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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors, NBA 2025-26 Season, Today Match Prediction

Paycom Center, Oklahoma

Warriors face an uphill battle against the Thunder

  • The Oklahoma City Thunder won 34 games against Western Conference rivals and lost 9 games so far in the 2025-26 season.
  • The Golden State Warriors won just 4 of their last 10 games, putting pressure on the team to qualify for the playoffs.
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder won all three games between the two sides in the 2025-26 season.

Tournament: NBA 2025-26 Season | Venue: Paycom Center, Oklahoma | Tip Off: 07:00:00

Live Streaming: NBA League Pass

Oklahoma City Thunder to win and cover the spread (-14.5)

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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors Basteball Odds

Bookmaker Team A Team B
1xBet 1.12 6.75

Teams Preview

Oklahoma City Thunder

OKC managed to keep up momentum despite some shocking losses in the 2025-26 season and is still one of the top sides in the league thanks to its strong defence. As for the players, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander remains their key player and MVP candidate in the 2025-26 season, with the front court providing good support on the defensive end. 

In the season, the OKC team tops the defensive rating in the 2025-26 season while standing seventh in the offensive rating. The season average score is 118.9 points, standing fifth in the league. The side keeps the offensive flow going with controlled plays, averaging 12.7 turnovers and 25.5 assists per game. 

Around the rim, the team averages 44 rebounds per game and 5.6 blocks per game (sixth in the league). The team has 9.8 steals, putting them in fourth position.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have maintained a strong presence at Paycom Center, winning four of their last five home games. During this stretch, they have averaged 114.2 points scored while conceding 104.2 points per game. 

Golden State Warriors

While the side dominated the past decade with their young and hungry roster, they now have only two players from that era, and they are also on the wrong side of their 30s. Still, Stephen Curry possesses a serious offensive threat, while Gren became the mentor for the young stars on the roster. Injury to Stepehen curry is a worrisome sign for the franchise hanging onto the playoff qualification scenario. 

The Golden State Warriors have gone 3-2 in their last five away games. They most recently secured a gritty 115–113 overtime victory against the Houston Rockets despite missing several key starters, including Stephen Curry and Jimmy Butler III. During this five-game road run, the Warriors averaged 111.4 points scored and 106.8 points conceded.

In overall stats, the Warriors drop to 16th with an average of 115.3 points and an offensive rating of 114.3. Tightening its defensive end, the side ranked 11th in the season with a 112.9 defensive rating. 

The team ranks third in steals (9.9 per game) and assists (29.9 per game).  Around the boards, they have an average of 42.9 rebounds and 4.4 blocks per game. 

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors Starting Lineups

Position Player Name
PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
SG Cason Wallace
SF Lu Dort
PF Aaron Wiggins
C Chet Holmgren
Position Player Name
PG Brandin Podziemski
SG De'Anthony Melton
SF Gui Santos
PF Draymond Green
C Al Horford

The Oklahoma City Thunder will host the Golden State Warriors at the Paycom Arena on March 8 at 07:00 am IST and will look for a series sweep with a win.  

Current Standings: The Oklahoma City Thunder currently lead the Western Conference with a 49-15 record, while the Golden State Warriors are eighth with a 32-22 record.

Head-to-Head Record

The Oklahoma City Thunder has a slight edge in the head-to-head match-up against the Warriors, winning 149 matches and losing 124 matches in the faceoff.  The Oklahoma City Thunder have dominated the Golden State Warriors recently, winning four of their last five regular-season meetings. 

The Thunder have been particularly efficient in the 2025–26 season, securing three double-digit victories against Golden State. The OKC averaged 119 points in that run while the Warriors scored 105 points. 


Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors Player Stats

Player Name Points Rebounds Assists Steals/Blocks
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 31.6 4.4 6.4 1.4/0.8
De’Anthony Melton 12.7 2.9 2.4 1.6/0.6

The Oklahoma City Thunder will be the favorites to win the game, thanks to their strong defensive game, depth on the roster and injury hit Warriors team. We are backing the Oklahoma City Thunder to win the encounter.  

Oklahoma City Thunder to win and cover the spread (-14.5)

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Author: Vishnu Reddy