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Spain vs France, UEFA Euro 2024, Today Match Prediction

Allianz Arena, Munich, Bavaria

La Roja vs Les Bleus: Euro 2024 Semi-Final Promises Tactical Tug-of-War

  • Spain and France have met in 11 matches: Spain won 6, France won 4, and 1 drew. Both teams average 2.18 goals per match.
  • France are averaging 0.5 Goals per game in their last six outings
  • Spain are averaging 2.67 goals per game in the last six appearances

Spain to win (1-0)

Tournament: UEFA Euro 2024 | Venue: Allianz Arena, Munich, Bavaria

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We are in for a treat as Spain, the three-time Euro Cup winners, face off against France, the two-time European Champions, in the first semifinal of Euro 2024. This epic showdown will take place at the Allianz Arena in Munich. It will also be a clash of two different football ideologies: Spain prefers to keep the ball in possession and attack, while Les Bleus allows the opposition to dictate and defend until an opening to break presents itself.

Both Spain and France had a challenging journey to the semis after facing Germany and Portugal in the quarterfinals. Spain defeated Germany 2-1 thanks to Merino's 119th-minute goal, while France had to wait longer, defeating Portugal 5-3 on penalties following a 0-0 stalemate. On Tuesday night in Munich, Spain will be aiming to reach their fifth Euro final, with only Germany playing in more (6). Meanwhile, France will be seeking their fourth.

Spain Preview

Last Friday in Stuttgart, La Roja became the first team to qualify for the Euro 2024 semifinals after battling hard against the hosts, Germany. It wasn't a typical performance for the Spanish side, as they enjoyed less possession than usual and had to rely more heavily on their defense as the game progressed. 

They finished with only 48% possession and completed fewer passes than the Germans. The game against the French promises to be just as tough as the German encounter, but La Fuente knows he can bank on his team and some individual performances to triumph over Les Bleus.

Dani Olmo was one of the players who stood out during the game against Germany. Coming on as a substitute for Pedri just eight minutes into the match, Olmo not only scored a goal himself but also assisted Merino on the game-winner in the 119th minute. This marked his third assist of the tournament, making him the youngest player ever to achieve three assists in a single Euros or World Cup.

However, the victory over Germany didn't come without a price. Pedri is injured and will miss the semifinals. Dani Carvajal, Normand, and Morata will also miss the semis due to suspension. It will be interesting to see who La Fuente assigns to confront Mbappe in Carvajal's absence. He will likely opt for Bayern Leverkusen's Alejandro Grimadlo.

Spain Probable Starting XI -  Unai Simon (Goalkeeper) ; Alejandro Grimaldo/Navas, Laporte, Nacho, Marc Cucurella (Defenders) ; Fabian Ruiz, Rodri, Dani Olmo (Midfielders) ; Lamine Yamal, Joselu/Torres, Nico Williams ( Forwards) 

France Preview

Unlike Spain, France has had issues with scoring goals in the tournament. Till now, they have registered only three goals, but none from open play. But, for once in this tournament, they won't be worried about scoring goals. La Roja is the perfect match-up for Didier Deschamps’ side, which like to sit-back and let the opposition dictate. And this French team’s strongest trait is its flawless defence. So far in Euro 2024, they have conceded only one goal, that too through a penalty. In the last two years or so, they have conceded goals at an average of 0.6 per game. 

The likes of N'Golo Kante, Theo Hernandez, and Upamecano have been the standouts for France. Upamecano, in particular, with some help from Kounde and Camavinga, was instrumental in keeping the Portuguese winger, Leao, at bay in the quarterfinal. In a similar way, they will have to deal with Nico Williams. However, Portugal didn't have someone like Lamine Yamal on the other flank. 

That means, Theo Hernandez will be the one to look after Yamal. But, as good as the defence is, Spain does possess the quality to still score. That is where Les Bleus' problems begin. Deschamps’ aces, Griezmann and Mbappe, have been mediocre, to say the least. In fact, Deschamps subbed Griezmann off in the 65th minute of their clash against Portugal. 

Nevertheless, Deschamps will likely start these players in a 4-3-1-2 formation. Once the game goes deep, he will inject pace with Dembele or someone like Coman, as he knows that Spain doesn't have the same quality on the bench as their starting 11. As far as other changes are concerned, Rabiot will be back and probably replace Camavinga in the 11 after missing out on the quarterfinal due to suspension. 

France Probable Starting XI - Maignan (Goalkeeper) ; Kounde, Saliba, Upamecano, Hernandez (Defenders) ; Kante, Tchouameni, Rabiot (Midfielders) ; Mbappe, Kolo Muani, Griezmann (Forwards) 

The upcoming semi-final match on Tuesday between Spain and France will be their fifth meeting in a European Championship. France leads the head-to-head record with two wins and a draw. However, Spain won their last encounter, defeating the French in the Euro 2012 quarter final by 2-0. Coming into the contest, La Roja are on a seven-match winning streak and are unbeaten in their previous 10 games. Based on current form, Spain will enter the contest as the favorite.

Regardless, Les Bleus will believe they have a good chance against Spain. They know that if they can extend the game into extra time and take it to penalties, they can beat this Spanish side. Incidentally, Spain lost their knockout match on penalties to Italy in the last edition of the Euros, and the French are coming off a successful penalty shootout victory in their last game.

Whatever the outcome, this has the potential to be a close and tactical match, a classic in the making. In our prediction, if the game ends in regulation time, Spain will be the winners. If it goes to penalties, France might be the ones securing their place in the final.

Spain to win (1-0)


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Author: Vishnu Reddy