Brentford FC vs West Ham United FC, English Premier League 2024-25, Today Match Prediction

Brentford FC vs West Ham United FC Match Prediction & Analysis

Having faced two tough opponents down the road in the past two weeks, Brentford are back at home, readying themselves to meet West Ham in matchweek 6 of the Premier League 2024/25 season.  

The Bees' most recent match was forgettable, as they were beaten convincingly despite scoring the first goal against Tottenham. The match ended with them losing 1-3. Bryan Mbeumo scored the only goal for the Bees. 

In a similar way, West Ham also took the brunt of their opponents in the most recent game, losing 0-3 to Chelsea at home. The defeat was Hammers' third of the season, with their sole win coming away from home against Crystal Palace (2-0). 

Current Standings: Brentford is presently 12th in the points table, with two wins and three losses from five games, whereas the Hammers are two places lower, with four points. 

Head to Head Record: Brentford has defeated West Ham five times in its brief Premier League history, winning five of the six games. 

TEAMS PREVIEW

Brentford FC Preview

Bees had a game to forget against the Spurs last weekend, as for the first time in the season Thomas Frank's side looked helpless on the field bereft of ideas.  By the end of the game, they had let up 23 shots and had an xGA of 3.52.

All Frank had to do against Tottenham was to sit back a bit and wait for the moments to cash in to score the goals, as Brentford has the fourth-best conversion rate in the league this year at 13.73%. Rather, they engaged in a toe-to-toe battle with the Spurs, creating openings in the defence for their opponents to exploit. That brings us to our second concern regarding Brentford.  After the end of five rounds, Brentford with 3 goals from as many shots have the worst stats from counter-attacks. At the same time, they have an xGA of 11.08, the 2nd worst among all teams this season. 

Stats That Matter  

Brentford are ranked 15th in ball possession with 43.8% averaging 10.2 shots per game. The Bees score an average of 1.40 goals per match with a shooting accuracy of 49%. Bryan Mbeumo is the top scorer with 4 goals this season. Yoane Wissa is the second best with 3 goals in the 5 matches played this season. The team has an average of 5.6 saves per game, the second best in the season. They have conceded an average of 1.80 goals per match. 

Injury Concerns  & Tactics  

Yoane Wissa was substituted before halftime in Brentford's match against Manchester City and is likely to be out for some time. In his absence Fabio Carvalho started in the last game. In terms of tactics for the past two games, Thomas Frank went in with a 5-3-2 formation. But, West Ham is not City or Tottenham. So expect him to deploy a 4-3-3 formation for the upcoming contest. 

Brentford Probable Starting Lineup - M.Flekken (GK); E.Pinnock, K.Ajer, N.Collins, K.Lewis-Potter (Defenders); C.Norgaard, M.Damsgaard, V. Janelt (Midfielders);  B.Mbeumo, Kevin Schade, Fabio Carvalho(Forwards)

West Ham United FC Preview

Similar to bees, hammers also emerge following a thorough trouncing. The situation was comparable to Brentford's, where they had every advantage but were unable to generate any significant opportunities. Ultimately, their xG was 0.85, compared to the opposition's 2.19, and they conceded three goals. 

Julen Lopetegui opted to field Edson Alvarez as his makeshift CB alongside the usual centre-back combination of Kilman and Konstantinos in a back three formation. It's fair to say the move backfired, as the first two goals were the direct result of Alvarez being caught out of position. In fact, the confusion was evident among the back three from the outset, as they left huge gaps between the lines for Chelsea to exploit. 

Stats That Matter 

West Ham are ranked 13th in ball possession with 44.4% averaging 13.6 shots per game. The Hammers score an average of 1 goal per match with a shooting accuracy of 26%. Tomas Soucek, Jarrod Bowen and Danny Ings are the top scorers with one goal apiece. The team has an average of 2.8 saves per game, the 14th best in the season. They have conceded an average of 1.80 goals per match.

Tactics 

Given what transpired in the game against Chelsea, Lopetegui is not at all going back to a 3-4-3 formation any soon. So expect him to deploy his 11 in a 4-2-3-1 formation. Meanwhile, it's worth noting that Kilman is on a yellowcard. 

West Ham Probable Starting Lineup:  A.  Areola (GK); A. Wan-Bissaka, M. Kilman, Emerson, K. Mavropanos (Defenders); E. Alvarez, G. Rodriguez, J. Bowen, M. Kudus, T. Soucek (Mid-fielders); M. Antonio (Forward)

BRENTFORD FC vs WEST HAM UNITED FC
Winning Prediction

Brentford has been the dominant team in this rivalry, winning four of their last five games. However, West Ham managed to pull one back last season with an absolute thrashing of Bees by 4-2. But the issue is that the Hammers are yet to beat Brentford at the Gtech Community Stadium. In addition, the Bees have won both their games at home this season. 

Considering their record away from home, it's fair to say that West Ham needs something special on Saturday to beat Brentford. We predict an xG of 2.5/3 for this match. 

Brentford FC to Win (2-1)

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