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Queensland vs South Australia, SSD, Today Match Prediction

The current prediction is outdated. Please visit TODAY’S MATCH PREDICTIONS page for latest updated tips.
The Gabba (Brisbane Cricket Ground), Woolloongabba, Australia

185/10 in 66.5

2.77

91/3 in 37.0

2.46
SCORECARD

QSL vs SAC Win Probability

QSL 61%
SAC 39%

Toss Winner - South Australia won the toss and choose to bowl first

Can Queensland tighten their grip on finals contention?

  • Queensland sit 2nd with 33.38 points from 7 matches (3 wins), while South Australia are 4th with 26.29 points (2 wins).
  • Head-to-Head is evenly poised - both teams have two wins each in the last five meetings, with one draw.
  • Queensland have won their last two home games against South Australia at Brisbane.

We predict that Queensland will defeat South Australia.

Tournament:  Sheffield Shield, 2025-26
Format: test
Venue: The Gabba (Brisbane Cricket Ground), Woolloongabba, Australia
Toss Prediction: To Bowl
Weather: 28.3°C|Sunny
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Name
VAC
QSL
TSC
NSW
SAC
WAC
M
Won
Lost
Tied
NR
PTs
NRR
9
7
2
0
0
58.1
57.98
8
3
3
0
0
33.4
0.29
9
3
4
0
0
29.31
29.23
9
2
4
0
0
27.48
0
9
4
2
0
0
26.347
0
8
1
5
0
0
17.4
17.19

Queensland face South Australia in the 22nd match of the Sheffield Shield at the Brisbane Cricket Ground, Brisbane. The match is scheduled to begin on Monday, February 16, with the first ball set to be bowled at 5:30 AM IST. The Sheffield Shield 2025–26 season has reached a crucial stage, with teams jostling for points and a place in the final. 

Queensland have been among the more consistent sides in the competition and currently sit near the top of the table, while South Australia remain in the hunt after a series of hard-fought matches. With Queensland aiming to strengthen their position at home and South Australia looking to disrupt the top-order standings, this contest sets up as a pivotal encounter that could significantly shape the remainder of the Shield season.

RECENT PERFORMANCE

Queensland QSL
W L W L W
VAC

144/10 in 57.2 2.51

QSL

205/10 in 85.1 2.41

VAC

216/3 in 44.3 4.85

MOC

Victoria Won by 7 wickets

QSL

215/10 in 49.0 4.39

QSL

430/10 in 129.1 3.33

VAC

32/3 in 6.2 5.05

WAC

322/7 in 107.3 3

QSL

272/9 in 82.0 3.32

NSW

191/10 in 42.1 4.53

QSL

287/9 in 50.0 5.74

South Australia SAC
L W L W W
NSW

246/3 in 44.0 5.59

SAC

242/7 in 50.0 4.84

SAC

426/10 in 88.2 4.82

TSC

30/0 in 5.5 5.14

TSC

196/6 in 39.4 4.94

SAC

195/10 in 46.2 4.21

TSC

209/10 in 64.2 3.25

SAC

219/7 in 51.5 4.23

SAC

122/1 in 17.1 7.11

QSL

128/10 in 23.5 5.37

HEAD TO HEAD

Last 10 Matches

3
QSL Won
5
SAC Won
2
No Result
SAC
MOC
QSL
122/1 in 17.1
128/10 in 23.5
Show More Show Less
SAC

228/10 in 84.3

QSL

139/3 in 40.0

SAC

271/10 in 72.4

QSL

270/6 in 69.1

SAC

614/7 in 143.4

SSD

Match Drawn
QSL

0/0 in 0.0

QSL

223/1 in 32.3

SAC

218/10 in 47.0

QSL

308/10 in 72.3

SAC

229/10 in 73.3

SAC

132/10 in 40.3

QSL

206/3 in 63.3

SAC

223/5 in 44.1

QSL

218/10 in 49.4

QSL

238/10 in 80.1

SAC

269/10 in 88.4

QSL

00/0 (00)

MOC

SAC

00/0 (00)

Queensland Preview

Queensland have enjoyed a solid and competitive Sheffield Shield campaign so far, sitting second on the points table with 3 wins, 2 losses and 2 draws from 7 matches, accumulating 33.38 points. Queensland registered convincing victories against Victoria twice (by 36 runs and 7 wickets) and South Australia (by 7 wickets), while their setbacks have been heavy defeats against NSW (by 341 runs) and a narrow one-wicket loss to Western Australia. They had two draws, including one against NSW and another against Tasmania.

In the previous game, Queensland produced a disciplined all-round performance to defeat Victoria by 36 runs at the MCG. Batting first, Queensland were bowled out for 149, with Hugo Burdon top-scoring with a patient 43, supported by Jimmy Peirson’s 25. In reply, Queensland’s bowlers kept things tight to dismiss Victoria for 144, with Michael Neser (3/15) and Tom Straker (3/43) leading the charge. Queensland then showed greater resolve in the second innings, posting 236, built around Burdon’s second gritty knock (43) and Marnus Labuschagne’s 41. Victoria were finally bundled out for 205, sealing a hard-fought win.

With Matt Renshaw unavailable due to the T20 World Cup, Queensland’s batting has been anchored by Marnus Labuschagne, who has scored 453 runs at an average of 56.62, including a highest score of 160. On the bowling front, Mitchell Swepson has led the attack with 24 wickets, well supported by Michael Neser (18 wickets) and Straker, who has impressed in key moments. Queensland will look to maintain momentum and push for a top spot as the season enters a decisive phase.

