Brighton & Hove Albion vs Liverpool FC, English Premier League 2025-26, Today Match Prediction

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Liverpool FC Match Prediction & Analysis

Liverpool travel to the American Express Stadium on Saturday having already beaten Brighton twice this season at Anfield, winning 2-0 in the league and 3-0 in the FA Cup fourth round. Yet Brighton beat Liverpool 3-2 at this very ground last season, and Hürzeler's side carry enough home confidence to make Slot's injury-hit visitors work extremely hard for anything here. 

Danny Welbeck carries 10 Premier League goals from 28 appearances this season, averaging a goal every 165 minutes, and at 35 years old, he continues to defy every expectation Hürzeler's coaching staff could reasonably set for him. 

Florian Wirtz, meanwhile, has contributed 4 goals and 2 assists across 26 Premier League appearances for Liverpool this season, earning an average FotMob rating of 7.19. It is the highest of any outfield starter in Slot's regular lineup. 

Current Standings: Brighton sit 12th in the Premier League table with 40 points, while Liverpool occupy 5th place on 49 points after 30 games played.

Head-to-Head Stats: Across 43 competitive meetings in history, Liverpool lead the head-to-head record with 23 wins to Brighton's 8, with 12 draws separating the sides. 

TEAMS PREVIEW

Brighton & Hove Albion Preview

Brighton carry a goal-scoring average of 1.43 per league game into this fixture, and they concede at a rate of 1.35 per game in the Premier League this season. These are figures that paint a picture of a side that contributes to open games without consistently dominating them. 

Across their last five games in all competitions, Brighton scored six times and let in four, with results reading: a 1-0 win at Sunderland, a 1-0 home loss to Arsenal, a 2-1 home win over Nottingham Forest, a 2-0 away win at Brentford, and a heavy 3-0 defeat against Liverpool.

That run blends genuine attacking promise at home with vulnerability in the big games. Their home record this season stands stronger than their away form, 19 goals scored and just 12 conceded in 11 home games, which works in their favour at the Amex, yet Liverpool away days test even the most organised backlines.

Danny Welbeck leads Brighton's scoring charts with 10 Premier League goals this season, supported by Diego Gómez on five and Jan Paul van Hecke contributing four from centre-back. It is a remarkably well-spread attacking output. 

On the team news front, Brighton head into this fixture with three confirmed absentees: Adam Webster remains sidelined with a knee injury expected to keep him out until early April, Mats Tzimas faces a long road back from a cruciate ligament injury until August, and Kaoru Mitoma carries an ankle knock that leaves him doubtful for Saturday. 

Hürzeler will need his available attackers to fire efficiently because Liverpool, even with their own injury concerns, possess the quality to punish any defensive lapses at the Amex.

Brighton & Hove Albion (4-2-3-1): Bart Verbruggen - Mats Wieffer, Jan Paul van Hecke, Lewis Dunk, Ferdi Kadioglu - James Milner, Pascal Groß - Diego Gómez, Jack Hinshelwood, Yankuba Minteh - Danny Welbeck.

Liverpool FC Preview

Liverpool average 1.63 goals scored per Premier League game this season, while conceding at a rate of 1.33 per game across their 30 league outings. These numbers reflect a side capable of hurting any opponent going forward, yet one that continues to leak goals at a frequency that keeps their league position under pressure.

Hugo Ekitike leads their scoring charts with 11 Premier League goals, supported by Cody Gakpo on six and Dominik Szoboszlai on five, giving Slot a varied and genuinely dangerous set of attacking options heading to the Amex. Across their last five games in all competitions, Liverpool scored nine times and conceded four, with results reading: a 4-0 win over Galatasaray, a 1-1 draw with Tottenham, a 1-0 loss to Galatasaray away, a 3-1 win at Wolves, and a 2-1 defeat to Wolves.

In the Champions League, Liverpool entered the league phase as reigning domestic champions, drawing home fixtures against Real Madrid, Atlético Madrid, PSV, and Qarabağ, and travelling to Inter Milan, Eintracht Frankfurt, Marseille, and Galatasaray, navigating a genuinely demanding group of opponents with mixed but competitive results throughout that phase.

On the injury front, Liverpool travel to Brighton with significant absentees shaping Slot's selection considerably. Conor Bradley remains out for the entire season with a knee injury, while Leoni, Bajcetic, and Endo all face lengthy absences stretching into May and August, respectively. Alexander Isak, signed for £125 million last September, sits out with a broken leg, expected to keep him sidelined until mid-April, robbing Liverpool of their record signing at a critical stage of the campaign.

Furthermore, Mohamed Salah carries a physical discomfort concern that leaves him listed as doubtful, and his potential absence would strip Liverpool of their assist leader and one of their most dangerous wide threats. It is a major blow heading into a game where Brighton's compact defensive shape demands every bit of quality the visitors can produce.

Liverpool (4-2-3-1): Alisson Becker - Dominik Szoboszlai, Joseph Gomez, Virgil van Dijk, Andrew Robertson - Ryan Gravenberch, Alexis Mac Allister - Jeremie Frimpong, Florian Wirtz, Rio Ngumoha - Cody Gakpo.

BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION vs LIVERPOOL FC
Winning Prediction

Liverpool will win a tight game at the Amex, with their superior squad depth and away record against Brighton will ultimately prove decisive despite the hosts' stubborn home form. Wirtz will create the difference in a game where chances stay limited throughout. Predicted scoreline: Brighton 1-2 Liverpool.

For the most profitable bet, Liverpool to win and both teams to score stands out, given Brighton's 10-goal home tally in their last seven home matches and Liverpool's tendency to concede regardless of the opponent. 

Liverpool to win (2-1)

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