India will Win
Our prediction is that India will hold the nerve to win the 5th ODI at Delhi to clinch the series.
Australia clawed their way back in the series pulling off an astonishing heist at Mohali to hand India one of the biggest defeat at home. The series is leveled up now at 2-2. The series-deciding ODI will be played at Firoz Shah Kotla on 13th of March 2019.
India failed twice in the series to get the weather predictions right. At Ranchi, they bowled first expecting some dew when there wasn't any. At Mohali, they did not expect much dew, but there was plenty. However, the lapses in the field and behind the wicket, in the absence of MS Dhoni, were as crucial in their defeats in the last two ODIs.
Australia will be high on confidence after a big win against India. While the hosts will be looking to correct their weather prediction skills and the fielding. A cracker of a game coming up.
India made four changes for the 4th ODI. KL Rahul, Yuzvendra Chahal, Rishabh Pant and Bhuvaneshwar Kumar made it to the squad. However, this could not stop Australia from chasing 359 at Mohali. India’s first failure at defending a score of 350 or more.
Winning the toss batting first, expecting little or no dew, Indian openers made amends to their recent lack of for with a partnership of 193 runs. Rohit Sharma missed out on a century but Shikhar Dhawan went on to score a big hundred eventually getting out on 143. India looked like reaching 380-400 at one point but regular wickets in middle meant they could only reach 358.
Defending the big score India started well reducing Australia to 2 for 12. Then on Australian batsmen kept nudging at a decent rate with run rate slowly rising. At one point it looked beyond them, but Ashton Turner turned it on for the Aussies and got them over the line as the Indian bowlers struggled to control the ball in the dew conditions and fielders let go of the dollies.
India are not used to losing a series at home. They haven’t lost one since Oct-2015. Can they save this one?
Virat Kohli (c), Rohit Sharma, KL Rahul, Rishabh Pant, Kedar Jadhav, Jarprit Bumrah, Ravidra Jadeja, Vijay Shankar, Mohammed Shami/Bhuvaneshwar Kumar, Kuldeep Yadav.
Virat Kohli, Vijay Shankar, Kedar Jadhav, Kuldeep Yadav, Rohit Sharma, Bhuvneshwar Kumar, Ravindra Jadeja, JJ Bumrah, Rishabh Pant, Shikhar Dhawan, Mohammed Shami
Ashton Turner was not supposed to play the match at Mohali. He replaced Marcus Stoinis at the last moment. He stole the show in the last moments of the match with an 84 run blitz in just 43 balls with 5 fours and 6 sixes.
Losing the toss, Australia bowled first on a surface that looked like a batting paradise. The score India eventually reached (358) ascertained that fact. If not for the Pat Cummins' five-fer, India would have gone on to make even more. Australia looked far from victory when they lost 2 wickets for just 2. However, centurion Peter Handscomb along with Usman Khawaja took the innings par 200. Then, it was Turner’s turn to play a gem. With dew all around India could not control the ball and Turner took full advantage of that to pull off a historic win with 13 balls to spare.
Australia have been on the luckier side of the weather, but they have also batted out of their skin in the last two encounters. Can they keep it up one more time against the host who are not used to losing ODI series at home?
Aaron Finch (capt), Glenn Maxwell, Marcus Stoinis, Alex Carey, Pat Cummins, Jhye Richardson, Usman Khwaja, Jason Behrendorff/Nathan Coulter-Nile, Nathan Lyon, Peter Handscomb, Ashton Turner
AJ Turner, Aaron Finch, Pat Cummins, Nathan Lyon, Jhye Richardson, Alex Carey, Peter Handscomb, Glenn Maxwell, Usman Khawaja, Marcus Stoinis, Adam Zampa
Firoz Shah Kotla stadium in Delhi has traditionally been a good batting pitch. However, the trend has changed recently. In the last 5 ODIs played at this venue, 263 is the highest score. The dew maybe a factor at this ground as well.
The team winning the toss should look to bowl first in order to be able to bowl in dry conditions. Later, the chase can be controlled under lights when dew sets in.
Australia are on a brink of a big upset here. Remember they are without some of their finest ODI players. They are fighting against some daunting odds. Overall, since Jan 2013, India have won 11 of the 12 series played at home. Australia are challenging these stats. It is going to be difficult to achieve this against a team looking to make a point and who prides themselves in their ability to bounce back when down.
Our prediction is that India will produce a series-winning performance in the 5th ODI at Delhi to clinch the ODI series 3-2.
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