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Sri Lanka vs Pakistan, ICC WCT20 2026, Today Match Prediction
SL vs PAK Win Probability
Toss Winner - Sri Lanka won the toss and choose to bowl first
Pakistan won by 5 runs
For Pakistan to reach the semifinals, they have to beat Sri Lanka by around 64 runs, or chase any target set by them in about 13.1 overs.
- Sahibzada Farhan top-scored for Pakistan in the previous match, blasting 63 off 45.
- Usman Tariq is Pakistan’s highest wicket-taker in this T20 World Cup, with 10 scalps at an economy of 6.32.
- Sri Lanka’s Kusal Mendis averages 40 in this tournament with three fifties in six matches.
We are backing Pakistan as the winners of this clash.
| Tournament: | ICC Men's T20 World Cup, 2026 |
| Format: | t20 |
| Venue: | Pallekele International Cricket Stadium, Pallekele, Sri Lanka |
| Toss Prediction: | To Bowl |
| Weather: | 20.3°C|Patchy rain nearby |
SL vs PAK Live Prediction
SL vs PAK Match Prediction & Analysis
Sri Lanka take on Pakistan in the 10th Super 8 game of the 2026 ICC Men's T20 World Cup in Pallekele. It has been a frustrating Super 8 phase for Sri Lanka, and they are already out of semi-final contention regardless of what happens in this match. Pakistan, meanwhile, are clinging on with one point from a washed-out game to go with a defeat in their other outing. They need to win this by a big margin to qualify for the semis.
There is very little between these sides on paper ahead of this contest. Even so, Pakistan might have a slight edge, mainly because their spinners could find better assistance from the pitch at this venue.
SL vs PAK Betting News
Sri Lanka vs Pakistan, 50th T20 Match, Men's T20 World Cup 2026 Special Bets
Bet on the Sri Lanka vs Pakistan, 50th T20i Match, Men’s T20 World Cup 2026, with our special bet offers. Expert analysis for SL vs PAK, betting today.
RECENT PERFORMANCE
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PAK
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PAK
190/9 in 20.0 9.5
ICC WCT20 2026
Pakistan beat United States of America by 32 runs158/8 in 20.0 7.9
148/7 in 19.3 7.59
ICC WCT20 2026
Pakistan beat Netherlands by 3 wickets147/10 in 19.5 7.41
HEAD TO HEAD
Last 7 Matches
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TEAMS PREVIEW
Sri Lanka Preview
Sri Lanka made it to the Super 8 round after winning three of their four group matches, but things have gone badly wrong since then. They've lost both games at this stage and their tournament is now over for them. The focus now is purely on finishing strong and sending the supporters home with at least one final moment to celebrate.
Pathum Nissanka stands out as the batting lineup's most dangerous player. His match-winning knock of 100 not out from just 52 deliveries against Australia in the group stage proved exactly what he can do. Opening alongside Kusal Mendis, the pair look to attack from ball one. When Nissanka fires, the entire team gains momentum and becomes competitive.
Kusal Mendis has hamstring stiffness from the New Zealand game and isn't expected to take part, meaning Kamil Mishara gets recalled as wicketkeeper-batter. Kamindu Mendis and Dasun Shanaka add firepower during the middle period before launching the assault in the final five overs.
Dushmantha Chameera leads the bowling attack with the new ball and goes after early breakthroughs. His form throughout this tournament has been excellent, claiming nine scalps in five appearances. How he handles Sahibzada Farhan, Saim Ayub, and Salman Agha will largely determine Pakistan's eventual total.
The spinners, Dunith Wellalage and Maheesh Theekshana, should play a big role on this pitch. Their job will be to apply pressure and restrict Pakistan's batters during the middle phase.
SL Over/Under Betting Tips
Kusal Mendis Total Runs Over 22.5 @ 1.85
Mendis hasn't been at his best in the last three matches, where he has failed to score runs, but in the six matches he has played this World Cup he managed to score over 22 runs in three matches. We back Mendis to end his World Cup campaign on a high and score over 22 runs in today's match.
Sri Lanka Predicted Playing XI:
Pathum Nissanka,Kamil Mishara(w), Charith Asalanka, Pavan Rathnayake, Kamindu Mendis, Dasun Shanaka(c), Dunith Wellalage, Dushan Hemantha, Dushmantha Chameera, Maheesh Theekshana, Dilshan Madushanka
Sri Lanka Key Players From Previous Game Of ICC Men's T20 World Cup, 2026
Sri Lanka Actual Playing XI:
Charith Asalanka, Janith Liyanage, Kamil Mishara, Pathum Nissanka, Pavan Rathnayake, Kamindu Mendis, Dasun Shanaka, Dunith Wellalage, Maheesh Theekshana, Dushmantha Chameera, Dilshan Madushanka
Pakistan Preview
Pakistan have not had the start they wanted in the Super 8 stage. Their opening match against New Zealand got abandoned because of rain, and then England beat them in the second fixture. What they need to do now is pretty clear: only a big victory here gives them a shot at making the semi-finals.
