Ningbo Rockets vs Guangzhou Long Lions, CBA 2025-26, Today Match Prediction

Ningbo Rockets vs Guangzhou Long Lions Basteball Odds

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Ningbo Rockets

Ningbo come into this contest after a 87-72 loss against Zhejiang Guangsha where they shot 50% from the field but struggled on the boards, finishing with only 25 rebounds compared to 37 for the opponent. The team also produced just 13 assists, showing limited ball movement in that game. 

Xavier Simpson led the scoring with 18 points, while Li An and Dai Hao added 11 each, but the offense lacked consistency across four quarters. Overall this season, Ningbo average 86.2 points per game while allowing 85.2, which shows a balanced but not dominant profile. They shoot 46.9% from the field and 34.0% from three, with a solid free throw rate at 72.3%. 

Defensively they generate 6.6 steals per game and keep opponents at 44.5% shooting, which keeps them competitive. Playing at home is important here, as Ningbo have shown better defensive control in their own arena and usually keep games in a manageable scoring range.

Guangzhou Long Lions

Guangzhou arrive in this match after a 97-86 defeat to Liaoning where defensive problems were again visible. They allowed 55% field goal shooting and gave up 40 rebounds, while producing only 14 assists offensively. Lindell Wigginton scored 19 points with 8 assists, and Xu Xin added 15 points with 10 rebounds, but the team struggled to maintain defensive structure for long stretches.

On the season, Guangzhou score 86.6 points per game but allow 88.9, which is one of the weaker defensive numbers among mid-table teams. They shoot 46.3% from the field and 35.9% from three, slightly better than Ningbo from long range, but turnovers and defensive rebounding remain issues. 

Guangzhou average 40.6 rebounds per game but still concede high scoring games because of poor perimeter defense, allowing 34.9% from three. Their recent 4-game losing streak also shows declining form coming into this matchup.

Ningbo Rockets vs Guangzhou Long Lions Starting Lineups

Ningbo Rockets vs Guangzhou Long Lions Match Prediction & Analysis

Ningbo hold the home advantage and also sit higher in the standings with a 13-13 record compared to Guangzhou at 11-16. While both teams have similar scoring averages, Ningbo allow fewer points per game and have been more stable in recent matches. Their ability to control tempo at home and keep opponents near the mid-80 scoring range could be the key factor in this game.

Guangzhou have the better three-point percentage and slightly higher assist numbers, but their defense has been unreliable, especially against teams that move the ball well. Ningbo’s defensive activity with steals and controlled pace matches well against Guangzhou’s inconsistent offense. If the game stays around the average total range, the statistical edge slightly favors the home side.

Ningbo Rockets are currently 11th in the CBA standings with a 13-13 record, while Guangzhou sit 15th with an 11-16 record. Ningbo are on a two-game losing streak but remain in the qualification range, while Guangzhou have lost four straight and are under pressure to close the gap in the lower half of the table.

In the last five meetings, Guangzhou lead the series 3-2. The average total score across those games is 176.6 points, with Guangzhou averaging about 92.4 points and Ningbo around 84.6. Most of the meetings have been played at a moderate to high pace, with scoring usually finishing above 170 total points.

Ningbo Rockets vs Guangzhou Long Lions Player Stats

NINGBO ROCKETS vs GUANGZHOU LONG LIONS
Winning Prediction

Ningbo Rockets are expected to win this matchup having the stronger defensive numbers, better recent form, and home court advantage, while Guangzhou arrive on a losing streak with inconsistent defense. The statistical matchup favors Ningbo in a close but controlled scoring game.

Ningbo Rockets to win and cover the spread (-7.5).

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