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Aston Villa FC vs AFC Bournemouth, English Premier League 2024-25, Today Match Prediction

Villa Park, Birmingham

Can Aston Villa Maintain Their Dominance Against AFC Bournemouth?

  • The average number of goals scored by Aston Villa in home matches is 2, while AFC Bournemouth averages 1.39 goals in away matches
  • Average number of goals in the first half in meetings between Aston Villa and AFC Bournemouth is 1.6
  • In their last five encounters, Aston Villa and AFC Bournemouth have each won two matches, with one draw.

Aston Villa to Win (2-1)

Tournament: English Premier League 2024-25 | Venue: Villa Park, Birmingham

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Under Spanish manager, Unai Emery, Aston Villa have gone from Premier League strugglers to having the best start to the season in 26 years. Emery’s second anniversary was well spent at Villa park when they hosted Bologna. The Midland side have now climbed to the top of Europe’s best league, registering 3 wins from 3 games. 

Between now and the 1st of December, Villa have to face the likes of Tottenham, Liverpool, Juventus and Chelsea. Last week’s victory over Fulham meant Villa made the best start to the season after 8 games since 1998-1999. We are well and truly witnessing something great here. The two sides to benefit the most from goals and assists by substitutes this season are Aston Villa (4 goals, 2 assists) and Bournemouth (3 goals, 3 assists). 

For Bournemouth, they will have to be ready to put out a fight. Although they did pull the rabbit out of the hat when they faced the Gunners last week. Victory ended a dismal run of fixtures for the Cherries, who had lost the last four meetings by an aggregate of 13-2. Iraola will know there’s much more room for improvement from the league’s top runners in terms of distance covered.  

Head-to-Head Record : Both teams have played each other 9 times in all competitions. They share an equal number of wins, with a solitary draw to show for. 

Current Standings : Aston Villa sit in 4th position with 17 points. Bournemouth are in 11th position with 11 points. 

Aston Villa FC Preview

Having lost their first two Premier League home games against Bournemouth in 2016 and 2019, Aston Villa have won the last two by an aggregate of 6-1. Villa have picked up 17 points from 8 Premier League games this season (W5, D2, L1), just the third time they’ve had as many points at this stage, also doing so in 1995-96 (finished 4th) and 1998-99 (finished 6th).  Only Manchester have won more points (13) from losing positions this season, than Aston Villa (10) who won three games despite conceding first so far. 

Youri Tielemans has created 17 chances in the Premier League this season, the most of any Aston Villa player. He is creating 2.1 chances per 90 minutes on average in 2024-2025, his best ratio in a single Premier League campaign. 

Ollie Watkins has been involved in 15 goals in 9 Premier League appearances against teams whose name starts in B (8 Goals, 7 Assists), and has one goal and 4 assists  in his last 3 games against Bournemouth

Injury list - Robin Olsen has been ruled out through injury. 

Aston Villa Probable Starting Lineup -  Martinez (GK), Cash, Carlos, Torres, Digne (DEF), Onana, Tielemans, Bailey, Rogers, Ramsey (MID), Watkins, (FWD).

AFC Bournemouth Preview

Bournemouth have won 50% of their eight Premier League games against Aston Villa (W4, D1, L3) - of those they’ve faced as many times, against no side do they have a higher win rate in the competition. But in reality, this season Bournemouth have lost six of their last nine away Premier League matches (W2, D1), losing their last two without scoring since their late 3-2 comeback victory against Everton in August.

Only Manchester (157) and Tottenham (145) have had more shots in the Premier League this season than Bournemouth (130). Their current average of 16.3 shots per game is their highest ratio in a single top-flight campaign. No Premier League team has scored more goals from the 70th minute onwards than Bournemouth. 

The average minute of their goals has been 63rd minute, the latest average by a team in a single Premier League campaign. To add to their advantage, only 2 subs have scored and assisted in a game this season and both are Cherries players - Luis Sinisterra against Everton and Luis Kluivert against Arsenal. 

Semenyo was exquisite in his last outing. Currently Bournemouth don’t have any stand out players because they are well-drilled at working together as a cohort. But if players like Lewis Cook, Evanilson and Kluivert get in on the groove, they can become a tough team to play against. 

Injury list - Bournemouth have a fit squad with no reported injuries. 

Bournemouth Probable Starting Lineup -  Kepa (GK), Araujo, Zabarnyi, Senesi, Kerkez (DEF), Scott, Cook, Ouattara, Tavernier, Semenyo (MID), Evanilson (FWD).

Aston Villa have been unstoppable in Europe this season, especially at home. They know the identity, they’re happy with playing Unai’s brand of football. Funnily, shuttling games between Premier League and Champions league is never any easy one. That’s where things get tough. Opponents like Bournemouth will be ready to take whatever they’re given. Andoni’s men have been relentless against most teams, only the result has eluded their efforts. But we don’t expect them to go down without a fight at Villa park, which should make for an exciting spectacle. 

Aston Villa to Win (2-1)

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Author: Vishnu Reddy