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Can Honduras bounce back against Costa Rica?
Costa Rica to Win (2-1)
Tournament: Fifa World Cup Qualifiers (CONCACAF) | Venue: Estadio Nacional de Futbol de Nicaragua, Managua
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Costa Rica and Honduras will meet with everything on the line on November 19, and the pressure sits heavily on both camps as they enter a match that promises tension from the opening minutes, while each side looks for a way to get into the game after poor results in the previous round. Honduras slipped in Nicaragua, and Costa Rica faltered in Haiti, so the table now stands wide open, and the sense of urgency follows every decision.
Meanwhile, Costa Rica will approach this contest knowing their form has wobbled for weeks, but their home record in this fixture gives them some comfort, as recent meetings in San José have leaned in their favour with goals arriving freely.
Honduras, though, arrive aware that their away form has dipped, but they will still recognise that a disciplined display might help them cling to their place at the top, even though their last win over Costa Rica came more than ten years ago.
Costa Rica will approach this stage with a mixed picture that still carries promise, and they move with a tempo that often grows stronger on familiar ground. They have played five matches, earned six points, collected one win and three draws, and suffered one loss, while scoring eight goals and conceding six for a goal difference of +2. Their home record keeps them confident because they remain unbeaten there, and that platform continues to support their push.
Even so, Costa Rica's away form keeps dragging at them, as they have yet to claim a victory on the road. Their overall scoring rate of 1.8 per match jumps sharply to 3.0 at home, while their away return sinks to 0.6.
Their defence can offer resistance but still leak chances, particularly at home, where they average 1.8 conceded. Alonso Martínez leads their scoring chart, and Manfred Ugalde provides the most assists, giving the side a reliable cutting edge.
Costa Rica's possible starting lineup: Navas; Quiros, Waston, J. Vargas, Gamboa, Calvo; Borges, Murrillo, Martinez, Alcocer; K. Vargas
Honduras will enter the final stretch of the 2026 CONCACAF qualifiers with a record that keeps them alive in the race, even though their form has shifted from steady to shaky. They sit on eight points from five matches, with two wins, two draws, and one defeat, and their goal difference of plus three reflects both control in key moments and brief lapses that have hurt them. Their five goals scored and two conceded show a side that often protects its shape, but their recent 2–0 setback against Nicaragua exposed gaps that they must address quickly.
Even so, earlier results, including a clean 3–0 display against Haiti and a good showing against Costa Rica, confirm that they can rise when the stage demands it. Their average of 1.8 goals scored, 1.0 conceded, and 71.4% possession across four final-round matches suggests a team that usually dictates play. Alexy Vega leads their scoring with two goals, while Luis Palma remains their main creator with six assists.
Honduras' possible starting lineup: Menjivar; Najar, Montes, Vega, Rosales; Arriaga; O. Vega, D. Flores, Palma, Quioto; Benguche
Costa Rica look set to squeeze out a narrow win because their energy at home keeps showing up in big moments, and the crowd often lifts their tempo as the match stretches on. Moreover, they keep pushing forward with greater confidence in their own stadium, so their attack tends to grow sharper as chances appear.
Meanwhile, Honduras usually fade away in away fixtures, and their slow forward play gives opponents time to reset, which creates long spells of pressure against them. Consequently, Costa Rica’s urgency, tempo, and movement may tilt this tense meeting in their favour by the final whistle.
Costa Rica to Win (2-1)
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