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Cherries Are Firm Favorites Against a Weary Magpies Side
We predict a Draw (1-1)
Tournament: English Premier League 2025-26 | Venue: Vitality Stadium, Birmingham
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Bournemouth host Newcastle at the Vitality Stadium on Sunday afternoon in what promises to be a lively encounter. The Cherries will be eager to make it three home wins on the bounce and keep their momentum rolling.
Newcastle, meanwhile, arrive on the back of a taxing Champions League clash with Barcelona, but with confidence restored after last weekend’s victory over Wolves, they’ll be determined to extend their league form despite the quick turnaround.
Current Standings: Bournemouth’s bright start sees them sitting 4th with 9 points from four games, while Newcastle, with just 5 points, find themselves down in 10th.
Head-to-Head Record: The head-to-head remains finely balanced, with both sides boasting 4 wins apiece, alongside six draws in the Premier League.
After squandering the chance to snatch a 2-2 draw with Liverpool on opening day, Bournemouth have bounced back in style with three straight wins, the latest a 2-1 triumph over Brighton courtesy of Alex Scott and Antoine Semenyo.
Their flying start has drawn comparisons to Nottingham Forest’s run last season, with many touting the Cherries as surprise contenders for a Champions League spot — and facing a fatigued Newcastle fresh from Europe could be the perfect chance to stake claim to the theory.
Stats that matter
1. No player has been involved in league goals this season than Cherries’ Antoine Semenyo (3 goals and 2 assists)
2. Only Wolves (23) have used more players in the league this season than Bournemouth (22).
3. The Cherries have won their last three home games.
Team News - Andoni Iraola will again be without Enes Ünal and Adam Smith, while doubts linger over the availability of the versatile Bafodé Diakité for Sunday’s clash.
Bournemouth Probable XI - Petrović (GK); Hill, Milosavlijec, Senesi, Truffert (Defenders) ; Adams, Scott, Tavernier ( Midfielders); Semenyo, Brooks, Evanilson (Forwards).
The last time Newcastle juggled Champions League football, their league form took a hit, and with Sunday’s clash against Bournemouth coming right after a gruelling midweek battle with Barcelona, that familiar test of balance looms large again. Speaking of Champions League, early missed chances proved costly in Europe, as they slipped to a 2-1 defeat despite Anthony Gordon’s late consolation goal.
Looking ahead, Newcastle face a punishing schedule in the coming weeks with an EFL Cup tie, a trip to Anfield, and another European fixture on the horizon. Eddie Howe has his hands full but will hope the lessons from their last UCL run pay off in the weeks ahead.
Stats that matter
1. Newcastle have gone goalless in their last three Premier League away games.
2. No side has kept more clean sheets (3) than the Cherries this season while having the lowest xGA (2.1).
3. Eddie Howe has never beaten Bournemouth in the league as a manager in six attempts.
Team News
After the gruelling Barcelona clash, Howe may look to freshen things up, likely bringing Woltemade into the starting XI for Anthony Gordon. Meanwhile, recent signings Jacob Ramsey and Yoane Wissa are still recovering, so it’s unlikely they’ll feature just yet.
Newcastle United Probable XI - Pope (GK); Livramento, Schar, Burn, Hall (Defenders) ; Joelington, Tonali, Guimaraes (Midfielders); Murphy, Woltemade, Barnes (Forwards)
Bournemouth will enter the clash brimming with confidence, unbeaten in their last five meetings with Newcastle and having crushed the Magpies 4-1 in their last encounter. Still, Newcastle won’t be fazed—despite fatigue, they’ve lost just once in their last seven trips to the Vitality Stadium. Even so, the Cherries remain firm favorites.
We predict a Draw (1-1)
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