Chelsea FC vs Arsenal FC, English Premier League 2024-25, Today Match Prediction

Chelsea FC vs Arsenal FC Match Prediction & Analysis

Chelsea broke a European Conference record as they sidestepped Armenian club Noah by 8 goals. Honestly, the club doesn’t seem like they belong to this competition. The Blues, however, fell well short of their own European club record when they beat Luxembourg side Jeunesse Hautcharage by 13 goals in the Cup Winners Cup. 

Chelsea’s fringe players help rotate the squad. The Italian manager has completely changed his Starting XI for all his Conference and Carabao Cup games. Chelsea’s squad cost is 800 million in comparison to Noah’s which costs 6 million. There was a vast improvement in this Chelsea side in comparison to that at Old Trafford last week. They appeared sluggish and stale, when they should’ve exploited United’s club frailties. Consistency will be key going forward and Maresca will want to get more out of his players in the Premier League. 

Arsenal endured a tough start to the week as their unbeaten run in the Champions League came to an end at the San Siro. Signs of weaknesses are showing in the Gunners squad after defeat to Bournemouth and Newcastle and a draw to Liverpool at home. A series of injuries have dented the smoothness that they’ve shown across previous seasons. 

Martinelli created 5 chances following a carry (moving 5+metres with the ball) in the UEFA Champions League this season; more than any other player through the opening three matches. He’s helped by Kai Havertz who made the most high-intensity pressures, pushing the Gunners to play on the front foot. But, Martin Odegaard’s presence is a clear issue. They’ll want him fit and firing as soon as possible. 

Head-to-Head Record : Both teams have played each other 193 times. Chelsea won 62 of the derbies. Arsenal won 76, with 55 draws being played out. 

Current Standings : Only goal difference separates both sides. Chelsea sit in 4th position while the Gunners are one spot below in 5th. 

TEAMS PREVIEW

Chelsea FC Preview

The Blues have won just one of their last nine Premier League games against Arsenal (D2, L6), a 2-0 away win in August 2021. Chelsea have conceded at least once in each of their last six Premier League home games, last having a longer such run between December 2015 and August 2016 (13). 

With five of those games coming in 2024-2025, it’s their longest run without a home clean sheet from the start of a league campaign since 2011-12 (6). Of all managers to face Chelsea at least 10 times in the Premier League, only Kenny Dalgish (77%) has a higher win rate against the Blues than Arsenal’s Mikel Arteta (60% - W6, D2, L2).

Players to watch out for

Since the start of last season, Chelsea Nicholas Jackon has been involved in more London derby goals than any other player in the Premier League (10 goals, 2 assists), with 12 involvements coming in his last nine such appearances. 

No player has been involved in more Premier League goals this season than Chelsea’s Cole Palmer (7 goals, 5 assists), while he’s also created the most chances from open play this term (24). His first ever Premier League goal at Stamford Bridge came in this exact fixture last season - since then (and including that goal) he’s scored more home goals than any other player (21). 

Injury list - Omari Kellyman, Jadon Sancho. 

Chelsea Probable Starting Lineup -  Gomes (GK), Mehta, Choudhari, Uvais, Cirkovic (DEF), Das, Khan, Hernandez, Tachikawa, Sanan (MID), Murray (FWD).

Arsenal FC Preview

Arsenal have won three of their last four Premier League away games against Chelsea (D1), as many as they had in their previous 20 visits to Stamford Bridge (D7, L10). Arsenal have won their last six Premier League London derby matches by an aggregate score of 22-3. They’ve won three of these six games by 5+ goals, having won just one of their first 295 such games by such a margin. 

The Gunners lost 2-0 to Bournemouth and 1-0 Newcastle in their last two Premier League away games. They last lost three in a row on the road in December 2021, while they last did so without scoring in August. 

Arteta’s men have lost just one of their last 26 Premier League games on the weekend immediately following a European fixture (W19, D6), going down 2-0 at home to Aston Villa in April. When facing Chelsea in such a match, they’ve lost five of their last 7, though the two exceptions have been in the last two meetings (0-0 in September 2017, 1-0 in November 2022).

The Saka Special

Arsenal’s Bukayo Saka has provided more assists than any other player in the Premier League this season (7). He’s also either scored (1) or assisted (2) a goal in each of his last three away games against Chelsea in the Premier League, with Sergio Aguero (2013 to 2017) and Javier Hernandez (2012 to 2018) the only visiting players to do so in four consecutive appearances. 

Injury list - Tierney, Calafiori, Tomiyasu and Rice will all miss the derby. 

Ipswich Probable Starting Lineup -  Mitra (GK), Renthlei, Edwards, Laldinpuia, Desai (DEF), Shields, Yadwad, Hnamte, Brambilla, Choudhary (MID), Gil (FWD).

CHELSEA FC vs ARSENAL FC
Winning Prediction

Chelsea have a well rested squad. Thanks to millions of pounds coughed up by Clearlake Capital. They can now rotate and rest. The Blues should most likely go on to win the Conference League. Maresca will be wary of a Champions League qualification along with a trophy. 

The Blues will come firing on all cylinders on Sunday at Stamford bridge and make up for a lacklustre performance against a depleted United side. Arsenal are in a current slump. But you never know when they can shop up. They have the fire power to change games in a matter of seconds. 

Mikel has built monsters and once he has all his players back fit, the club will go on a surge. The London Derby has always drawn crowds and this one should be no different with both clubs only separated by goal difference. 

Chelsea FC to win (2-1)

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