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CLAIM NOWDominican Republic Face Uphill Battle Against In-Form Uzbekistan
Uzbekistan U-23 to Win (1-2)
Tournament: Olympics Football 2024 | Venue: Parc des Princes, Paris
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Round 3 of Men's Football in Olympics will begin on Tuesday with the Dominican Republic taking on Uzbekistan in a Group C clash at the Parc des Princes stadium in Paris at 6:30 p.m. IST. It's a do-or-die encounter for the Dominican Republic, but it's also Uzbekistan's final match of the campaign after being eliminated after two rounds.
The Dominican Republic is now second in the points standings with a -2 goal differential, and it could have been worse if not for Montes de Oca's lone goal in their previous meeting with Spain, which ended 3-1. On the other hand, Uzbekistan suffered their second consecutive loss in the campaign, losing 1-0 to Egypt in Nantes' Stade de la Beaujoire stadium on Friday.
After two rounds of Group C matches, it is evident that the second team's qualification will be determined by goal difference, if the Dominican Republic wins their final game and Egypt loses to Spain. Currently, the Dominican Republic has a GD of -2, whereas Egypt has a GD of +1.
So far in the tournament, Ibi Gomez's team was content with a draw, and the strategy worked against Egypt thanks to the Pharaoh's inability to finish, while Spain capitalised on their opportunities and punished them. And, despite having a high percentage of possession versus Egypt, they produced relatively few chances in both games. They only had 5 shots in the entire game against Spain, hitting the target once. But the alarming part for Ibi Gomez is that his team has an xGA of 1.92, which is the which is the worst among all teams in the competition.
Meanwhile, in the match against Spain, Ibi Gomez used a 3-5-2 defensive system, but with a win on the line, a 3-4-3 shape is probable for Tuesday, with Peter Gonzalez and Oscar Urena returning to the starting lineup. However, the Dominican Republic will be missing its captain, Edinson Azcona, who was red carded in the Spain encounter.
Dominican Republic Probable Playing XI - Valdéz (GK), de Lucas, Pujol, Urbáez ( Defenders); Marizán, Mörschel, Messina, Núñez ( Midfielders); Peter González, Lorenzo & Ureña (Forwards)
After their defeat versus Spain, Uzbekistan's coach stated, "We lacked luck and experience." In a manner, that was true, as they conceded the goal when their fullback Muhammad Kodir Khamraliyev mistakenly knocked the ball onto the foot of Ahmed Nabil Koka, forcing it to deflect into the Uzbek goal in the 11th minute. Regardless of their bad luck, Timur Kapadze would have expected his squad to make better most of their 60% possession advantage against Egypt.
The White Wolves may have been knocked out of the competition but they still have something to look forward to when they face Dominican Republic on Tuesday. As a debutante in this competition, the White Wolves can leave the competition on a high note by winning their first match. In terms of tactics, Timur Kapadze has used 4-2-3-1 formation in both games but now that he has nothing to lose, he may experiment with a more attacking 4-3-3 shape.
Uzbekistan Probable Playing XI - Nematov (Goalkeeper) ; Alikukov, Khamraliev, Khusanov, Yuldashev(Defenders); Buriev, Rahmonaliev, Fayzullaev, Jaloliddinov, Urunow(Midfielders); Shomurodov (Forward)
Both teams are eager for victory for different reasons. The Dominican Republic desperately needs a win to stay in the competition, while Uzbekistan aims to secure their first win before departing Paris. Uzbekistan is favored to win, with a draw as the second most likely outcome.
The expected goal count for this match is two. Given the Dominican Republic's recent form, with only one win in their last ten matches, and Uzbekistan's stronger performance, with three wins, we predict a draw or a win for Uzbekistan.
Uzbekistan U-23 to Win (1-2)
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