Hampshire will defeat Surrey
Our prediction is that Hampshire will defeat Surrey on 30th April at Kennington Oval ground and retain their second place in the points table.
This season does not look a promising one for the three-time-finalists Surrey. The hosts have secured just one win from their past five games this season. Surrey lost badly to Gloucestershire in the first match. They lost to Sussex before beating mighty Essex on the home ground, but Middlesex defeated them on the same ground two days later. They got their fourth defeat against Glamorgan by 64 runs.
Hampshire, the winner of the Royal London Cup 2018, look incredible this season after winning four out of five matches. They won all their home matches comfortably, against Glamorgan, Middlesex and Gloucestershire. They won their first match against Kent and lost the only away game against Essex.
This year, barring one game against Essex, Surrey’s performances have been dismal. They collapsed in 88 runs while chasing Gloucestershire’s total of 235. They were favorite in the second match against Sussex, also the batsmen had put up a decent total of 274, but the bowlers failed to defend the total.
Surrey got their first success in the third match against Essex in which the batsmen and bowlers shone equally. BT Foakes made 82 runs, RJ Burns amassed 55. J Roy and O Pope too chipped in with their 30s. From the bowling unit, Morkel struck with 4 wickets for 23, and Plunkett finally stood for his team grabbing 4 for 50. They again tasted unwanted defeat at the home against Middlesex by failing to chase 278 runs. Despite Foakes' 71 runs and 40 odd runs from Burns and Elgar, they fell short by 37 runs. Foakes has been impressive so far with 263 runs in the tournament. Among their bowlers, Morne Morkel shines with 11 wickets.
It will be an uphill task for Surrey to rise in the points table from the 8th position but winning against Hampshire should be their first goal.
RJ Burns (c), MD Stoneman, WG Jacks, D Elgar, BT Foakes (wk), JL Smith, J Clark, SC Meaker, C McKerr, GJ Batty, M Morkel
It was a fantastic 2018 season for Hampshire as they topped the points table of South Group. Then they defeated Kent to clinch the Royal London Cup for the first time. This year they started pretty well by winning their first four games. In three of those matches, they batted first and put up 300 plus totals and won by huge margins. Their highest score in this tournament is 331 versus Gloucestershire which they won by 71 runs (D/L method). In this match, the captain James Vince played a big inning of 190 runs.
Hampshire got a big target of 342 runs from Essex at Chelmsford in the fifth match. With 7 of the batsmen scoring 10 or fewer runs, it was never an achievable target for any team and they lost despite Rossouw’s fighting 93 runs in 72 balls. The captain James Vince has been the backbone for the team. He is the highest scorer for Hampshire with 402 runs. Rossouw, another key player has amassed 215 runs so far. Liam Dawson has bagged 11 wickets in 5 matches and scored 117 runs. Abbott has been excellent with 11 wickets so far.
James Vince (c), Kyle Abbott, Tom Alsop (wk), Gareth Berg, Mason Crane, Liam Dawson, James Fuller, Aiden Markram, Sam Northeast, Rilee Rossouw, Brad Wheal.
The venue for this match is Kennington Oval, London. On this ground, the highest and lowest totals are 398 and 103 runs. The average first and second innings score here are 249 and 213. Also, the highest total chased on this ground is 322 and lowest defended is 241.
On this ground, previous two matches of this season were won by the team batting first, both times the winning team posted total close to 280. The team winning toss would look to bat first.
Head to head, Hampshire have an edge over Surrey with 3 wins out of 5 matches. Surrey has won just one in 5 matches while Hampshire has lost just one out of five games. It is the competition between second and eighth-ranked teams. It is very challenging for Surrey to climb the points ladder and reach the playoffs. Though it is a home match, beating Hampshire that has so many key contributors wouldn't be an easy task for them.
Looking at current standings of both the teams in this tournament, also the overall record against each other, our prediction is that Hampshire will beat Surrey in an away game on 30th April 2019 at Kennington Oval, London.
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