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Burnley FC vs Tottenham Hotspur FC, English Premier League 2025-26, Today Match Prediction

Turf Moor, Burnley

Can Burnley end their poor run of form at home?

  • Burnley FC are winless in their last five Premier League home games.
  • The Spurs lost three of their last six away games.
  • The Spurs won their last three matches against Burnley scoring 3.3 goals per match.

Tottenham Hotspurs to Win (2-1)

Tournament: English Premier League 2025-26 | Venue: Turf Moor, Burnley

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Burnley vs.Tottenham on Matchday 23 has all the makings of a form-over-status showdown. Despite sitting rock bottom, Burnley arrive with renewed belief after halting Liverpool in their tracks. 

Tottenham, meanwhile, continue to wobble at home, their latest stumble coming against bottom-placed West Ham. On Saturday (8:30 PM IST), it won’t be about league positions but who turns up with conviction.

Current Standings: Tottenham sit 14th on 27 points, while Burnley remain stranded at the foot of the table with just 14 points in 19th.

Head-to-Head Record: Across the 19 Premier League encounters, Spurs have come out on top 13 times, Burnley has won 3, and drawn 3.  

Burnley FC Preview

After pinching a point off Manchester United (2-2) and cruising through their FA Cup 3rd round tie, Scott Parker’s men stunned again—this time by holding Liverpool to a 1-1 draw at Anfield. 

Despite conceding early and absorbing 28 shots, Marcus Edwards’ 65th-minute finish levelled it up, earning Burnley only their fifth away point of the season. Yet, the draw barely moved the needle for Burnley. They remain eight points adrift of safety and now sit three behind West Ham in 18th, with time running short.

Stats that matter 

1. Burnley are winless in their last 13 Premier League matches (D4, L9).
2. The Clarets have only lost two of their last six Premier League games (D4).
3. Among all teams in the league, the Clarets currently have got the worst xG total (18.51). 

Team News 

Aside from their long-term absentees, Burnley will continue to be without Jordan Beyer, while Joe Worrall is ruled out from an injury for the weekend clash. 

Burnley Probable XI - Dubravka (GK); Tuanzebe, Esteve, Humphreys, Walker, Pires (Defenders); Ugochukwu, Luis (Midfielders); Edwards, Broja, Anthony  ( Forwards). 

Tottenham Hotspur FC Preview

Before their trip to Turf Moor, Tottenham must first navigate a crucial Champions League night against Dortmund at the Hotspur Stadium, and they couldn’t be in worse shape. Their latest league outing ended in another home letdown, a 2-1 loss to bottom-placed West Ham sealed by a stoppage-time goal. 

That preceded an FA Cup exit to Aston Villa by the same scoreline. Winless in five, Spurs enter midweek under mounting pressure, with Thomas Frank’s men drifting further away from the European conversation.

Stats that matter 

1. Spurs have won just four of their last 25 Premier League home games (D6 L15).
2. No team has scored more headed goals (9) than Spurs (level with Arsenal) in the Premier League this season.
3. Only 27 points have been collected by Tottenham this season, which is just three more than what they had managed at the same stage last season. 

Team News 

In a major setback, Richarlison has been ruled out for at least seven weeks with a hamstring injury, while centre-back Ben Davies—hurt against West Ham—now faces an indefinite spell on the sidelines.

Tottenham Hotspur Probable XI -  Vicario (GK); Porro, Romero, Van de Ven, Spence (Defenders); Gray, Ximons, Gallagher; (Midfielders);  Bergvall/Odobert, Kolo Muani, Mathys Tel (Forwards). 

Burnley couldn’t have picked a better moment to face a shaken Spurs, who arrive with just one win in five away league games and are winless in their last five overall. The real question, though, is whether the Clarets can capitalise given their own struggles at Turf Moor and just one win in their past five home meetings with Spurs. 

All things considered, it’s going to be a tight, cautious affair that could well finish on level terms, but we are backing the Spurs to win. 

Tottenham Hotspurs to Win (2-1)

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Author: Vishnu Reddy