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CLAIM NOWWill Caution Prevail in Crucial Spain-Egypt Showdown?
Our Prediction is a Draw [Spain (1) - Egypt (1)]
Tournament: Olympics Football 2024 | Venue: Bordeaux Stadium, Bordeaux
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The gold medalists from the 1992 Olympics will face the Pharaohs in the Group C final at the Matmut Atlantique in Bordeaux on July 30 at 6:30 p.m. IST. This will be the teams' second match since the 2020 Tokyo Olympics, when they tied 0-0.
Spain has qualified for the quarterfinals after the completion of two rounds with wins over Ukraine (2-1) and the Dominican Republic (3-1), respectively. Fermin Lopez, with a goal and an assist, was the player of the match in the last game.
Meanwhile, Egypt have found themselves in a precarious position as they have yet to confirm their place in the quarterfinals despite winning their last game against Uzbekistan (1-0). If they lose the match on Tuesday, then their participation will depend further on the result of the Dominican Republic vs. Uzbekistan clash.
Having looked a little off in their win over Uzbekistan, Santi Denia’s team didn’t leave room for anyone to question their intent, as they thoroughly dominated the Dominican Republic in their second game. They dominated the Dominican Republic with a possession of 73% and won 60% of the duels. They were so dominant with the ball that Arnau Tenas had zero saves to make in the whole match.
Given that La Roja qualified for the quarterfinals, we might see some players getting chances ahead of the others. Samu Omordion is among the names that could get a nod from the coach on Tuesday. The 20-year-old forward, who plays for Athletico Madrid in La Liga, has eight goals and one assist in the 2023-24 season.
Abel Ruiz could possibly make a way for him. Meanwhile, Pai Cubarsi will miss the game after picking up his second yellow card in the previous match. The Real Sociedad centre-back, Jon Pacheco, who played for the last 25 minutes of the game against the Dominican Republic, will likely be the replacement.
From a Spain's perspective, the qualifications for the next round may be done, but they still have to play well to secure their top spot in the group. A loss on Tuesday will probably see Egypt overtake them in the group standings.
Spain Probable Playing XI - Tenas (Goalkeeper); Gutierrez, Garcia, Pubill, Pacheco (Defenders) ; Beana, Barrios, Fermin Lopez( Midfielders); , Omordion, Oriz, Sergio Gomez (Forwards)
Rogerio Micale will have a lot on his plate on Tuesday, as he has to keep an eye on the play in front of him as well as keep track of what's happening in the Dominican Republic's game. Even if they lose their match against Spain, they have to ensure that they lose by a lesser margin than what the Dominican Republic endured against Spain.
There are circumstances where numbers don't show a clear picture. Egypt’s GF to GA after two matches is one such instance where the numbers are flattering to deceive. So far in the tournament, the Pharaoh's have managed to keep a clean slate and scored only one goal.
However, with a xGA of 1.28, the Pharaoh's are in the top 5 list of the worst teams that should have conceded more goals than they have. In terms, goals scored, they are among the top 5 of the best, yet they only have one goal to show, and that too by some luck. If the Pharaoh's don't improve on those numbers, especially the xGA, then they will have a tough time against Spain.
Egypt Probable Playing XI - Alaa(Goalkeeper);, Fayed, Eid, El Debes, H. Abelmaguid ( Defenders); Elneny, Shehata, Nabil Ko ka (Midfielders) ; Zizo, Faisal, Adel (Forwards)
The last time these two sides played, it ended in a draw. A draw is likely to be enough for Egypt to advance to the quarterfinals. If this is the case, we may not see many goals in the game, and it will end in a dud affair between the teams. So the onus will be on La Roja to bring life into the game as they have scored five goals in the competition so far. However, the punters prefer a draw to a result-oriented encounter. Given how things have gone in Group C, we believe this match will end in a draw tie as well.
Our Prediction is a Draw [Spain (1) - Egypt (1)]
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