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CLAIM NOWAttacking vs Defensive: Brentford's Flair vs Wolves' Frailty
We predict a draw (1-1)
Tournament: English Premier League 2024-25 | Venue: Gtech Community Stadium, Brentford
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Thomas Frank’s side have always put on a show whenever they’ve stepped foot on the pitch. This has been a moderately decent start to the season. But Bees fans will want to see their team sitting in a higher position. The team has recently gotten famous for scoring goals within seconds of kick-off. We don’t know if it's the data science team or pure luck that needs to be credited for that. Brenford has had rotten luck with regard to injuries. The treatment room has turned into a social and protection of players will be of utmost priority.
Wolves have endured a tumultuous start to the season. Gary O’Neil’s men have faced some big names such as Liverpool, Aston Villa, Newcastle, Arsenal and Chelsea, but now is when the excuses are left behind and points are picked up. Despite the results, Wolves have shown flashes of quality. But the manager will want to work on his defensive frailties, as the team seems evidently porous at the back, shipping 2.66 goals per game. As tempers run amok, O’Neil will want to turn the tide and avoid being the first manager in the line of fire.
Head-to-Head Record : Both teams have played 28 games in all competitions. The Bees have won 10 of those, Wolves have won 14, with 4 draws.
Current Standings : Brentford sit in 12th position with 7 points. Wolves, meanwhile, are languishing at the bottom of the table with only a single point to show for after a draw against Forest.
Brentford won 2-0 against the Wolves in February, with the Bees winning consecutive league games against them in the 2015-2016 Championship season. The Bees have opened the scoring in the first minute in each of their last 3 Premier League games, but have failed to go on to win any of them, or to even score again in the game (D2, L1). Unfortunately, this failure to convert has seeped in from last season, as Brentford dropped a league high of 38 points from winning positions in the Premier League, including a joint-high eight so far this season.
Players to watch out
Bryan Mbeumo’s goal against West Ham last time out was his 48th Premier League goal involvement (27 goals, 21 assists), the most of any Brentford player. The Cameroonian is looking to score in 3 consecutive games for the first time since 2019. Mbeumo has blistering pace and an attacker’s instinct to cause any defense a hard time.
Stats That Matter
Brentford are ranked 12th in ball possession with 46% averaging 9.8 shots per game. The Bees score an average of 1.33 goals per match with a shooting accuracy of 47%. Bryan Mbeumo is the top scorer with 5 goals this season. Yoane Wissa is the second best with 3 goals in the 6 matches played this season. The team has an average of 5 saves per game, the 3rd best in the season. They have conceded an average of 1.67 goals per match.
Injury list - Brentford have a long list of injuries. Rico Henry, Aaron Hickey, Josh Dasilva, Igor Thiago, Mathias Jensen, Gustavo Nunes, Yoane Wissa and Christian Norgaard are all sidelined.
Brentford Probable Starting Lineup - Flekken (GK), Van den berg, Pinnock, Collins, Ajer (DEF), Schade, Damsgaard, Janelt, Lewis-Potter (MID), Carvalho, Mbeumo (FWD).
A Wolves win here could streamline their campaign and reignite much life back into the squad. Wolves are unbeaten in their past 5 meetings against Brentford (W3, D2), winning two of their three visits in the Premier League. The club also happens to perform well against London clubs. They’ve won 3 out of 4 away games against Londoners, as many as they had in their previous 21 such visits (D4, L14).
Wolves last failed to win in their opening 7 games back in 2003-04. As much as the front line is not delivering, the backline has been cut wide open on numerous occasions. The club from the midlands has conceded 16 goals so far this campaign, the worst such difference this term (-6.2). Most of their goals have been conceded after half time. If Gary O’Neil can get his team to switch on for 90 minutes they could go a long way.
Key Player to Watch Out
If there’s one player to end all Wolves’ woes, it's Matheus Cunha. The Brazilian has had more shots (16), created more chances (9), had more touches in the opposition box (25) and played most passes in the box (30) than any other Wolves player this season. His forward thinking mentality now just needs to turn more into goals or assists for his club to benefit.
Stats That Matter
Wolverhampton Wanderers are ranked 13th in ball possession with 45.5% averaging 10.3 shots per game. The Wolves score an average of 1 goal per match with a shooting accuracy of 35%. Matheus Cunha is the top scorer with 2 goals this season. Mario Lemina and Jean-Ricner Bellegarde have also scored 1 goal each in the 6 matches played this season. The team has an average of 3 saves per game, the 11th best in the season. They have conceded an average of 2.67 goals per match.
Injury list - Enso Gonsalez, Boubacar Traore, Sasa Kalajdzic, Yerson Mosquera and Bastien Meupiyou are all set to miss a trip to west London.
Wolves Probable Starting Lineup - Johnstone (GK), Semedo, S.Bueno, T.Gomes, Ait-Nouri, Andre (DEF), Bellegarde, Lemina, Gomes, Cunha (MID), Larsen (FWD).
The win probability suggests Brentford has a 47.4% chance of victory, compared to Wolves’ 27.9%. However, both teams have struggled defensively, having yet to keep a clean sheet this season. Despite the difference in win probability, this match is likely to be a closely contested affair with both sides going all out for victory. Given their recent attacking form, we could see a low-scoring draw with both teams finding the net.
We predict a draw (1-1)
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