AFC Bournemouth vs Arsenal FC, English Premier League 2024-25, Today Match Prediction

AFC Bournemouth vs Arsenal FC Match Prediction & Analysis

The Cherries have lost 11 of their 14 Premier League games against Arsenal, though all three exceptions have been in home games, the last was a 1-1 draw in December 2019). Since Bournemouth have returned to the Premier League in 2022, Arsenal have won all four of their meetings with the Cherries by an aggregate score 13-2, netting 3+ goals each time. 

Life this time in the Premier League has been fairly reasonable with 2 draws, 2 wins and 3 loses so far summing up their campaign. Unfortunately, each of Bournemouth’s last 10 Premier League wins have been against sides in the bottom half of the table. The Cherries are winless in their last 11 against sides in the top half since beating Manchester United 3-0 in December last year (D4, L7).

The Gunners, on the other hand, will be looking to take complete advantage of the situation. Liverpool and Chelsea extracted three points and Mikel Arteta will look to do the same. Arsenal’s 3-1 win over Southampton last time out was their 1,999th top-flight win. Victory here will see them become the second side to reach 2,000 after Liverpool (2,065). 

Head-to-Head Record : Both teams have played each other 17 times in all competitions. For the Gunners, the stats are almost laughable as they’ve picked up 13 wins. Bournemouth has a single win to show with the rest of the 3 matches ending in draws. 

Current Standings : Bournemouth are currently 13th on the table with 8 points while title contenders Arsenal sit 3rd behind Man City with 17 points from 7 games. 

TEAMS PREVIEW

AFC Bournemouth Preview

Bournemouth have had more shot ending high turnovers than any other side in the Premier League this season (18), while only three sides have faced fewer such shots than the Cherries (6). The gap between 13th and 8th is only 3 points, which means the Cherries are only a win away from climbing 5 spots, if other results also go their way. Such is the tightness in the middle of the table. This game is a good chance for Bournemouth to bounce back after a 1-0 slump against Leicester. 

Time to shine 

Striker Evanilson is Bournemouth’s new hope, after losing out Dominic Solanke to spurs who scored a whopping 19 goals last season in the Premier League. Evanilson may be feeling the pressure of a 40 million price tag but he has the quality to show. The 25 year old Brazilian had a fine season at Porto, from where he made the move. Adoni Iraolo will want his striker to quickly adapt to the high-octane league and justify that price tag. 

Stats That Matter 

Bournemouth are ranked 16th in ball possession with 44% averaging 16.7 shots per game. The Cherries score an average of 1.14 goals per match with a shooting accuracy of 31%. Antoine Semenyo is the top scorer with 3 goals. Lewis Cook and Luis Sinisterra have also scored 1 goal each this season. The team has an average of 4.4 saves per game, the 4th best in the season. They have conceded an average of 1.43 goals per match.

Bournemouth AFC Probable Starting Lineup -  Kepa (GK), Smith, Zabarnyi, Senesi, Kerkez (DEF), Cook, Christie, Semenyo, Tavernier, Sinisterra (MID), Evanilson (FWD)

Arsenal FC Preview

Arsenal are unbeaten in all 10 of their games in all competitions so far this season (W7, D3) - they last had a longer unbeaten run from the start of a campaign in 2007-08 (first 21). It would be unfortunate if Bukayo Saka and Kai Havertz miss out through injury. The young Englishman has scored 49 Premier League goals for Arsenal.  Aged 23 years and 44 days on the day of the game, a goal against Bournemouth would make him the youngest to net 50 for the club in the competition (11th player overall). 

While the German youngster has been involved in 20 goals in his last 21 Premier League appearances (13 goals, 7 assists). His first goal for Arsenal came in this exact fixture last season, netting a penalty in a 4-0 victory. Arsenal head to the vitality easily holding the upper hand, if the players are fit. No player has more secondary assists (the pass before the assist) in the Premier League this season than Arsenal’s Thomas Partey (3). 

Injury list - 

Kieran Tierney, Martin Odegaard, Oleksandr Zinchenko, Ben White, Jurrien Timber, Kai Havertz and Bukayo Saka will be sidelined as their team travels to the Southern coast. 

Stats That Matter 

Arsenal are ranked 10th in ball possession with 48.9% averaging 16.3 shots per game. The Gunners score an average of 2.14 goals per match with a shooting accuracy of 40%. Kai Havertz is the top scorer with 4 goals. Gabriel Martinelli and Bukayo Saka have also scored 2 goals each this season. The team has an average of 3.6 saves per game, the 7th best in the season. They have conceded an average of 0.86 goals per match.

Arsenal Probable Starting Lineup -  Raya (GK), Partey, Saliba, Gabriel, Calafiori, (DEF), Jorginho, Rice, Merino, Martinelli (MID), Trossard, Jesus (FWD).

AFC BOURNEMOUTH vs ARSENAL FC
Winning Prediction

Arsenal have won 10 of their 12 away Premier League games so far in 2024, with their only two failures both coming away against Manchester City (0-0 in March, 2-2 in September). Bournemouth are prone to experiencing setbacks from higher ranked teams, and this would be no exception. The team has played some good football, if only chances are converted, Iraola’s men can grow from strength to strength. 

Arsenal to Win (1-3)

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