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Bulgaria face an uphill battle against Georgia
Georgia to Win (1-0)
Tournament: FIFA World Cup 2026 Qualifiers | Venue: Vasil Levski National Stadium, Sofia
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Bulgaria will walk into this meeting with Georgia knowing the campaign has slipped away from them, but they will still try to salvage a small sense of progress as they stand in front of their home crowd. Their run has drifted from one setback to another, and the recent loss to Turkey only deepened a stretch that has drained confidence, though it still leaves room for a late push to end the slide.
Meanwhile, Georgia arrive after a bruising defeat to Spain, and they carry their own frustrations as their qualifying hopes faded early, but they travel with the memory of September’s win, hoping to repeat that outcome in Sofia.
Bulgaria will enter this stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifiers with a bleak record that reflects a campaign stuck in reverse, as five defeats from five matches have left the side out of contention and searching for clarity. Even so, the numbers explain the scale of the slide, since the group run has produced only one goal, with eighteen conceded, which leaves the goal difference at –17 and the points column empty.
Meanwhile, the averages paint the same picture, as the team scored 0.2 goals per game and conceded 3.6, while creating little with 1.4 corners and 3.8 shots per match. The recent heavy losses against Spain and Turkey added further strain, but Ilian Iliev continues to lead the group as they try to halt the drift.
Radoslav Kirilov stands as their leading scorer with one goal, while Kiril Despodov offers their sole assist, which sums up a stark qualifying stretch that never found rhythm.
Bulgaria's possible starting lineup: Mitov; Georgiev, K. Dimitrov, Chernev, H. Petrov; Krastev, Gruev, Chochev; Petkov, Minchev, Despodov
Georgia will enter this stage of the 2026 qualifiers with a campaign that has slipped away from them, as five matches have produced only three points and a single win. Their record stands at one win, no draws, and four defeats, with six goals scored and thirteen conceded, giving them a goal difference of –7. Moreover, they sit third in Group E, already out of the race after heavy losses to Spain and Turkey sealed their fate.
Even so, the numbers paint a fuller picture, since Georgia averaged 1.2 goals per game and still created chances with 10.8 shots and 3.2 corners per match, but they conceded 2.6 goals on average, which has kept them under pressure.
Meanwhile, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia leads their scoring chart with two goals, and Zuriko Davitashvili stands as their top provider with one assist. However, Georges Mikautadze’s injury has stalled their clinicality in the final third, and that absence continues to impact them.
Georgia's possible starting lineup: Mamardashvili; Gocholeishvili, Lochoshvili, Kabia, Mamuchashvili; Kiteishvili, Mekvabishvili, Kochorashvili; Davitashvili, Kvaratskhelia, Zivzivadze
Georgia will enter this match with mixed form, but they still carry enough sharpness to trouble a Bulgaria side that drifts through long spells without control. Moreover, the memory of their comfortable win in the reverse fixture gives them a clear mental edge, and they look set to play with the same direct intent.
Although the shift in venue may slow their rhythm for a short stretch, the Bulgarian defence tends to leave gaps that Georgia will usually exploit with patience and steady pressure. Consequently, the visitors appear well-placed to finish their campaign on a positive note by edging this contest with a narrow but deserved victory.
Georgia to Win (1-0)
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