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Albania vs Spain, UEFA Euro 2024, Today Match Prediction

Merkur Spiel Arena, Dusseldorf

Albania Eyes Upset Against Dominant Spain

  • Spain on average scored 2.83 Goals per game in their last six outings
  • Spain are undefeated against Albania in head to head encounters (3-0)
  • Albania scored 9 Goals in their last six appearances

Spain to Win (0-2)

Tournament: UEFA Euro 2024 | Venue: Merkur Spiel Arena, Dusseldorf

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Heading into this match, Albania will be motivated to try and create an upset over the much more talented Spain. They have been able to pull off upsets against star-studded squads like Poland and draw with Iceland twice in the past 6 to 8 months. Winning or tying in 3 of their previous 4 matches, the Albania team will look up to Jasir Asani, who notched 3 goals with 2 assists in qualifiers. Armando Broja is likely to come off the bench with Ray Manaj starting.

For Spain, their dominance on the pitch continues after two big wins against Croatia and Italy. They are already assured a spot in the round of 16. This team hopes to keep the same starting 11, with Nico Williams playing a crucial role both in this match and future matches. Despite yet to show his scoring ability with 1 goal, he has racked up 5 assists in 14 matches. Williams is looking to put shots past the keeper in hopes of starting a new trend as a catalyst. 

Albania Preview

Entering this match after a thrilling 2-2 draw against Croatia, Albania will be brimming with motivation to pull off another upset. Led by Elseid Hysaj, the longest-reigning player in the starting lineup with 85 international appearances, they will look to his leadership to guide them. Hysaj's experience has been instrumental in the development of young stars like Jasir Asani, with 4 goals in just 15 caps, and Rey Manaj, who boasts 8 goals in 36 international games. These two attackers provide valuable options, allowing for variation in the starting lineup.

In midfield, Nedim Bajrami offers a unique blend of defensive solidity, with 5 international goals in 25 matches, and attacking threat. Alongside him, Qazim Laci creates a formidable duo that applies pressure and creates space for the strikers. Klaus Gjusula, who earned an expanded role after his masterclass season with SV Darmstadt 98, has been rewarded for his consistency in creating chances. His impact was undeniable in the last match, scoring a crucial equalizer in extra time.

Goalkeeper Thomas Strakosha, a former key player for Lazio in Serie A until 2022, has stepped in admirably for the suspended and unfit captain Etrit Berisha. With an impressive 83.3% save percentage, ranked 7th in Europe, Strakosha provides a reliable last line of defense. Albania's combination of a developing attack and a consistent goalkeeper gives them a real chance of progressing from the group stages. 

Albania Probable Starting XI - Thomas Strakosha (Goalkeeper); Mario Mitaj, Arlin Ajeti, Berat Djimsiti, Elseid Hysaj (Defenders); Yiber Ramadani, Kristjan Asllani, Nedim Bajrami, Qazim Laci (Midfielders); Jasir Asani, Rey Manaj (Forwards)

Spain Preview

On the Spanish side, their dominance of European football continues as they aim to win their 4th European Championship trophy. Fresh off a narrow 1-0 victory over the formidable Italian offense, Spain's defense remains a force to be reckoned with. Dani Carvajal's leadership and clinical performance against elite attackers like Phil Foden and Harry Kane in the Champions League this year further solidifies his position as a defensive leader. 

Alongside the veteran Nacho, this backline provides a strong shield for Unai Simon, who has amassed an impressive 18 clean sheets for Bilbao this season. Simon himself has formed a solid partnership with Marc Cucurella. While their backline is near-impenetrable, Spain's offense is equally impressive. Alvaro Morata, who broke his scoring drought with a crucial goal in the 3-0 win over Croatia, now boasts 36 international goals. 

As the most experienced player upfront, Morata has played a crucial role in mentoring young talents like Nico Williams (1 goal, 3 assists in 4 qualifying matches) and Lamine Yamal (2 goals in 4 qualifying matches). Morata's guidance has ensured they don't shy away from opportunities near the net. If midfielders Fabian Ruiz (1 goal, 1 assist vs Croatia) and Dani Olmo (8 goals for Spain) can find consistent form, Spain possesses one of the most complete teams in the world, capable of dominating any opponent on their day.

Spain Probable Starting XI - Unai Simon (Goalkeeper); Marc Cucurella, Robin Le Normand, Nacho, Dani Carvajal (Defenders); Fabian Ruiz, Martin Zubimendi, Dani Olmo (Midfielders); Nico Williams, Lamine Yamal, Alvaro Morata (Forwards)

ESP Over/Under Betting Tips

Spain to hold on the ball possession under 66.5% 1.95

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It is going to an even contest in terms of controlling the possessions and Albania who on average have a ball possession of 34% in the competition will look to have a much better game and we predict Spain to hold on the ball possession under 66.5%.

Over/Under Goals Total Tips

Total Goals over 2.5 1.92

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The average goals per match in the head to head matches between the both the teams is 2.67. Spain will look to continue their dominance and clinch another win, while Albania will look to better their goal scoring record. We predict the total goals in today's match to be over 2.5.

In this match, Spain's experience is likely to overshadow Albania's talent. Six-time Champions League winners Nacho Fernandez and Dani Carvajal lead a rock-solid Spanish defense. Expect a fast start to the game with both teams looking to attack. Nico Williams, hoping to capitalize on the close opportunities he missed in the previous game, will look to exploit any weaknesses in the Albanian defense with his agility and lightning-quick dribbling skills. 

The Albanian backline, unlikely to have faced attackers of this caliber before, will have their hands full. Albania's leader Elseid Hysaj, who has experience competing against top strikers in Serie A, will be crucial in marshalling a tough defense. However, Spain's formidable backline will be a tough challenge to overcome. While Rey Manaj could help create pressure upfront, Spain will likely dominate possession throughout the match. 

Spain to Win (0-2)


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Author: Neev Chopra