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Chelsea FC vs Newcastle United, English Premier League 2024-25, Today Match Prediction

Stamford Bridge, London

Chelsea's Young Guns Aim to Extend Winning Streak

  • Chelsea averages 2.5 goals per home game, while Newcastle averages 1.45 goals per away game.
  • On average, 1.8 goals are scored in the first half of Chelsea-Newcastle matches
  • Chelsea and Newcastle matches are typically high-scoring affairs, averaging 3.2 goals per game

Chelsea to Win (1-0)

Tournament: English Premier League 2024-25 | Venue: Stamford Bridge, London

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Chelsea have had a bright start to the season, akin to the future they possess with such formidable talent. Enzo Maresca made 11 changes to their midweek European Conference League fixture. The strength and depth of the squad is second to none. Joao felix grabbed a brace, with Mudryk and Nkunku chipping in, as the Blues beat Greek side Panathinaikos 4-1. 

The players who got on the score sheet are 24, 23 and 26 respectively, and counting Pedro Neto who got an assist is only 24. The average age of Chelsea players is 23 years. Such is the luxury that the Italian possesses at Stamford Bridge. 

Meanwhile, Newcastle must have had a week of reflection. Danny Welbeck silenced St.James’ Park last week as Brighton defeated Newcastle by a solitary goal, inflicting upon Newcastle a first Premier League home defeat since January. 

Eddie Howe will be concerned as his team failed to score a Premier League game for the first since the start of last term - a run of 22 games. Any opportunities that Chelsea present Newcastle with, will have to be taken, if they are to retain a European spot that the club believes to be in.

Head-to-Head Record : Both teams have played each other a whopping 153 times. Chelsea has won 66 of those, while Newcastle has won 49 of those games. 38 games have ended in a draw. 

Current Standings : The Blues sit in 6th position on 14 points. The Magpies are 2 points, 3 positions below Chelsea, on 12 points in 9th position. 

Chelsea FC Preview

It’s all good news for Chelsea. They’ve only lost one of 29 games at home against Newcastle (W21, D7), going down 2-0 in May 2017. The Blues last succumbed 3 Premier League defeats to last season’s top three sides (0-5 to Arsenal in April, 0-2 to Man City in August, 1-2 to Liverpool last weekend). The Blues are unbeaten in 19 games against all other teams (W13, D6), scoring 54 goals across these matches. 

The philosophy at Stamford Bridge is now clearer than it has ever been. Buy young, field young. Chelsea have named the youngest Starting X1 in the Premier League this season (23 years, 220 days), with Tosin Adarabioyo the oldest player to appear for them this season aged just 27. They are the only team in the Premier League history to get eight games into the season without utilising a single player above the age of 27. 

Cole Palmer has 18 goals and 5 assists in his last 14 Premier League appearances at Stamford Bridge for Chelsea. Among players to play 1,000+ minutes at a stadium, only Erling Haaland at the Etihad (goal or assist every 57 minutes) has a better ratio than Palmer at Stamford Bridge, averaging a goal or assist every 63 minutes there. 

Forward, Nicolas Jackson has been involved in 13 goals in his last 13 Premier League appearances (9 goals, 4 assists). He also netted the opener in a 3-2 win over Newcastle back in March. 

Injury list - Omary Kellyman will be sidelined for this game. 

Chelsea Probable Starting Lineup -  Sanchez (GK), James, Adarabioyo, Colwill, Gusto (DEF), Caicedo, Lavia, Sancho, Palmer, Madueke (MID), Jackson (FWD).

Newcastle United Preview

The Magpies have won two of their last four Premier League games against Chelsea (D1,L1), as many as they had in their previous 13 (D1, L10). After winning three of their first four Premier League games this season (D1), Newcastle have since failed to win their last four (D2,L2). The Magpies last went five matches without winning in the league in March 2023. Since enjoying an eight-game unbeaten run in London in the Premier League between October 2022 and October 2023, Newcastle United have lost five of their last seven games in the capital (W2). 

Eddie Howe has won two of his Premier League games against Chelsea in charge of Newcastle - only Alan Pardew (4) has beaten the blues more in the competition for the Magpies. Howe also beat the Blues four times while in charge of Bournemouth and could be the third manager to win 3+ Premier League games against them with two different clubs, after Kenny Dalglish (Blackburn/Liverpool) and David Moyes (Everton/West Ham).

Newcastle’s Harvey Barnes has been involved in 4 goals in his last 5 away Premier League appearances (3 goals, 1 assist), scoring in his last 2 games in London against Brentford and Fulham. The only 2 Magpies players to score in three in a row in the capital are Peter Beardsley in 1994 and Callum Wilson in 2020.

Injury list - Sven Botman, Jamaal Lascelles, Callum Wilson, Matt Targett, Martin Dubravka and Kieran Trippier will all miss out on a trip to the south. 

Newcastle United Probable Starting Lineup -  Pope (GK), Livramento, Schar, Burn, Hall, (DEF), Tonali, Guimaraes, Joelinton (MID), Murphy, Gordon, Isak (FWD).

Chelsea are picking up the gears, despite falling short last week at Anfield. They were the first away team in the Premier League to register an 88.1% pass completion rate at Anfield against Liverpool. The story most likely will be the same at Stamford Bridge with a different outcome. Newcastle still need some pieces of the puzzle to come together. They’re defence will be tested on numerous occasions, courtesy to Chelsea forward firepower. The Magpies’ goals have run dry and that will be a big talking point in terms of dictating which way this game pans out.  

Chelsea to Win (1-0)

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Author: Vishnu Reddy