Burnley FC vs Aston Villa FC, English Premier League 2025-26, Today Match Prediction

Burnley FC vs Aston Villa FC Match Prediction & Analysis

Burnley host Aston Villa at Turf Moor on Sunday (6:30 PM) in a clash with little at stake for the home side, whose relegation fate has already been sealed after a difficult campaign. 

Villa, meanwhile, arrive in high spirits after booking their place in the UEFA Europa League final and will look to carry that momentum into the closing weeks of the season.

Current Standings: Aston Villa sit fifth in the league standings with 58 points, while Burnley lie in the relegation zone in 19th with 20 points.

Head-to-Head Record: Aston Villa holds the edge in the rivalry with a win-loss record of 6-2 from 13 Premier League matches. 

TEAMS PREVIEW

Burnley FC Preview

Burnley endured a difficult start under interim manager Mike Jackson, slipping to their 23rd defeat of the season — just one short of their worst-ever league tally. With five straight losses and no win in their last nine matches, the Clarets head into Sunday’s clash against Aston Villa low on confidence.

Their latest defeat to Leeds United offered little encouragement apart from Loum Tchaouna’s consolation goal. Still, with relegation already confirmed, Jackson now has an opportunity to use the final games of the season to restore some pride and perhaps spring a surprise or two to impress the board to stake claim to the vacant manager’s role on a permanent basis.

Stats that matter 

1. Burnley have registered only one win from their last 26 Premier League games.
2. The Clarets are winless in their last 13 games at Turf Moor (D4 L9) .
3. Martin Dubravka has made 127 saves in the league this season, which is over 20 more than any other goalkeeper. 

Team News 

Burnley will remain without Josh Cullen, Connor Roberts and Jordan Beyer due to injury, while Axel Tuanzebe is closing in on a return but is still unlikely to feature this weekend.

Burnley Probable XI - Dubravka; Walker, Ekdal, Esteve, Hartman, Humphreys, Laurent, Ward-Prowse, Tchaouna, Flemming, Anthony

Aston Villa FC Preview

After suffering three straight defeats across competitions, Aston Villa responded in emphatic fashion by thrashing Nottingham Forest 4-0 in the UEFA Europa League semifinals, overturning a 1-0 first-leg deficit in style. Emi Buendia starred with a goal and an assist, while John McGinn’s brace helped power the Villans into the final.

The result keeps Villa’s Champions League hopes alive on two fronts — either by winning the Europa League or securing a top-five league finish. Currently sitting in the qualification spots, six points clear of sixth-placed AFC Bournemouth, Emery’s side know the upcoming clash against Burnley is a must-win, especially with tougher fixtures against Liverpool FC and Manchester City still to come.

Stats that matter 

1. Villa have lost just one of their last nine Premier League matches when facing off against a relegated side.
2. Aston Villa have picked up only seven points from their last eight league games, which is the third lowest for a team in the period.
3. Villa are winless in their last five away games in the league (D2 L3). 

Team News 

Apart from long-term absentees Boubacar Kamara, Amadou Onana and Alysson, Unai Emery has no fresh injury concerns or suspensions to worry about heading into the fixture.

Aston Villa Probable XI - Martinez (GK); Cash, Lindelof, Mings, Maatsen, Bogarde, Tielemans, Sancho, Barkley, Rogers, Abraham. 

BURNLEY FC vs ASTON VILLA FC
Winning Prediction

The last few matches have not been entirely smooth for Aston Villa, with back-to-back defeats and a narrow escape against Sunderland AFC highlighting signs of fatigue and distraction from their European campaign. But with the Europa League semifinal now behind them, Villa can fully focus on the league for now. 

Unai Emery’s side also head into Sunday’s clash as clear favourites, having won their last three Premier League meetings against Burnley and traditionally performing well against relegated teams. Barring any major fatigue issues from midweek, Villa look well placed to secure all three points.

Meanwhile, the odds heavily favour Villa at 1.62, with Burnley priced at 5.25 and a draw at 3.9, reflecting the clear gap between the sides. 

Aston Villa to win (3-1)

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