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Will Zhejiang Guangsha Lions outplay Shenzhen Leopards?
Tournament: CBA 2025-26 | Venue: Shenzhen Dayun Arena (Shenzhen) | Tip Off: 17:05:00
Live Streaming: Courtside 1891
Zhejiang Guangsha Lions to win and cover the spread (-1.5).
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| Bookmaker | Team A | Team B |
|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.96 | 1.79 |
The Shenzhen Leopards head into semifinal Game 3 against the Zhejiang Guangsha Lions under pressure after dropping the opening two games of the series. Shenzhen showed flashes offensively but struggled to contain Guangsha’s balanced attack, losing Game 1 111-102 before falling again 92-85 in Game 2.
In game 2, He Xining led the scoring with 18 points and 5 assists, while Alize Johnson added 15 points and 10 rebounds, a double-double. Wang Haoran also added 15 points, but their efforts weren’t enough.
Offensively, Shenzhen shot efficiently, hitting 45.8% from the field, 41.7% from the perimeter and 75% from the free throw line, supported by their strong ball movement (21 assists). However, defensively, they got outrebounded 45-31 on the boards and committed 12 turnovers, 25 fouls, proving costly down the stretch.
For Game 3, Shenzhen must improve their defense and limit second-chance opportunities after being outworked on the glass in key stretches of the first two games. Playing at home could help the Leopards regain rhythm, but they need a more disciplined defensive effort to slow Guangsha’s momentum.
Overall, the team averages 99.3 points per game, while dishing out 22.1 assists. Defensively, they record 38.7 rebounds and allow opponents to just 94.2 points per game.
The Zhejiang Guangsha Lions head into semifinal Game 3 against the Shenzhen Leopards in complete control of the series after back-to-back wins to take a 2-0 lead.
Barry Brown Jr and Hu Jinqiu continue to lead the offense, while the team’s defensive rotations have consistently disrupted Shenzhen’s rhythm. Guangsha has also been one of the CBA’s top defensive teams this season, allowing around 82.4 points per game.
In game 2, the Guangsha Lions shot 43.1% from the field, including 37% from the perimeter and 74.1% from the free throw line, while dishing out 20 assists. Defensively, they controlled the boards 45-31, recorded 6 steals, 5 blocks and forced Shenzhen to commit 12 crucial turnovers.
Heading into Game 3 on the road, Guangsha’s biggest challenge will be handling Shenzhen’s pace and crowd energy. If the Lions continue controlling the glass and limiting transition opportunities, they are in a strong position to move one win away from the finals.
Overall, the team averages 91.7 points per game, while dishing out 19.9 assists. Defensively, they record 40.4 rebounds and allow opponents to just 82.4 points per game.
| Position | Player Name |
|---|---|
| PG | Rong Zifeng |
| SG | Josh Christopher |
| SF | He Xining |
| PF | Wang Haoran |
| C | Ibou Badji |
| Position | Player Name |
|---|---|
| PG | Barry Brown Jr |
| SG | Sun Minghui |
| SF | Zhu Junlong |
| PF | Hu Jinqiu |
| C | Zhao Jinqiu |
Semifinal Game 3 on May 21, 2026, is a must win for the Shenzhen Leopards as they return home trailing the Zhejiang Guangsha Lions 0-2. Guangsha has controlled the series with strong rebounding, balanced scoring, and disciplined defense led by Hu Jinqiu and Barry Brown Jr. Shenzhen’s best chance is to increase the tempo and capitalize on transition offense and perimeter shooting. If the Leopards can limit turnovers and second-chance points, they can extend the series, but Guangsha still enters as the favorite.
In the last five head-to-head matchups, Shenzhen Leopards has won two matches, while the Zhejiang Guangsha Lions has won three matches and is currently riding a two game winning streak against the Leopards.
| Player Name | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Steals/Blocks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| He Xining | 20.1 | 5.0 | 3.7 | 1.5/0.1 |
| Barry Brown Jr | 21.6 | 2.3 | 3.9 | 1.9/0.1 |
Shenzhen should play with more urgency and energy at home, but Guangsha has looked like the more complete and disciplined team throughout the series. Their rebounding, defensive structure, and ability to execute in half-court situations have consistently given Shenzhen problems. If Barry Brown Jr and Hu Jinqiu control the tempo again, the Lions are likely to edge another close game and book their spot in the finals. We are backing the Zhejiang Guangsha Lions to win this matchup.
Zhejiang Guangsha Lions to win and cover the spread (-1.5).
1xBet
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