Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks, NBA 2024-25 Season, Today Match Prediction

Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks Basteball Odds

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Houston Rockets

The Houston Rockets (41-25) are 2nd in the Southwest Division and 5th in the Western Conference. In their recent matchup against the Suns, they won by 7 points (111-104). 1  Jalen Green had 29 points to lead the Rockets. Alperen Sengun scored 20 points, and Dillon Brooks added 19 to help the Rockets extend their winning streak to four. 

Fred VanVleet had 10 points in 28 minutes in his return after missing 16 games with a right ankle strain. Houston needs him to return to form quickly as the team looks to finish the regular season strong and try to move up in the standings.

Against the Mavericks, the Rockets will need to focus on defending Klay Thompson's playmaking and scoring ability. Containing Klay Thompson, along with limiting the fast-paced offense of Naji Marshall, is crucial. 

Offensively, the Rockets should emphasize ball movement and take advantage of their young talent, like Jabari Smith Jr. and Alperen Şengün, to exploit mismatches. The Rockets’ defense must stay disciplined and limit fast breaks while focusing on securing rebounds to reduce second-chance points.

The Rockets on average score 112.9 points per game. They shoot 44.9% from the field and are ranked 25th in the league, and 34.5% from the arc, also ranked 25th in the league. They average 48.2 rebounds per game and are ranked 1st in the league.

Houston Rockets Player Props Predictions

Houston Rockets Spread Predictions

Dallas Mavericks

The Mavericks (33-34) are 3rd in the Southwest Division and 10th in the Western Conference. In their recent matchup against the Spurs, they lost by 10 points (116-126). Brandon Williams returned from a one-game absence to lead Dallas with 19 points. 

Dante Exum added 17, and Naji Marshall and Kessler Edwards each had 15. The Mavericks closed the first quarter on a 19-4 run, taking a 28-20 lead. Dallas extended the lead to 11 points in the second quarter while shooting 60% from the field. 

The Mavericks lean heavily on their playmakers scoring ability, especially in half-court sets. They might use pick-and-roll plays to create mismatches, forcing the Rockets defenders into difficult choices. As a secondary scorer and facilitator, Klay Thompson provides offensive balance, allowing the Mavericks to diversify their attack if the Rockets focus too much on Brandon Williams. 

The Rockets thrive on transition offense, so the Mavericks will look to emphasize strong defensive rebounding and quickly retreating to set their defense, minimizing fast-break chances. To disrupt the Rockets' rhythm, the Mavericks might employ defensive schemes like switching or zone defense to counter versatile scorers like Jalen Green and Alperen Sengun. 

The Mavericks on average score 114.8 points per game. They shoot 47.5% from the field and are ranked 12th in the league, and 36.8% from the arc, ranked 9th in the league. They average 43.4 rebounds per game and are ranked 23rd in the league.

Dallas Mavericks Player Props Predictions

Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks Starting Lineups

Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks Match Prediction & Analysis

The Houston Rockets are currently on a three match winning streak at home averaging 114.3 points and allowing 104.5 points per game. On the other hand the Dallas Mavericks lost four of their last five away games scoring 111.4 points per game and conceding 125 ppg. The lack of a solid defender to control the scoring near the rim has been a major issue which the Rockets will likely exploit.  

This is the fourth game between the Rockets and Mavericks this season. The Rockets have won two of the three games played against the Mavericks this season, and the average total match points in those games is 213.4.

Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks Over/Under Predictions

Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks Player Stats