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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies, NBA 2024-25 Season, Today Match Prediction

Paycom Center, Oklahoma

Can the Grizzlies put an end to the Thunder's dominant run?

  • The Memphis Grizzlies have won 41.1% of their games against the Oklahoma City Thunder.
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder average 105.4 points per game against the Memphis Grizzlies.
  • In the last five head-to-head games, the Oklahoma City Thunder won all five games.

Tournament: NBA 2024-25 Season | Venue: Paycom Center, Oklahoma | Tip Off: 05:30:00

Live Streaming: NBA League Pass

Oklahoma City Thunder to Win!

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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Basteball Odds

Bookmaker Team A Team B
1xBet 1.22 4.50
Stake.com 1.22 4.50

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Oklahoma City Thunder

With an impressive 60-12 record, the Oklahoma City Thunder are currently 1st in the Northwest division and 1st in the Western Conference. They are coming off a 121-105 win over the Sacramento Kings in their recent outing for their seventh straight win. The Thunder took a big lead in the first half that grew to 24 points but was cut down by the Kings. Oklahoma City then opened the second quarter with a 14-4 run to take a 20-point lead and were never seriously threatened after that.

Shai Gilgeous Alexander scored 32 points to lead the Thunder, while Chet Holmgren added 18 points and 10 rebounds and Alex Caruso scored 15 to give the NBA-leading Thunder their 14th win in 15 games and 60th win of the season.

Offensively, the Oklahoma City Thunder average 119.8 points per game and their two-point field goal percentage is strong, showing their ability to score inside effectively and have an average of 48.0% field goals. Their efficiency from the three-point range at around 37.0%. Their emphasis on ball movement is evident in their 26.8 assists per game and they convert 82.1% from the free throw line.

Defensively, the Thunder are solid in protecting the rim, allowing opponents 106.9 points per game. They average 5.8 blocks and 10.5 steals per game but their rebounding which is at 44.8 could see some improvement. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, the NBA’s top scorer at 32.8 points per game and a leading MVP candidate who has scored 26 or more points in each of the past three games is expected to lead the team on offense.

Oklahoma City Thunder Over/Under Predictions

Total Team Points Over 123.5 1.83

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Oklahoma City Thunder Player Props Predictions

Shai Gilgeous Alexander Total Points Over 33.5 1.88

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Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Predictions

Thunder to Cover the Spread (-9.5) 1.80

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Memphis Grizzlies

With a 44-28 record, the Memphis Grizzlies are 2nd in the Southwest division and 4th in the Western Conference. They are coming off a 140-103 win over the Utah Jazz, putting an end to their three-game losing streak. After trailing the Jazz for most of the first half, the Grizzlies outscored the Jazz 76-38 in the second half for their second win in their last six games.

Desmond Bane scored 21 points, Jaren Jackson Jr had 19 points and were playing without Ja Morant. Even without Morant and Jackson (for most of the period), the Grizzlies outscored the Jazz 41-17 in the third quarter, their largest point difference in a quarter all season. Players like Desmond Bane and Jaren Jackson Jr are expected to lead the offense for the Grizzlies.

Offensively, the Grizzlies have been averaging 122.1 points per game and have been shooting 48.0% field goals, including a three-point efficiency of around 36.6%. They average 28.7 assists, which showcases their ability to move the ball and create chances effectively and they have been shooting 78.4% on average from the free throw line.

Defensively, they leverage strong rebounding (averaging 47.4 per game) and a top-tier shot-blocking presence of 5.9 blocks. The Grizzlies are effective at contesting shots in the paint and creating turnovers but struggle to defend the perimeter consistently, allowing opponents 116.8 points per game. Their 9.0 steals showcase their ability to disrupt opponent plays.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Starting Lineups

Position Player Name
PG Shai Gilgeous Alexander
SG Lugentz Dort
SF Jalen Williams
PF Chet Holmgren
C Isaiah Hartenstein
Position Player Name
PG Scotty Pipen Jr
SG Desmond Bane
SF Jaylen Wells
PF Santi Aldama
C Jaren Jackson Jr

The Thunder and Grizzlies have met a total of 3 times so far this season, in which the Thunder won all three games. Therefore, the Thunder currently lead the matchup series 3-0. In their encounters this season, OKC has averaged around 121 points per game, while Memphis has scored roughly 106 points per contest.

The Oklahoma City Thunder has won four of their past five home games, where they scored 127 points on average, While the Memphis Grizzlies have only won two of their past five road games, where they averaged 115.2 points.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Over/Under Predictions

Total Match Points Over 236.5 1.86

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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Player Stats

Player Name Points Rebounds Assists Steals/Blocks
Shai Gilegous Alexander 32.8 5.1 6.3 1.7/1.0
Isaiah Hartenstein 11.3 11.0 4.0 0.8/1.1
Desmond Bane 19.0 6.2 5.5 1.5/0.4
Jaren Jackson Jr 22.4 5.6 2.1 1.3/1.6

Given Oklahoma City’s home-court advantage, stellar recent form and the Grizzlies injury woes, especially the absence of Ja Morant, the Thunder are favoured to continue their dominant run. 

Oklahoma City Thunder to Win!

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Author: Vishnu Reddy