 3 in their past 10 matches. They need to work on their defense, giving up nearly 119 points per game, which could be exploited if Miami is firing on all cylinders.

Offensively, the Hawks average 117.6 points per game and they shoot 46.9% from the field and 35.6% from three-point range. They average 29.4 assists per game, showing their playmaking abilities led by Trae Young. They convert 77.3% from the free throw line.

Defensively the Hawks have a poor defensive record, giving up 119.3 points per game. Although they are good at grabbing 44.6 rebounds, their poor defensive rebounding exposes a possible vulnerability in limiting opponents' second-chance scoring. Their ability to force 14.8 turnovers, 9.8 steals and 5.3 blocks per game, shows that they can create chances for the team while disrupting the opposing offense. Trae Young who leads the Hawks in points and assists per game will be expected to lead the offense. He has been the main scorer in the last four games, scoring 19 or more points in each.

Atlanta Hawks Player Props Predictions

Dyson Daniels Total Points Over 13.5 1.77

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Atlanta Hawks Spread Predictions

Hawks to Cover The Spread (+2.5) 1.84

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Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Starting Lineups

Position Player Name
PG Tyler Herro
SG Duncan Robinson
SF Andrew Wiggins
PF Bam Adebayo
C Kel'el Ware
Position Player Name
PG Trae Young
SG Dyson Daniels
SF Zaccharie Risacher
PF Mouhamed Gueye
C Onyeka Okongwu

For the 2024-2025 NBA regular season so far, the two teams have met three times. In which the Atlanta Hawks won two times. This means that the Hawks lead the series 2-1. In these three games the Heat have scored a total of 327 points (an average of about 109.0 points per game) while also conceding 327 points (an average of 109.0 points per game).

Miami Heat have won two of their past five home games, where they scored 107.2 on average. While the Atlanta Hawks have lost three of their past five road games, where they averaged 120.6 points per game.

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Over/Under Predictions

Total Match Points Over 225.5 1.84

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Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Player Stats

Player Name Points Rebounds Assists Steals/Blocks
Trae Young 24.1 3.2 11.4 1.1/0.2
Tyler Herro 23.4 5.2 5.6 0.9/0.2
Andrew Wiggins 18.2 4.4 2.6 1.0/0.9
Dyson Daniels 14.0 5.7 5.3 3.1/0.7

Based on overall record, head-to-head stats, the Atlanta Hawks are slightly favoured in this matchup. However, if Miami can take advantage of their home-court and their recent winning form, they surely have the ability to turn the tide and cause an upset.

Atlanta Hawks to Win!

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Author: Vishnu Reddy