Key Players: Marnus Labuschagne, Hugo Burdon, Mitchell Swepson, Michael Neser

Queensland Predicted Playing XI:

Usman Khawaja, Hugo Burdon, Marnus Labuschagne, Jack Clayton, Jimmy Peirson (c & wk), Jack Wildermuth, Michael Neser, Mitchell Swepson, Tom Straker, Gurinder Sandhu, Liam Guthrie

Queensland Key Players From Previous Game Of Sheffield Shield, 2025-26

Batsmen
R
B
4s
6s
SRs
Hugo Burdon
43
104
6
1
41.35
Jimmy Peirson
25
50
3
0
50
Mitchell Swepson
22
28
3
0
78.57
Bowlers
O
M
R
W
Econ
Tom Straker
16.0
5
43
3
2.69
Hayden Kerr
8.2
2
29
3
3.48
Michael Neser
13.0
6
15
3
1.15

Queensland Actual Playing XI:

Hugh Weibgen, Hugo Burdon, Marnus Labuschagne, Usman Khawaja, Hayden Kerr, Michael Neser, Jimmy Peirson, Jem Ryan, Mitchell Swepson, Tom Straker, Lachlan Hearne

South Australia Preview

South Australia have had a steady but unspectacular campaign so far in the Sheffield Shield 2025/26. From seven matches, they have managed two wins, two losses, and three draws, collecting 26.29 points. While they have been hard to beat, converting strong positions into outright wins has been a recurring challenge. Their victories have come by narrow margins, including a 10-wicket win over Tasmania and a three-wicket win, while defeats against Queensland and Victoria exposed some inconsistency.

In the previous match, South Australia were involved in a hard-fought draw against New South Wales at the SCG. Bowling first, they restricted NSW to 202, led by Nathan McAndrew’s 4 for 23 and Brendan Doggett’s 3 wickets. In reply, South Australia fell just short with 197, despite a solid 59 from Jason Sangha and 31 by Jake Lehmann. NSW then piled on 440/8 in the second innings, driven by Kurtis Patterson’s marathon 173. Chasing an unlikely target, South Australia finished safely on 118/2, with Mackenzie Harvey’s unbeaten 62 ensuring the draw.

So far this season, With the bat, Jake Lehmann has been South Australia’s standout performer, scoring 457 runs at an average of 41.54, including two centuries. Henry Hunt has provided consistency at the top with 437 runs, while Jason Sangha has chipped in with crucial middle-order contributions. In the bowling department, Brendan Doggett has led the attack with 19 wickets, supported well by Nathan McAndrew and Scott Buckingham, both providing control and breakthroughs across long spells.

Key Players: Jake Lehmann, Henry Hunt, Brendan Doggett, Nathan McAndrew

South Australia Predicted Playing XI:

Henry Hunt, Jake Lehmann, Jason Sangha, Mackenzie Harvey, Alex Carey (wk), Nathan McSweeney, Nathan McAndrew, Brendan Doggett, Scott Buckingham, Liam Scott, Jordan Buckingham

South Australia Key Players From Previous Game Of Sheffield Shield, 2025-26

Batsmen
R
B
4s
6s
SRs
Jason Sangha
59
115
10
1
51.3
Jake Lehmann
31
80
5
0
38.75
Alex Carey
26
40
3
1
65
Bowlers
O
M
R
W
Econ
Nathan McAndrew
12.0
6
23
4
1.92
Brendan Doggett
11.1
2
70
3
6.27
Liam Scott
12.0
3
35
2
2.92

South Australia Actual Playing XI:

Jordan Buckingham, Henry Hunt, Jake Lehmann, Jason Sangha, Campbell Thompson, Nathan McAndrew, Nathan McSweeney, Hanno Jacobs, Alex Carey, Mackenzie Harvey, Liam Scott

HR
Temp
Rain
W. speed
W. direction
Clouds
00h
25
0.21 mm.
5.8 k/h
From: SE
100%
03h
26
0.12 mm.
6.74 k/h
From: SE
100%
06h
26
0 mm.
6.44 k/h
From: SE
100%
09h
24
0 mm.
4.89 k/h
From: SE
100%
12h
23
0.21 mm.
3.34 k/h
From: SSE
100%
15h
21
0 mm.
2.33 k/h
From: S
40%
18h
20
0 mm.
2.31 k/h
From: SSE
75%
21h
20
0 mm.
3.16 k/h
From: SSE
83%

Weather Conditions

The weather on the match day at the Brisbane Cricket Ground, Brisbane is expected to be warm and humid. The temperature is likely to range between a high of around 30 °C and a low of about 23 °C. There is a slight chance of passing showers, but prolonged rain interruptions are unlikely. Overall, conditions should be good for a multi day cricket match.

QSL vs SAC Pitch Report

Brisbane Cricket Ground, Woolloongabba Pitch Report

Pitch Condition

Balanced

Batting Conditions

Moderate Scoring

Pace Bowling

Pace Bounce

Spin Bowling

Minimal Turn
Img cricket stadium

The venue of the match is Brisbane Cricket Ground, commonly known as the Gabba. Established in 1895, it is one of Australia’s most iconic and historic cricket venues. The Gabba is renowned for its pace-friendly surface and strong home advantage for Queensland. Average score batting first in Tests at this venue is around 320 runs.

Toss: To Bowl

Out of 68 matches at Gabba, teams fielding first have won 27 games, while teams batting first have won 26, with the remaining matches ending in draws. This indicates a slight advantage for teams opting to field first. Captains winning the toss should bowl first here.

With three wins from seven matches and a stronger points tally, Queensland have converted key moments better than South Australia, who have struggled to turn draws into wins. Queensland’s bowling attack has been more penetrative, while their batting has delivered decisive performances. South Australia remain competitive, but Queensland look better placed to control this contest.

We predict that Queensland will defeat South Australia.

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Author: Manish K.