Brentford FC vs Nottingham Forest FC, English Premier League 2024-25, Today Match Prediction

Brentford FC vs Nottingham Forest FC Match Prediction & Analysis

Nottingham Forest, the giant killers of the season, are ready to light up the weekend once again! Fresh off thrilling victories over Manchester United (3-2) and Aston Villa (2-1), they now turn their attention to Brentford. The clash kicks off Saturday at 8:30 PM IST, with Forest aiming to continue their stunning run, this time against the mid-table hosts.

Nottingham Forest continues to thrive on drama, stunning Aston Villa at Villa Park with a late rally. Goals from Nikola Milenkovic—his second in as many games—and Anthony Elanga in the 87th and stoppage time sealed the win. Meanwhile, Brentford's rollercoaster form took a dip, falling 2-1 to Chelsea after their emphatic 4-2 victory over Newcastle just a week prior.

This clash promises to be a thrilling encounter—Brentford's home dominance against Nottingham Forest's road resilience. However, the Trees have a worrying trend of struggling against teams in the bottom half of the table, often lacking intensity. To make matters worse, Brentford has had the upper hand in recent meetings, with the last match at the Gtech Community Stadium seeing them edge a 3-2 thriller. The stage is set for another high-stakes battle.

Current Standings: With 28 points (8 wins, 4 draws & 4 losses), is currently placed 4th in the league standings; Brentford is placed 11th with 23 points (7 wins, 2 draws, and 7 defeats). 

Head-to-Head Record: The teams have only been involved in four matches in the Premier League, of which Brentford leads the W/L stats with 2 wins and 0 losses.. 

TEAMS PREVIEW

Brentford FC Preview

If you’d asked Thomas Frank before the season if he’d take 11th place in the league standings after 16 rounds, he’d likely have said yes. And when you look at the points table, you would find that the Bees are a win away from breaking into the points table with just five points separating them and the fifth placed Manchester City. Still, their away form has let them down—just 1 point from 8 games is far from good enough.

In the fiercely competitive Premier League, turning your home ground into a fortress is often the secret to success. This season, Thomas Frank has mastered that art with Brentford. The Bees have racked up an impressive 22 points from just eight home games, boasting seven wins and a draw. That’s already two more wins than their entire home tally last season, where they managed just 22 points. 

Stats that matter 

The Bees have scored 32 goals this season with an xG vs Goals of 0.40, which is the highest in the league. 26 of those 32 goals have come at home. Bryan Mbeumo (10) and Yoane Wissa (9) has scored the bulk of the goals for the Bees this season. The Bees score 25% of their goals during the period of 16-30 minutes.

Brentford are ranked 13th in ball possession with 46.9% averaging 10.9 shots per game. The Bees score an average of 2 goals per match with a shooting accuracy of 46%. Bryan Mbeumo is the top scorer with 10 goals. Yoane Wissa has also scored 9 goals this season. The team has an average of 4.8 saves per game, the best in the season. They have conceded an average of 1.88 goals per match.

Team News  - No new injury concerns as of now. Frank in all likelihood could possibly start the same 11 that played Chelsea. 

Brentford Probable XI - M.Flekken (GK); E.Pinnock, Roerslev, van den Berg, K.Lewis-Potter, N Collins, C.Norgaard, Yarmoliuk, Damsgarrd, B.Mbeumo, Y Wissa 

Nottingham Forest FC Preview

It might be early to say, but Nottingham Forest fans could be daring to dream of a Leicester 2016-style fairy tale. Expected to fight relegation, the Trees have defied the odds and are now in the thick of a top-four battle. Victories over Manchester United, Aston Villa, Newcastle, and points taken from Chelsea have already turned heads. But the crown jewel of their season? A stunning 1-0 win at Anfield, where they sent Liverpool crashing to a rare home defeat, the only team to do so this season. 

Nottingham Forest has been a force on the road this season, amassing 14 points from 8 away games (4 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses)—a record only outshone by Chelsea and Liverpool. Up against a team that has the best home record this season, the Trees credentials of being good travelers will be tested. 

Brentford's attack  is a force to be reckoned with at home, so the backline must be on alert. Ola Aina, with 20 interceptions and a 64% ground duel win rate, will be crucial in snuffing out danger, while Milenkovic, with 13 interceptions and a 66% aerial duel success, must dominate the air. Together, they’ll need to lead the defense with authority and resilience.

Stats that matter

Chris Wood leads the Trees in scoring this season with 10 goals. Nottingham has found success in the second half, scoring 29% of their goals between the 46th and 60th minutes. Elliott Anderson has been a key contributor, providing 5 assists for his teammates.

Nottingham Forest are ranked second worst in ball possession with 40.4% averaging 13.5 shots per game. The Tricky Trees score an average of 1.31 goals per match with a shooting accuracy of 34%. Chris Wood is the top scorer with 10 goals. Callum Hudson-Odoi and Nikola Milenkovic have also scored 2 goals each this season. The team has an average of 2.8 saves per game, the 14th best in the season. They have conceded an average of 1.19 goals per match.

Team News - Nuno Mendes is likely to field the same 11 that played against Aston Villa.

Nottingham Probable XI - Sels (GK) ; Aina, Milenkovic, Murillo, Williams, Yates, Dominguez, Anderson, Gibbs-White, Hudson-Odoi, Wood

BRENTFORD FC vs NOTTINGHAM FOREST FC
Winning Prediction

Brentford are favorites to win the match, with odds of 2.25 against Forest's 3 and odds of 3.6 for a draw. Meanwhile, an xG of 2.5/3 can be expected for this match. Despite boasting a solid defensive backline, the Trees have conceded 12 goals over their last six matches. The shift towards a more attacking approach in recent games may be a factor, but Nuno Espírito Santo thrives on challenges. Aware of Brentford's offensive danger, he's likely to revert to his tried-and-tested method of stifling opponents with tight defensive blocks.

Nottingham Forest to Win (0-1)

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