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Arsenal FC vs Tottenham Hotspur FC, English Premier League 2024-25, Today Match Prediction

Emirates Stadium, Holloway, London

North London Derby: Gunners to Grind Out a Win

  • Arsenal are undefeated in their last five EPL outings against Tottenham Hotspurs, averaging 1.8 goals per game.
  • The average total goals per game in the last five meetings between the Gunners & Spurs is 3.1
  • In their last five home games, Arsenal are averaging 1.6 goals per game.

Arsenal to Win (2-1)

Tournament: English Premier League 2024-25 | Venue: Emirates Stadium, Holloway, London

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The Gunners are feeling a sudden dip after drawing to Brighton in their last Premier League outing at the Amex, losing the first leg of the Carabao Cup semi-final to Newcastle and getting knocked out by a resurgent Manchester United. Arteta has had a rough season to deal with, first losing Martin Odegaard in the first half of the season and now having to deal with Saka’s absence. Arsenal are in a dire situation, having not won a trophy since the 2019/20 FA Cup. 

As for Spurs, they’ve scored the second highest goals in the Premier League after Liverpool. But, suffer from defensive frailties. First choice centre backs - Romero and Mickey are out injured. Absentee keeper Vicario also adds stress to the situation for Ange Postcouglou. The Lilywhites got the better of Liverpool, unlike their North London counterparts, in the Carabao Cup semi-final. Ange’s men had to toil to victory against a team 96 places below them in the National League. 

They eventually progressed to the next round of the FA Cup after quickfire goals against Tamsworth in extra time. The Australian boss can get the better of Arteta after the Gunners miserably failed to beat a work-in-progress Manchester United. Spurs are the kind of team who can beat anyone on their day. But for that, all cogs in the machine must be made to work. The table is also getting tight and nothing but a win could course correct Spurs’ campaign. 

Head to Head Record: Both teams have played each other 65 times. Arsenal have won 25 games, Spurs have won 16, with 24 stalemates played out. The Gunners have scored 106 goals against the Lilywhites. Spurs have scored 81 goals. 

Current Standings : The Gunners are in 2nd with 40 points. Spurs are languishing in 12th with 24 points. 

Arsenal FC Preview

Arsenal have the better track record at the Emirates, especially against Spurs. The Gunners are yet to lose on home soil - winning 6 and drawing 3. They are the only team to avoid defeat at their home ground, but anything can happen on derby day. The Gunners have won 6 of their last 8 Premier League games against Spurs - losing one and drawing one. If Arsenal win, it will be the first time they emerge victorious in three consecutive games in 36 years.

In the reverse fixture at the Tottenham Hotspur Arena, the Gunners won by a goal. If Spurs lose, it will be the 5th time Arsenal do the double and take the North London crown. The Gunners’ possess the partnership of Saliba and Gabriel which has proved fruitful, keeping 4 consecutive home game clean sheets. It won’t be easy getting to 5, but the Gunners have the capacity to deal with a potent Spurs attack. 

Player to watch out for 

Although Kai Havertz received plenty of criticism for his performance against Arsenal, he got into threatening positions. The Gunners suffered since he couldn’t apply the finishing touch. But the German does perform really well in London derbies. His last 11 Premier League goals have been scored in London. Only fellow German, Podolski was on a longer run - where he scored 12 goals for Arsenal between 2012 and 2014. Kai Havertz could win Arsenal hearts if he applies the finishing touches and sees victory. 

Injury - Nwaneri, Saka, Tomiyasu, White, Calafiori, Jesus and Jorginho are out. 

Arsenal probable XI - Raya (GK), Timber, Gabriel, Saliba, Lewis-Skelly (DEF), Rice, Odegaard, Merino (MID), Trossard, Havertz, Martinelli (FWD) 

Tottenham Hotspur FC Preview

The Lilywhites have been lacking confidence and results at the Emirates. They’re now winless in 13 games since 2010. Spurs have only won 1 game of their last 31 in the competition against the Gunners at the Emirates - drawing 12 and losing 18. The last 25 Premier League games have made Spurs concede at least once against the Gunners. In the history of English top-flight only Bolton have been on a long spree without a clean sheet - 35 games. 

Spurs are struggling for consistency and for wins. They’ve now only won 1 of their last 8 Premier League games - drawing 2 and losing 5. The only win came against a sure to be relegated Southampton on the 16th of December. Spurs have recorded the fewest points (5) in the league after Leicester (4) and Southampton (1), who happen to be in the relegation zone. Pressure is mounting on Ange Postcouglou with the lack of wins. 6 managers have already been replaced and the Australian could easily be next in the line of fire. 

Player to watch out for 

Son has been integral to the Spurs squad. No wonder Chairman Daniel Levy and Ange decided to trigger their captain’s contract to 2026. The South Korean has provided more assists than anyone in the Premier League after attempting to ball carry this season (5). One more assist and Son will be the leading provider in club history. The Lilywhites are very threatening with the combination of Solanke, Son and Kulusevki and have the capacity to make something out of absolutely nothing. 

Injury - Bentacur, Davies, Romero, Udogie, van den Ven, Vicario, Odobert and Richarlison are out.

Spurs probable XI - Kinsky (GK), Porro, Dragusin, Gray, Spence (DEF), Bissouma, Bergvall, Maddison (MID), Solanke, Son, Kulusevski (FWD)

We predict a close match, but we're backing Arsenal to win. They have a slight edge in experience, and while their recent form has been poor, Spurs are also struggling with injuries and inconsistency. Arsenal's vulnerability early in games could be exploited by Spurs, but we believe the Gunners can weather the storm and ultimately secure a victory.

Arsenal to Win (2-1)

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Author: Vishnu Reddy