Sahibzada Farhan has been the best batsman for them in the top order, scoring 283 runs across four games with a strike rate of 164. He attacks from the first delivery and should be able to score 30 runs or more while maintaining a strike rate above 130 during the powerplay against Sri Lanka.
Fakhar Zaman and Usman Khan provide stability through the middle overs, making sure the scoreboard ticks along as the innings progresses. Shadab Khan and Mohammad Nawaz then explode in the final overs, smashing boundaries and finishing things off with clean striking. The way they play against Sri Lanka's spin attack will probably decide who wins this match.
Pakistan's spinners have carried the bowling attack throughout this World Cup, claiming 27 out of the 38 wickets the team has taken so far. Saim Ayub bowls in the powerplay and has shown he can pick up big wickets early on. Once the middle overs arrive, Nawaz and Shadab become the main bowling choices. Pakistan may think about using Abrar Ahmed in this game because his different styles have troubled batsmen on this sluggish pitch.
Usman Tariq bowls with an awkward action that makes him hard to read, and he might be their best weapon to break down the opposition's middle-order batsmen.
Fast bowler Shaheen Afridi returned to form in the last match by grabbing 4-30, and he can cause damage to Sri Lanka's top-order batsmen during the powerplay phase.
PAK Over/Under Betting Tips
Sahibzada Farhan Total Runs Over 24.5 @ 1.85
Sahibzada Farhan has scores of 63 and 100 in the last two matches. He is in really good this world cup and has scored over 24 runs in four of the last five matches, given his current run of form, we back Farhan to score over 24 runs in today's must win match against Sri Lanka.
Pakistan Predicted Playing XI:
Sahibzada Farhan, Saim Ayub, Salman Agha (c), Babar Azam, Fakhar Zaman, Usman Khan (wk), Shadab Khan, Mohammad Nawaz, Shaheen Afridi, Abrar Ahmed/Salman Mirza, Usman Tariq
Pakistan Key Players From Previous Game Of ICC Men's T20 World Cup, 2026
Pakistan Actual Playing XI:
Fakhar Zaman, Naseem Shah, Shaheen Afridi, Abrar Ahmad, Sahibzada Farhan, Agha Salman, Usman Khan, Khawaja Nafay, Shadab Khan, Mohammad Nawaz, Usman Tariq
PITCH AND WEATHER CONDITIONS
Weather Conditions
The conditions are likely to be warm and humid with a good deal of cloud cover, and scattered showers or light rain are possible in the evening hours, though heavier rain isn’t guaranteed. Skies should remain mostly cloudy through the match period, with temperatures in the low-20s °C at the start and only slightly cooler later on.
SL vs PAK Pitch Report
Pitch Condition
BalancedBatting Conditions
High ScoringPace Bowling
Pace BounceSpin Bowling
Average Turn
Six games in this T20 World Cup have been played at Pallekele, and scores from teams batting first have mostly fallen between 150 and 170. The surface allows stroke play early on, but run-making gets harder as the innings progresses, particularly once the spinners come into the attack during the middle overs. In the last match held here, Pakistan made 164 for 9 after opting to bat, and England chased it down in the final over of the contest.
If Pakistan get to bat first again, they will be targeting something around 170 to 180. For Sri Lanka, a total in the 160 to 170 range in the first innings should be enough to give their bowlers something to defend.
Total Over/Under Betting Tips
Sri Lanka to win the coin toss @ 1.90
We back Sri Lanka to win the coin toss in today's match against Pakistan.
Toss: To Bowl
With cloud cover expected, the captain who reads the toss correctly should look to field first and take advantage of the help on offer. A couple of early breakthroughs can swing the contest in the opening phase itself.
In the previous game played here, Pakistan opted to bat first, but eventually lost the game as England chased down their target of 164 with quite ease.
SL vs PAK
Winning Prediction
Pakistan go into this clash on the back of a frustrating loss in their previous outing. It has turned into a do-or-die game for them, as another defeat would knock them out of the World Cup. Moreover, they need to win by a big enough margin to overtake New Zealand’s NRR, in case they lose to England. The biggest concern is the batting unit. If Sahibzada Farhan fails to get going at the top, the middle order often finds itself chasing a climbing rate and taking chances they would rather avoid.
Sri Lanka have problems of their own. Their batting depends heavily on Kusal Mendis and Pathum Nissanka, and if both misfire, the rest can struggle to keep things steady. Much of the responsibility could fall on their bowlers, particularly the spinners. That said, Pakistan hold a slight edge thanks to deeper spin options and a better-performing batting unit, giving them a 55 to 45 advantage.
We are backing Pakistan as the winners of this clash.
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