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Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors, NBA 2024-25 Season, Today Match Prediction

Kaseya Center, Miami

Can the Warriors bounce back against the Heat?

  • Golden State Warriors won three of their last five away games.
  • Miami Heat lost four of their last five home games.
  • The average total match points in the last three h2h games between the Heat & Warriors is 211.

Tournament: NBA 2024-25 Season | Venue: Kaseya Center, Miami | Tip Off: 05:00:00

Live Streaming: NBA League Pass

Golden State Warriors to Win!

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Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Basteball Odds

Bookmaker Team A Team B
1xBet 2.75 1.48
Stake.com 2.76 1.48

Teams Preview

Miami Heat

Miami Heat currently stand at 10th place in the Eastern Conference with a 30-41 win-loss record. They are coming on the back of a 122-105 win over the Charlotte Hornets, putting an end to ther 10 game losing streak. The Heat's hopes of a play-in spot hang in the balance at the moment after their win over the Hornets as they look to build momentum heading into the final 12 games of the season. 

Against the Hornets Andrew Wiggins scored a game high 42 points, shooting 16-21 from the field and 6-8 from 3-point range. Tyler Herro with a 29 points game, found some shooting form. While Bam Adebayo continues to struggle in offensive production finishing with just 11 points. Scoring off the bench has been a big issue, where only one of the four bench players scored in double digits. 

Andrew Wiggins after a quite debut in the Heat lineup is slowly starting to get into the groove and in the last two games he has scored 30 or more points. If Wiggins and Herro continue to be productive on the offensive end, it opens up Bam Adebayo to be highly effective on the defensive end. 

The Miami Heat this season are ranked 26th in scoring (109.2 points per game), where they shot 46% from the field and 35.9% from long range, averaging 13.7 3's per game. On the defensive end the Heat are ranked 7th conceding 110.6 points per game, where they grab 42.9 rebounds, 3.8 blocks and 7.9 steals per game. 

Miami Heat Player Props Predictions

Andrew Wiggins Total Points Over 22.5 1.86

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Golden State Warriors

With a 41-30 record the Golden State Warriors currently stand at 6th place in the Western Conference, holding a one game advantage over the Los Angeles Clippers and tied with the Timberwolves with 41 wins. The West looks heaviy competitive as the 4th, 5th and 6th spots are up for grabs and five teams battling out for it. 

The Warriors in their previous game lost to the Atlanta Hawks 124-115 where they were without Stephen Curry. Jimmy Butler did a valiant job, top scoring with 25 points, 8 assists, shooting 7-15 from the field and 1-7 from 3-PT range. Podziemski, Moody and Kumninga all scored over 15 points. The Warriors allowed the Hawks to dominate from mid-range as they outscored them 34-23 in terms of 2-pointers. 

While Stephen Curry is listed as game time decision against the Heat, if Curry does make it to the starting lineup today, then Butler will have more work in the backcourt driving the defense and making smart playmaking decisions allowing Curry to take most of the 3-point shots. Butler in four of the last five games has made 7 or more assists, allowing others to score. 

The Warriors are ranked 18th on offense scoring 113.4 points per game, shooting at an efficiency of 45% from two-point range and 36.3% from beyond the arc, they score 15.54 3-pointers per game. On the defensive end the Warriors made their way back into the top 10 allowing 110.9 points per game. 

Golden State Warriors Player Props Predictions

Jimmy Butler Total Assists Over 6.5 1.74

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Golden State Warriors Spread Predictions

Golde State Warriors to Cover the Spread (-4.5) 1.81

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Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Starting Lineups

Position Player Name
PG Tyler Herro
SG Duncan Robinson
SF Andrew Wiggins
PF Bam Adebayo
C Kel'el Ware
Position Player Name
PG Stephen Curry
SG Brandin Podziemski
SF Moses Moody
PF Jimmy Butler
C Draymond Green

This is the second time the Miami Heat and Golden State Warriors are squaring off this season, where in the first game played in early January, the Heat won 98-114. With Butler and Wiggins traded to the opposite teams, they will be up against their former team, which should setup for an intriguing battle between these two players. 

Miami Heat lost four of their last five home games, scoring 105.6 and allowing 109 points per game, on the other hand Golden State Warriors won three and lost two of their last five away games scoring 117.6 and conceding 114.4 points per game. 

More than the Heat, it is a crucial game in context of the playoffs for the Golden State Warriors heading into the final 12 games of the regular season, whereas the Heat are guranteed a play in spot and aim to get to the 7th or 8th spot in the East, which gives them two chances to advance to the playoffs. 

Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Over/Under Predictions

Total Match Points Over 216.5 1.87

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Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Player Stats

Player Name Points Rebounds Assists Steals/Blocks
Stephen Curry 24.2 4.4 6.0 1.1/0.4
Jimmy Butler 17.3 5.6 5.5 1.2/0.4
Tyler Herro 23.5 5.3 5.6 0.9/0.2
Andrew Wiggins 18.4 4.4 2.5 1.0/0.8

The Golden State Warriors enter this contest as favourites as they have a well balanced lineup on both the offensive and defensive end, while the Heat are reilable on two of their main-scorers to do much of the scoring and they lack players who can score points in rotation. 

Golden State Warriors to Win!

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Author: Vishnu Reddy