Arsenal FC vs Tottenham Hotspur FC, English Premier League 2025-26, Today Match Prediction

Arsenal FC vs Tottenham Hotspur FC Match Prediction & Analysis

After frustrating draws in winnable games last weekend, Arsenal and Tottenham will look to reset in the North London derby as they meet in a high-stakes top-of-the-table clash. The action kicks off at 10 PM IST this Sunday at the Emirates Stadium. With both sides coming off draws and the top half of the table tightly packed, neither can afford to settle for a draw this time. Expect both to chase a win—and a cracking contest as a result.

Current Standings: Despite dropping points in the last contest, Arsenal continues to sit comfortably at the top of the league with 26 points, while Tottenham are down at the fifth spot with 18 points. 

Head-to-Head Record: Arsenal have traditionally held the upper hand in this rivalry, leading the head-to-head with 27 wins to Tottenham’s 15, along with 24 draws along the way. 

TEAMS PREVIEW

Arsenal FC Preview

Arsenal are heading into a demanding week that could shape their season—starting with Tottenham, followed by Bayern Munich in the Champions League, and then a tricky league trip to Stamford Bridge. With Manchester City only four points behind, every match carries weight, and any dropped points could tighten the title race further. 

That pressure has only increased after their 2–2 draw with Sunderland last gameweek, a result that snapped their 812-minute run without conceding and marked the first time this campaign they’ve let in two goals in a game.

Even so, there’s no reason for Arteta to hit the panic button. Before that slip-up, Arsenal had stitched together five straight wins and were minutes away from a sixth before Raya’s late error. On Sunday, Arteta will simply urge his side to stay focused and get back to what they’ve been doing so well.

Stats that matter 

1. Arsenal have conceded only once in their last eight matches at home.
2, The Gunners have been deadly from dead-ball situations this season, leading the league with 10 set-piece goals—more than any other team.
3. Arsenal have managed to score in the last 26 Premier League  games against Tottenham. 

Team News 

Arsenal head into the derby with a worrying injury list. Gabriel is ruled out after suffering an adductor issue in Brazil’s friendly at the Emirates, while Arteta is still sweating on the fitness of Calafiori, Timber and Gyökeres. 

Arsenal Probable Starting Lineup - David Raya (GK); Jurriën Timber, Saliba, Mosquera, White (Defenders); Odegaard, Martín Zubimendi, Declan Rice (Midfielders); Eze, Merino, Saka (Forwards).

Tottenham Hotspur FC Preview

Like Arsenal, this is a big one for Spurs too, especially after dropping points in back-to-back games—a 2–2 draw with Manchester United followed by a narrow 1–0 defeat to Chelsea. The 2-2 draw  may as well be still hurting Thomas Frank given they were on course for a win after a stoppage time goal from Richarlison only to be denied five minutes later by de Ligt and United. Those results have seen Spurs slip out of the top three, landing in fifth and level on points with four other sides.

The upside for Frank’s men is their strong away form—four wins from five on the road, including a 2–0 triumph over Manchester City, with the other ending in a draw. If they maintain that standard, they should leave the Emirates with at least a point.

Stats that matter

1. Tottenham remain the only unbeaten side in the league this season.
2. As a coach, Thomas Frank has remained winless in the last seven matches against Arsenal. (D2, L5).
3. Spurs haven’t been firing freely this season, averaging just 9.73 shots per game—the third-worst tally in the league this season.

Team News 

The Brazil–Senegal friendly also brought bad news for Spurs, with Pape Sarr forced off in the second half and now a doubt for the derby. In the meantime, Frank will also be sweating on the availability of Lucas Bergvall, who’s still recovering from a concussion.

Tottenham Probable Starting Lineup -  Vicario (GK): Pedro Porro, Danso, Van de Ven, Spence (Defenders); Bentacur, Kudus, Palhinha ( Midfielders); Simons/Odobert, Johnson, Richarlison (Forwards).

ARSENAL FC vs TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR FC
Winning Prediction

Arsenal hold the head-to-head edge, winning five of the last six league meetings—including the last three—but this derby may hinge on absences than on the past history. Without Gabriel, Arsenal could approach the game more cautiously, while Spurs’ attacking struggles persist, having posted the league’s lowest open-play xG over the last four matches. That sets the stage for set pieces to play a decisive role—and in that department, the Gunners have a clear advantage. 

Arsenal to Win (1-0)

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