Brentford FC vs Leicester City, English Premier League 2024-25, Today Match Prediction

Brentford FC vs Leicester City Match Prediction & Analysis

The Bees played out a goalless draw against Everton at Goodison. Depleted Brentford, meanwhile, defended robustly to hold on to their first clean sheet of the season having lost their five previous league away games in 2024-25. Brentford should have taken the lead against the run of play when the in-form Yoane Wissa ran through on goal, but the striker was denied by Jordan Pickford's outstretched leg. 

Thomas Frank's visitors were then reduced to 10 men shortly before the break following Christian Norgaard's knee-high challenge on Pickford. Referee Chris Kavanagh produced a red card having watched a replay of the incident on the pitchside monitor. The Toffees had 27 shots against Thomas Frank’s men, who were lucky to leave Merseyside with a point. 

Leicester didn’t just lose Harry Winks in the 11th minute to injury in their match up against Chelsea. They also lost U-17 World Cup winning coach Steve Cooper with the board unhappy with his methods. Leicester were always going to be up against it when facing such a talented, expensively-assembled Chelsea team - but the loss of Winks made their day so much harder. 

After Cooper’s 157 days in charge of the Foxes, a new face is to be revealed. Funnily that face is of Van Nistelrooy who recently beat this Leicester team in his last game in-charge of Manchester United. The Dutchman’s only previous full-time role managing a senior side was a season in charge of PSV in 2022-23 where he won the Dutch Cup, before joining United as assistant coach. 

Head to Head Record - Both teams have played each other 10 times. The Bees have won 2 of those affairs, the Foxes have won 4, with 4 games ending in a stalemate. 

Current Standings - Brentford sit in 11th with 17 points. Leicester are 16th after having amassed 10  points from 12 matches. 

TEAMS PREVIEW

Brentford FC Preview

Brentford have won none of their four Premier League meetings with Leicester (D2 L2), only facing Newcastle (6) more often in the competition without ever winning. Brentford have won more home points (16) and scored more home goals (18) than any other side in the Premier League this season. They’ve won five of their six at the Gtech Community Stadium, and are looking to win four in a row at home for the first time ever in the Premier League. 

Brentford’s last three home games have seen them win 5-3 against Wolves, 4-3 against Ipswich and 3-2 against Bournemouth. The Bees last scored 3+ goals in four consecutive home league games. While the last team to win four straight top-flight home games while conceding 2+ goals each time were Leicester. No team has scored more first half goals in the Premier League this season than Brentford (14), while no team has scored fewer in the opening 45 minutes than Leicester (4).

Brentford captain Christian Norgaard has avoided a three-match ban as the Bees successfully appealed against his red card against Everton. The Denmark international was sent off in the 41st minute at Goodison Park following a challenge on Everton goalkeeper Jordan Pickford while attempting to score in the six-yard box. The Bees have won an appeal for wrongful dismissal and their captain is now available for Saturday. 

Player to watch out for

Yoane Wissa has been involved in nine goals in his last five Premier League home games for Brentford (7 goals, 2 assists), scoring in each of these five games. Teammate Bryan Mbeumo meanwhile has either scored or assisted in his last six at the Gtech Community Stadium (7 goals, 1 assist).

Injury - Rico Henry, Aaron Hickey, Josh DaSilva, Gustavo Nunes and Ajer are all part of the treatment room and will therefore miss out. 

Brentford Probable Starting Lineup - Flekken (GK), van den Berg, Collins, Pinnock, Lewis-Potter (DEF), Jensen, Norgaard, Janelt (MID) Mbeumo, Wissa, Damsgaard (FWD).

Leicester City Preview

Leicester are unbeaten in their last eight league games against Brentford (W5 D3), since a 3-2 home loss in the second tier. Leicester have won just one of their last 13 Premier League away games against London sides (D3 L9), shipping 2+ goals on each of their last five top-flight visits to the capital (D1 L4). 

Despite having just two wins from their 12 league games this season, no side has scored in more different Premier League games so far this term than Leicester (11). Their only failure to score was in their last away match against Manchester United (0-3). Leicester’s Jamie Vardy has scored four goals from five shots on target in the Premier League this season, the joint-best shot on target conversion of any player with 5+ (80%). Meanwhile, the best conversion rate of any player with 10+ shots on target is Brentford’s Yoane Wissa (70% - 7/10).

All three of Jordan Ayew’s Premier League goals for Leicester this season have been scored in the 90th minute, and as a substitute. Just two of his first 37 strikes in the competition had been off the bench. For the top three things the next manager needs to focus on, I am looking at stability, identity and getting players on board early. They have got some experience in the side and an identity is key, but having the players on board is also important as it makes the job as manager a little bit easier. 

The problem is, fan expectations are so high but the jump from Championship to Premier League is massive and you need to adapt to stay in there and give yourself a couple of seasons to do that. There is going to have to be patience. The next manager is going to have to be real with the players - they are going to be fighting relegation until the end of the season to try and stay in the Premier League and everyone at the club will have to back the new boss to help them achieve that.

Injury - Stolarczyk, Fatawa and Pereira are all ruled out.

Leicester City Probable Starting Lineup - Hermansen (GK), Justin, Faes, Okoli, Kristiansen (DEF), McAteer, Soumare, Winks, El Khannouss, Ndidi (MID) Vardy (FWD).

BRENTFORD FC vs LEICESTER CITY
Winning Prediction

This should be a fun encounter between one of the Premier League’s current longest serving managers and newest serving manager. Brentford and Leicester love scoring goals, that is something league legend Van Nistelrooy will cherish. The foxes shouldn’t think of hitting the red button yet. They have plenty to stay in the competition and compete for, after spending a season in the championship. But, knowing Brentford are a well-built, tactical team, you would expect them to seal all three points at the G-tech Community stadium. 

Brentford FC to Win (3-1)

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