Aston Villa FC vs Chelsea FC, English Premier League 2024-25, Today Match Prediction

Aston Villa FC vs Chelsea FC Match Prediction & Analysis

Aston Villa hosts Chelsea at Villa Park on Saturday at 11 p.m. IST in the final clash of Round 26. With both teams pushing for crucial points, this showdown has all the makings of a weekend thriller! Both teams sit in the top half of the table, but the pressure is firmly on Chelsea. Winless in their last two games—both against Brighton—across competitions, the Blues were humbled 3-0 in their most recent outing, leaving them desperate for a response. On the other hand, Villa will step in with confidence after holding league leaders Liverpool to a 2-2 draw.

Current Standings: With 43 points (12 wins, 7 draws & 6 defeats), Chelsea is currently placed 6th in the points table, while Villa occupies the 8th position with 39 points (10 wins, 9 draws, and 7 defeats).

Head-to-Head Record: In 59 matches that have been played between the teams, Chelsea has an impressive 30-15 win record over Villa.

TEAMS PREVIEW

Aston Villa FC Preview

Aston Villa will be out for revenge after their humbling defeat to Chelsea at Stamford Bridge in December. With the Blues struggling for form, this could be the perfect chance for the Villans to strike. However, before dreaming of payback, Villa must first rediscover the winning touch, having gone five games without a victory including four frustrating draws.  Despite their winless run, Aston Villa remain firmly in the Champions League race. They sit just five points behind fourth-placed Manchester City and just four behind Chelsea in the league standings. 

Ollie Watkins has hit his stride, while against Chelsea he has five goal involvements (3 goals, 2 assists) in his last nine Premier League games. He was on target again in Villa’s recent clash with Liverpool, taking his season tally to 12 goals and 5 assists.  Marcus Rashford is the other player that needs our attention in this clash, having netted four times in eight home Premier League games against Chelsea for Manchester United. 

Team News 

Aston Villa will be missing key players, with Pau Torres, Amadou Onana, Boubacar Kamara, and Ross Barkley sidelined. Meanwhile, Ezri Konsa and Leon Bailey remain doubtful and will face late fitness tests before kickoff.

Stats that matter

1. The 2-2 Liverpool game was the second time in four league matches that Aston Villa have dropped points from winning situations. 
2. Aston Villa are currently unbeaten in 13 home games in the league.
3. Aston Villa conceded goals in each of their last eight games across all competitions.
4. Aston Villa has scored 20% of their goals between 61-75.

Aston Villa Probable Starting Lineup - Martinez (GK); Garcia, Bogarde, Mings, Digne; Tielemans, McGinn; Rogers, Asensio, Rashford; Watkins

Chelsea FC Preview

"Not all that starts well ends well" perfectly sums up Chelsea’s season. After an impressive 12-game unbeaten run (W9 D3) late last year, the Blues have now found themselves tangled in a web of disappointments. Chelsea’s form has plummeted, winning just three of their last 10 games in all competitions and losing three of their last four. Their recent 2-1 defeat to Brighton was particularly dismal, failing to register a single shot on target. Once contenders, the Blues have now slipped to sixth, with four losses in their last eight Premier League matches.

With Nicolas Jackson sidelined and Nkunku still finding his rhythm, Cole Palmer will be key for Chelsea. He was the star in their last meeting with Villa, scoring and assisting. If the Blues are to break through this time, much of the attacking burden will fall on Palmer’s shoulders.

Team News 

Chelsea will be without Noni Madueke, Nicolas Jackson, Wesley Fofana, Omari Kellyman, Romeo Lavia, Marc Guiu, and Benoit Badiashile, while Mykhaylo Mudryk is suspended. Additionally, loanee Axel Disasi is ineligible to face his parent club.

Stats that matter

1. Chelsea have gone winless in their last five away games with three of them being defeats.
2. The xG of 0.54 against Brighton last game was Chelsea’s lowest xG recorded this season.
3. Cole Palmer is the top scorer for Chelsea this season with 14 goals.
4. The Blues have scored 19% of their goals between 16-30 minutes. 

Chelsea Probable XI - Jorgensen (GK) ; James, Tosin, Colwill, Cucurella; Caicedo, Fernandez; Neto, Palmer, Sancho; Nkunku

ASTON VILLA FC vs CHELSEA FC
Winning Prediction

Last time, Chelsea were favorites and proved why. But this time, the tide has turned. Villa’s strong home record and Chelsea’s attacking struggles—highlighted by Cole Palmer’s five-game goal and assist drought—make the ASton Villa the team to beat in this clash. As for the odds, the bookmakers have tipped Chelsea as slight favorites to edge out Aston Villa, albeit by the barest of margins, with odds of 2.60 for a Chelsea win, 2.65 for Aston Villa, and 3.60 for a draw. It's set to be a closely contested battle.

Aston Villa to Win (2-1)

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