Italy vs Iceland, Fiba Basketball World Cup 2027, European Qualifiers, Today Match Prediction

Italy vs Iceland Basteball Odds

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Italy

Italy’s EuroBasket 2025 run ended in heartbreak with an 84-77 defeat to Slovenia, a game defined by early struggles. Now Italy must reset quickly as their first test in the FIBA World Cup 2027 European Qualifiers comes against Iceland. Italy sits in Group D alongside Iceland, Lithuania and Great Britain.

The Azzurri know the danger as Iceland stunned them 81-74 in their last qualifier meeting. They are led by players like Simone Fontecchio who average 16.7 points, 5.5 rebounds per game and Saliou Niang with 10.2 PPG.

Offensively, they shoot a respectable 42.2% from the field, including 33% from deep and 74.6% from the free throw line, while dishing out 21 assists. Defensively, they protect the paint with 37.3 rebounds, 1.7 blocks and collect 8.5 steals.

Moving forward, Italy’s priority will be to combine experience with sharper execution, especially on defense. They must start the qualifiers strong, erase the sting from Slovenia and build momentum towards Qatar 2027. 

Iceland

Iceland’s 74-114 loss to France at the EuroBasket 2025 was a harsh wake up call. Iceland’s effort was valiant, but the game exposed a clear gap in quality, depth and execution, a remainder of what they need to improve as they head into future qualifications.

They are led by players like Tryggvi Hlinason who averages 14.6 points, 10 rebounds, while Martin Hermannsson averages 12.6 points, 4.8 assists. Elvar Fridriksson adds 12.4 points on average.

Offensively, the team shoots 40.6% from the field and 72.5% from the free throw line. However they are weak from the perimeter, shooting just 25.2%. Defensively, they average 37.2 rebounds per game and 3.2 blocks while collecting 6 steals. Their 14.6 turnovers on average prove costly for them.

Looking ahead to the FIBA World Cup 2027 European Qualifiers, Iceland face a daunting test in a matchup against Italy, with both teams drawn in Group D. Iceland must tighten up defensively, avoid early game collapse to challenge Italy and make their mark in the qualifier window. 

Italy vs Iceland Starting Lineups

Italy vs Iceland Match Prediction & Analysis

Italy hosts Iceland on 28 Nov 2025 to open their FIBA World Cup 2027 European Qualifiers. Italy aims to rebound with structure, defense, and experience, while Iceland rely on pace and confident guard play after upsetting Italy in a past qualifier. Italy enter as favorites at home, but Iceland’s unpredictability makes this a dangerous matchup.

Italy averages 85.3 points per game while playing at home, while Iceland averages 76.3 points per game while being on the road. Italy also has won 66.7% of their matches against Iceland. The match is slated to be played at Tortona, Palazzetto Dello Sport and the scheduled start time is 00:30 AM, 28 Nov. 

Italy vs Iceland Player Stats

ITALY vs ICELAND
Winning Prediction

Italy enters the matchup as clear favorites thanks to their deeper roster, stronger interior presence, and superior defensive structure. Playing at home also gives them a major advantage. 

Italy to Win and cover the spread (-5.5)

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