AFC Bournemouth vs Brighton & Hove Albion, English Premier League 2024-25, Today Match Prediction

AFC Bournemouth vs Brighton & Hove Albion Match Prediction & Analysis

The Cherries were on a high after beating Man City. Iraola’s men also dispatched Arsenal in what was an unlikely turnaround of events. But they couldn't continue that momentum against a gritty Bournemouth side. Evanilson is proving his worth despite taking 6 games to open his account. If he continues scoring at this rate he will match Solanke’s 21 goal haul from last season. Unfortunately Ryan Christie is suspended after picking up his fifth yellow card of the season. 

Kluivert, Semenyo and Senesi are all walking a tightrope if they are not kept in check. Mark Travers has been focal to the Bournemouth fandom. He did exceptionally well against Aston Villa and Man City and was unlucky to be dropped against Brentford. It will be exciting to see if he starts again at the Vitality or if the Spaniard goes with his own countryman, Kepa.

The Seagulls did what most teams only dream of doing. They beat reigning champions Man City. The Southerners took encouragement from the Cityzens’ defensive frailties and capitalised with every chance. The German manager has captured the imagination of Brighton Fans and seems to be continuing the good work from his predecessors i.e. Graham Potter and Roberto De Zerbi. Fabian Hurzeler was named Premier League Manager of the month for August. 

The youngest manager to ever win the award. It seems like there are plenty more to follow if performances like this are to continue. Hurzeler has now beaten Man United, Spurs and City at the Amex in what is proving slowly and surely to be a fortress. 

Head-to-Head Record : Both teams have played each other 32 times. The Cherries have won 13 of those affairs. The Seagulls have won 11 and 8 matches have ended in a draw. 

Current Standings : Bournemouth are 12th with 15 points. Brighton are vying for a European spot under young manager Hurzeler. The Seagulls have now picked up 19 points from 11 games and sit in 6th position. Brighton are level on points with Arsenal, Chelsea and Forest, with only goal difference separating all teams. 

TEAMS PREVIEW

AFC Bournemouth Preview

Bournemouth have won four of their five Premier League home games against Brighton (L1), their highest win rate against any side they’ve faced more than three times at the Vitality Stadium (80%). Bournemouth have won each of their last three Premier League home games and could win four matches in a row on home turf in the top-flight for the very first time. Crystal Place (2,365) are the only team to record more pressures than Bournemouth (2,336) in the Premier League so far this season, with over half of them coming in the middle third (1,181), the highest proportion of any side (51%).

Bournemouth full back Milos Kerkez has recorded more overlaps into the final third (55) than any other player in the Premier League this season, with the 21-year-old recording the fifth-most crosses from open play of any defender in the competition so far this term (27). Evanilson has scored in each of his last three Premier League appearances. He could be the second Bournemouth player to net in four straight outings in the top-flight after Callum Wilson in September 2019.

Stats That Matter - Bournemouth are ranked fourth worst in ball possession with 44% averaging 15.2 shots per game. The Cherries score an average of 1.36 goals per match with a shooting accuracy of 31%. Antoine Semenyo and Evanilson are the top scorers with 4 goals each this season. The team has an average of 4.1 saves per game, the 3rd best in the season. They have conceded an average of 1.36 goals per match.

Injury list - Alex Scott, Luis Sinisterra, Dango Ouattara and Antonie Semenyo will all miss out.  

Bournemouth Probable Starting Lineup -  Arrizabalaga (GK), Smith, Zabarnyi, Senesi, Kerkez (DEF), Adams, Cook, Semenyo, Christie, Kluivert (MID) Evanilson (FWD)

Brighton & Hove Albion Preview

Brighton have won three of their last four Premier League games against Bournemouth, though the exception was a 3-0 loss in the most recent meeting in this exact fixture last season. Brighton and Hove Albion have won three of their last five Premier League games (D1 L1), as many victories as they managed across their previous 16 league matches (D6 L7); only Liverpool (13) have won more points than the Seagulls (10) in the top-flight since the beginning of October. 

Only Tottenham (121) and Manchester City (103) have recorded more high turnovers than Brighton (99) in the Premier League this season, although only Wolves (4) have scored more goals in the competition following such a turnover than Bournemouth (3). Excluding own goals, Brighton and Hove Albion are the only team to hit double figures for different goalscorers in the Premier League this season, with the Seagulls’ 11 scorers just two fewer than they had across the whole of last season (13). 

Brighton’s João Pedro has been directly involved in six goals in his last eight Premier League appearances (4 goals, 2 assists). Against Man City last time out he became just the sixth substitute to both score and assist in the competition against the reigning champions, and first since Roberto Pereyra for Watford vs Chelsea in February 2018.

Stats That Matter - Brighton & Hove Albion are ranked 6th in ball possession with 54.5% averaging 14.5 shots per game. The Seagulls score an average of 1.73 goals per match with a shooting accuracy of 33%. Danny Welbeck is the top scorer with 6 goals. Joao Pedro has also scored 3 goals this season. The team has an average of 3.4 saves per game, the 10th best in the season. They have conceded an average of 1.36 goals per match.

Injury list - Solly March, James Milner, Adam Webster, Yankuba Minteh, Ferdi Kadioglu, Lewis Dunk, Jack Hinshelwood and Carlos Baleba are all ruled out. 

Bournemouth Probable Starting Lineup -  Verbruggen (GK), Veltman, Van Hecke, Igor, Estupinan (DEF), Adingra, Hinshelwood, Ayari, Mitoma (MID), Rutter, Welbeck (FWD).

AFC BOURNEMOUTH vs BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION
Winning Prediction

Both Southampton and Burnley are known for their attacking flair. They will likely trade goals in an open, end-to-end encounter. However, their finishing can sometimes be inconsistent. While both teams will aim for a win, a high-scoring draw seems the most probable outcome.

We Predict a Draw (2-2)

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