ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal, Indian Super League 2024-2025, Today Match Prediction

ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal Match Prediction & Analysis

The Kolkata derby in the Indian Super League (ISL) takes centre stage as former champions Mohun Bagan welcome their arch-rivals, East Bengal, at the Salt Lake Stadium in Kolkata on January 11th at 7:30 p.m. IST. For the fans as well as the neutrals alike, the timing of the match couldn't have been better with both playing well. 

Mohun Bagan, sitting proudly atop the table, have silenced doubters with commanding wins over Punjab (3-1) and Hyderabad (3-0) after their narrow loss to Goa. On the other hand, East Bengal, despite a 2-3 defeat to Mumbai, has shown glimpses of brilliance of late, making them formidable challengers. With both teams fired up, Saturday's derby promises to be an unmissable spectacle!

Current Standings: After 16 rounds, Mohun Bagan, with 10 wins, 2 defeats, and 2 draws, are currently placed at the top of the points table. Meanwhile, the visitors occupy the 11th position with 4 wins, 2 draws, and 8 defeats. 

Head-to-head record: Bengaluru FC and Kerala Blasters have been involved in 8 matches in the ISL; of these, Mohun Bagan has an unblemished record of 7-0 with one draw. 

TEAMS PREVIEW

ATK Mohun Bagan Preview

Bagan’s dominance in the league seems almost inevitable now. Against Hyderabad FC, who sit 12th on the table, the Nizams controlled possession (55%), made more passes (457 to 368), and boasted better accuracy (80% to 74%). Yet, none of it mattered. Bagan, clinical as ever, netted three goals and nearly doubled Hyderabad’s xG (2.09). With this win, they’ve stormed five points clear at the top, proving once again that stats mean little against their ruthless efficiency. 

Mohun Bagan FC are ranked 4th in ball possession with 55.4%. They average 15.8 shots and 7.1 corners per game. Jamie MacLaren is the top scorer with 5 goals. Alberto Rodriguez and Jason Cummings have also scored 4 goals each this season. On the defensive side, the team makes an average of 16.1 clearances and 3.6 saves per game, the 2nd best in the season. They have managed 16 tackles and 11.2 interceptions but conceded 0.92 goals per game.

Team News

Mohun Bagan faces a setback as key midfielder Anirudh Thapa is ruled out for 10 to 15 days following a training injury ahead of the Kolkata Derby against East Bengal. However, there’s good news for the Mariners—Greg Stewart is fit and ready to start, having already made a substitute appearance in the Hyderabad game.

Stats that matter

1. With the win over Hyderabad, Mohun Bagan have extended their unbeaten run at home to six games with six wins.
2. Mohun Bagan have scored the most number of goals (18) at home while conceding the fewest (6).
3.Mohun Bagan have got the best xG (1.77) for any team this season.
4. Mohun Bagan have kept the highest number of clean sheets this season with 7.
5.Mohun Bagan scored around 27% of their matches between the period 31-45, the highest for a team in that phase.

Mohun Bagan Probable XI - V. kaith(GK) , Rai, Rodriguez, Aldred, Bose, Ralte, Tangri, M. Singh, Cummings, Colaco, Maclaren

East Bengal Preview

Once again, East Bengal's hopes were dashed in the dying moments, as Nikos Karelis' 87th-minute strike snatched a thrilling 3-2 victory, denying them what could have been a hard-fought 2-2 draw. The defeat also marked the first loss for the Red and Gold Brigade in  three games. 

East Bengal FC are ranked 8th in ball possession with 48.4%. They average 12.4 shots and 4.3 corners per game. David Lalhlansanga, Vishnu PV and Dimitris Diamantakos are the top scorers with 3 goals each this season. On the defensive side, the team makes an average of 18.3 clearances and 2.9 saves per game, the 7th best in the season. They have managed 14 tackles and 7.4 interceptions but conceded 1.42 goals per game.

Team News 

Ahead of the upcoming Kolkata Derby against Mohun Bagan, East Bengal will be without midfielder Saul Crespo, who is recovering from an injury.  Ahead of the high-stakes Kolkata Derby, East Bengal has secured the signing of Venezuelan forward Richard Enrique Celis Sanchez. A versatile talent, Celis can not only lead the attack but also make a difference as a winger, adding firepower to the Red and Gold Brigade’s squad.

Stats that matter

1. East Bengal has won their last two of their last three home matches.
2. East Bengal have managed to keep clean sheets in four of their last eight matches.
3. East Bengal has tallied six reds this season, the most by a team.
4. East Bengal scores 44% of their goals between 46-60.

East Bengal Probable XI - Gill(GK), Lalchungnunga, Maher, Anwar Ali, Lakra, Yuste, Vishnu Puthiya, Thounaojam, N.Kumar,  C Silva,  Diamantskos. 

ATK MOHUN BAGAN vs EAST BENGAL
Winning Prediction

The stage is set for the second Kolkata Derby of the season, with Mohun Bagan holding a 2-0 victory in their first encounter. However, that was then, and East Bengal has grown stronger since. With only two losses in their last eight matches, they've shown real improvement. However, history is not on their side, as the Red and Gold Brigade has never beaten Mohun Bagan in the ISL—an intriguing challenge lies ahead.

These two teams have played in eight matches, and out of those eight, four have ended up with a 2-0 scoreline in favor of Mohun Bagan. Based on this, a similar result with a similar scoreline is possible. Meanwhile, most betting sites favor a win for Mohun Bagan. Mohun Bagan is tipped to win with odds of 1.47 against East Bengal's 6.25, and a draw at 4.65.

Mohun Bagan FC to Win (2-0)

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