Can West Indies repeat the heroics of Port Elizabeth against South Africa after 14 years?
We predict that West Indies will defeat South Africa.
South Africa are travelling to the Caribbean for the first time in 11 years to play a two-test match series followed by 5 T20Is. The first Test match of the tour will be played at Daren Sammy National Cricket Stadium, Gros Islet, St Lucia between 10 to 14 June. Since the start of 2019, South Africa have played only 11 Tests. Therefore CSA has taken various steps to give more exposure to their players before the next World Test Championship circle kicks in. South Africa finished their campaign on 7th spot, one below the hosts West Indies. The rebuilding of the new team under the new captain has been taken into consideration after losing 8 of the last 11 tests.
On the other hand, the West Indies camp is currency high on confidence after beating Bangladesh 2-0 at their home followed by drawing the series against Sri Lanka. They have kept their faith in Kraigg Brathwaite’s captaincy. They will be looking to continue their success in 2021 with Australia and Pakistan series in mind.
In 28 Test matches between these two, South Africa have won 18 times while West Indies have only managed to get an upper hand 3 times. It’s been 14 years since the last time hosts have managed to beat the visitors. But recent forms of these teams are showing a nail-biting Test series this time.
West Indies were left in a difficult situation when fast bowler Maequino Mindley tested positive for Covid-19. After everyone tested negative including Mindley, a 17-men squad was announced for the series. Shai Hope, Roston Chase, and Kieren Powell are included in the squad after missing the test series against Sri Lanka. Chase who missed the central contract earlier is included in the squad after an eye-catching performance with bat and ball for his home team Hamilton. Kieren Powell will be playing Test cricket after a gap of 3 years. He has already played 40 Tests for the maroons with his last test coming against Bangladesh in 2018.
Trinidad and Tobago Fast bowlers Jayden Sealas has been picked by the selector after playing only a first-class match for West Indies A in New Zealand. He has risen to the level after claiming 10 wickets in the Under-19 World Cup in SA last year. Kemar Roach will also be part of the squad after successfully completing his county stint with Surrey. The big guy Rahkeem Cornwall and Jomel Warrican are continued to be part of the spin team along with Chase.
Alzarri Joseph, Jason Holder, and Shannon Gabriel have been retained in the squad after a successful Sri Lanka series.
Key Players: Kraigg Brathwaite, Jason Holder, Roston Chase.
Kraigg Brathwaite (C), Jermaine Blackwood (VC), Nkrumah Bonner, Darren Bravo, Roston Chase, Rahkeem Cornwall, Jason Holder, Shai Hope, Alzarri Joseph, Joshua Da Silva, Shannon Gabriel.
Kemar Roach, Jayden Seales, Nkrumah Bonner, Jermaine Blackwood, Jason Holder, Joshua Da Silva, Roston Chase, Rahkeem Cornwall, Shai Hope, Kyle Mayers, Kraigg Brathwaite
South Africa recently announced a 19-men squad for the Test series. After Quinton de Kock decided to step down as a captain, CSA decided to go ahead with their opening batsman Dean Elgar to carry on the squad for the next WTC cycle. Elgar has another work to fill the void left in the squad after the retirement of SA legend Faf du Plessis. The selectors have decided to go ahead with a seasoned Keegan Peterson to take the place of du Plessis. Peterson has experience of 97 first-class games and has earned a call earlier after he finished his 2018-19 domestic season with 923 runs at an average of 61.53.
Six uncapped players have been called for the series with off-spinning all-rounder Prenelan Subrayen and fast bowler Lizaad Williams. Subrayen will boost the spinning squad that already has players like Keshav Maharaj, Tabraiz Shamsi, and George Linde. The spin-centric squad has been formed seeing the low and slow wickets. The fast bowling department will be headed by Kagiso Rabada with Anrich Nortje, Luigi Ndidi, and Marco Jensen.Key Players: Dean Elgar, Aiden Makram, Keshav Maharaj, Kagiso Rabada.
Dean Elgar (c), Temba Bavuma (VC), Aiden Makram, Keshav Maharaj, Kagiso Rabada, Quinton de Kock (W), Beuran Hendricks, Keegan Peterson, Anrich Nortje, Luigi Ndidi, Rassie van der Dussen.
Wiaan Mulder, Anrich Nortje, Keegan Petersen, Quinton de Kock, Lungi Ngidi, Aiden Markram, Dean Elgar, Kyle Verreynne, Kagiso Rabada, Keshav Maharaj, Rassie van der Dussen
|Hr||Temp||Rain||W. speed||W. direction||Clouds|
|00h||28||0.50 mm.||6.79 k/h||From: E||89%|
|03h||27||0.21 mm.||7.6 k/h||From: E||92%|
|06h||27||0.19 mm.||7.62 k/h||From: E||96%|
|09h||27||0.11 mm.||6.92 k/h||From: E||100%|
|12h||27||0 mm.||6.66 k/h||From: E||99%|
|15h||28||0.26 mm.||5.78 k/h||From: E||86%|
|18h||28||0.98 mm.||6.3 k/h||From: E||81%|
|21h||27||0.27 mm.||5.9 k/h||From: E||100%|
The pitch is flat and slow. The weather will be Cloudy throughout the day There is a 60% chance of rain today. The temperature will vary between 26°C to 30°C. Some showers are expected on the final day of the Test.
The venue for this match is Daren Sammy National Cricket Stadium, Gros Islet, St Lucia. It has a capacity of 15,000 spectators. Established in 2002, has already hosted 7 Tests. In 2016, it was renamed after the T20 World Cup 2016 winning captain Darren Sammy.
It’s a batting wicket. In the 7 tests played so far on this ground, the team batting first has won 3 times whereas other occasions have ended up in a draw. The average first inning score is 374 which is 105 runs more than the averages of other innings. Therefore team winning the toss should bat first to start on a high note.
Though the past history shows that South Africa has taken 60% of the win compared to hosts’ 10%, the recent form will give an upper hand to West Indies. Also, they had phenomenal at home in the past few years before the pandemic. All teams are currently rusty and the home may slightly have an advantage there. The SA team is currently reshaping and bound to meet setbacks.
We predict that West Indies will defeat South Africa.