Brentford FC vs Aston Villa FC, English Premier League 2024-25, Today Match Prediction

Brentford FC vs Aston Villa FC Match Prediction & Analysis

Brentford welcomes Aston Villa to the Gtech Community Stadium for a thrilling Round 28 clash. With kickoff at 11:00 p.m. IST, the Bees will be looking to sting a Villa side aiming to keep their European hopes alive.

Aston Villa's pursuit of another top-four finish continues to face hurdles, with their latest setback being a crushing 4-1 defeat to Crystal Palace—Morgan Rogers providing mere consolation. Meanwhile, Brentford has shown signs of a late-season push but will still be reeling from their 1-1 draw against Everton, where they let a lead slip. Both sides have a point to prove in this crucial clash!

Current Standings: With just four points separating them, Aston Villa and Brentford sit side by side in the table. Villa holds 10th place with 42 points from 11 wins, 9 draws, and 8 losses, while Brentford trails in 11th with 38 points, matching Villa’s wins but suffering more defeats. 

Head-to-Head Record: In their seven meetings so far, Aston Villa has had the upper hand with three wins to Brentford’s one, while three clashes have ended in draws.

TEAMS PREVIEW

Brentford FC Preview

The draw against Everton may have all but crushed Brentford's hopes of breaking into the big leagues—if they ever truly dreamed of European football. Regardless, Thomas Frank's side will surely rue their home form, knowing that had they maintained their early-season momentum, their story could have been very different.

Brentford flew out of the gates in the 2024/25 season, winning seven of their first eight home games, drawing the other. But since then, they haven’t won a single one—four losses, two draws, and a last home victory dating back to December. Ironically, their overall form improved, but had they maintained their dominance at home, this season could have been something special.

Key Stats 

1. No team has scored more goals (30) at home than Brentford have done this season.
2. The Bees have the best conversion rate (15.2%) at home than any other team.
3. Brentford is currently on a three match unbeaten run with 2 wins and a draw.
4. Bryan Mbeumo is Brentford’s top scorer with 15 goals. 

Team News 

Brentford were without eight players in their last game against Everton, but they could receive a boost for Saturday’s clash with Aston Villa. Captain Christian Norgaard (concussion) and Mathias Jensen (groin) are racing against time to return, with Norgaard the more likely to make it. If fit, he’s expected to replace Yehor Yarmoliuk in what could be Brentford’s only change. 

Brentford Probable XI - Flekken (GK); Ajer, Collins, Pinnock, Lewis-Potter; Janelt, Norgaard; Mbeumo, Damsgaard, Schade; Wissa

Aston Villa FC Preview

Shifting focus from home struggles to away woes, this team’s torrid run on the road continues. Their recent hammering by Crystal Palace marked their seventh defeat in nine away games in the 2024/25 Premier League season, a slump they’ll be desperate to end. 

Despite their Premier League struggles on the road, Aston Villa had no such trouble in Europe, cruising to a 3-1 win over Club Brugge in their Champions League away leg. It's the kind of form Villa will hope to bring to Brentford on Saturday.

Key Stats 

1. Aston Villa have both scored and conceded in 20 separate Premier League matches this season, more than any other team.
2. The Villans are one two match losing streak at home and have just one win from the last nine home games in the Premier League.
3. Ollie Watkins is Brentford’s top scorer with 12  goals. 

Team News 

Unlike Brentford, Villa have fewer injury concerns, though they’ll be without Ross Barkley (knee) and Amadou Onana (thigh) for the trip to Brentford.

Aston Villa Probable XI - Martinez (GK) ; Cash, Konsa, Disasi, Maatsen; McGinn, Tielemans; Asensio, Rogers, Ramsey; Watkins

BRENTFORD FC vs ASTON VILLA FC
Winning Prediction

On paper, Aston Villa are clear favorites based on head-to-head stats. However, Brentford have avoided defeat in five of their last six home games against Villa across all competitions. Adding to the intrigue, the Lions have failed to win any of their last seven Premier League matches following a top-level European fixture. As far as odds are concerned, the bookmakers have tipped the hosts as slight favorites to edge past Villa that too by the barest of margins, with odds of 2.33  for a Brentford win, 2.85  for Aston Villa, and 3.80 for a draw. It’s set to be a closely contested battle.

Aston Villa to Win (1-2)

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