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Chelsea Clear Favorites Despite Tricky Brentford Fixture
Chelsea to Win (2-1)
Tournament: English Premier League 2025-26 | Venue: Gtech Community Stadium, Brentford
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Brentford, still smarting from their narrow 2-1 defeat to Sunderland, now face an even tougher task as Chelsea come to town. Backed by their home support, the Bees will be desperate to snatch at least a point, but Chelsea, buoyed by back-to-back wins and a 2-0 success over Fulham, look eager to make it three on the bounce.
Current Standings: Chelsea currently sit firmly in 2nd with seven points on the board, while Brentford languish down in 15th with just three to their name
Head-to-Head Record: Interestingly, despite the gulf in stature between the two clubs, Brentford have surprisingly had the upper hand in this budding rivalry, boasting a 3-2 win-loss record against the Blues from just eight encounters.
Brentford’s sluggish start has seen them pick up just three points from three games, with their 2-1 defeat at Sunderland highlighting a lack of cutting edge despite flashes of quality. Ranked 17th for shots in the box and carrying the third-lowest non-penalty xG, their attack has struggled to click.
With Yoane Wissa gone to Newcastle, Keith Andrews’ troubles have only compounded, leaving him to trust the next generation and lean on Thiago’s experience as Brentford aim to turn a corner against Chelsea on Sunday.
Stats that matter
1. Not only have the Bees struggled upfront but in defense as well where they currently rank 3rd worst among teams in the league when it comes to shots conceded from the box.
2. The loss against Sunderland was the first time in nine matches in the Premier League.
3. In their last 11 matches across competitions, the Bees have managed to score at least one goal.
Team News
Several Bees face late fitness tests, with Vitaly Janelt, Yunus Emre Konak, and Gustavo Nunes all doubtful, while Edmond-Paris Maghoma—yet to feature this season—could finally get his chance this weekend.
Brentford Probable XI - Kelleher (GK); Lewis-Porter, Collins, Van den Berg, Kayode (Defenders); Yarmolyuk, Henderson, Schade, Demsgaard( Midfielders); Thiago, Ouattara (Forwards)
Chelsea’s final game before the international break was full of drama—first a revoked goal in their favor, then a penalty, and finally a well-taken set-piece that secured a win over Fulham.
They may not have been at their fluent best, but Maresca will hardly mind, especially with his side managing back-to-back victories despite the absence of talisman Cole Palmer. Nevertheless, others are stepping up, easing the criticism of Chelsea’s over-reliance on Palmer. Maresca will be eager to see this momentum carry on, with or without his star man.
Stats that matter
1. Since joining, Joao Pedro has quickly become vital for the Blues, racking up 5 goals and 2 assists in just six games across competitions.
2. Pedro’s latest strike means 5 of Chelsea’s 7 goals this season have come from set-pieces—the highest tally of any club so far.
3. Chelsea are unbeaten in 11 of their last 12 Premier League games.
Team News
Cole Palmer looks set to remain sidelined with a groin injury, while Benoit Badiashile has also emerged as a fresh fitness concern.
Chelsea Probable XI - R Sanchez (GL); Marc Cucurella, T Chalobah, T Adarabioyo, M Gusto (Defenders); Enzo Fernandez,Moises Caicedo, Joao Pedro (Midfielder); Pedro Neto, Estevão, Liam Delap (Forwards)
Chelsea head into Sunday’s clash as favorites given their form and Brentford’s struggles, but history tells a different story—just one win in their last seven meetings with the Bees. Interestingly, Brentford’s three victories have all come away from home, making this a tricky fixture.
Even so, Chelsea’s current momentum makes them the side to back. Unsurprisingly, Chelsea are strong favorites with odds of 1.76, while Brentford sit at 4.75 and a draw at 4.00, underlining just how much the Blues are fancied for this clash.
Chelsea to Win (2-1)
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