Everton FC vs Brentford FC, English Premier League 2024-25, Today Match Prediction

Everton FC vs Brentford FC Match Prediction & Analysis

After slipping to defeat in their first 4 opening games and conceding 13 goals in that period, the Toffees have now lost only 1 in 7 games. Despite that statistic sounding somewhat satisfactory, Everton played out a lacklustre draw against the Hammers. Sean Dyche was the happier out of the two managers, leaving London with a point. However, they have won only 1 out of their past 17 games on the road in top flight football, collecting just 9 points in the process. 

Before the West Ham game, Everton had succumbed to 3 losses away to London sides by an aggregate of 12-1. The Toffees brightest spark has been Dwight McNeil, with the Englishman playing more penetrating passes into the box, only behind Cole Palmer and Bukayo Saka. 

Brentford’s game, unlike Everton’s previous fixture, had it all. The Bees twice came from behind to get the better of Bournemouth and put the agonising defeat against Fulham to bed, when they conceded two stoppage time goals in that London Derby. Thomas Frank’s men have dropped more points (14) than any other team in the Premier League. 

But this time Yoane Wissa was having none of that, and in doing so, maintained the best home record in the Premier League this season. Mbeumo and Wissa are now among the 11 top scorers in the league. Any signs of missing Ivan Toney seems to have been evaporating from the GTech Community Stadium. The Bees have been part of dramatic games, only Spurs have scored more goals than Brentford’s 22, and Saturday’s affair at Goodison should be a treat.

Head-to-Head Record : Both teams have played each other 19 times. Everton have won 7 and Brentford have won 8. 4 of those games have ended in stalemates. 

Current Standings : Everton sit on 16th with 10 points. Brentford are in 11th with 16 points. 

TEAMS PREVIEW

Everton FC Preview

Having failed to win any of their first three Premier League games against Brentford (D1 L2), Everton have now won each of their last three against the Bees. Everton have lost only two of their last 10 Premier League games at Goodison Park (W6 D2), though this season it’s just one win in their opening five such games (D2 L2). No side has failed to score in more different Premier League games this season than Everton (5), who could do so in three successive league games under Sean Dyche for the third time after August 2023 and January 2024. Only Crystal Palace (0.089) average a lower xG per shot than Everton (0.093) in the Premier League this season, while Brentford are the side with the highest xG per shot in 2024-25 (0.149).

Since the start of last season, Everton have a win percentage of 35% and have earned 1.3 points per game in the Premier League when Jarrad Branthwaite starts, compared to a 17% win percentage and 0.8 points-per-game without him in their starting XI. Indeed, they’ve lost just one of the last eight league games in which he has started (W5 D2).

Stats That Matter - Everton are ranked worst in ball possession with 39.1% averaging 11.9 shots per game. The Toffees score an average of 0.91 goals per match with a shooting accuracy of 33%. Dwight McNeil is the top scorer with 3 goals. Dominic Calvert-Lewin and Iliman Ndiaye have also scored 2 goals each this season. The team has an average of 2.8 saves per game, the 15th best in the season. They have conceded an average of 1.55 goals per match.

Injury list - Youssef Cherminti, Armando Broja, Tim Iroegbunam, James Garner, Dwight McNeil, Seasum Coleman will all miss out. 

Everton Probable Starting Lineup -  Pickford (GK) Young, Tarkowski, Branthwaite, Mykolenko (DEF) Mangala, Gueye, Lindstrom, Doucoure, Ndiaye (MID) Calvert-Lewin (FWD).

Brentford FC Preview

Brentford haven’t kept a clean sheet in any of their last six away league games against Everton, failing to score themselves on four occasions in that run (W1 D0 L5). Brentford have lost all five of their Premier League away games this season; only in 1924-25 (9) and 1961-62 (9) have they ever lost each of their opening six or more away matches of a league campaign. Brentford have seen 44 goals scored across their 11 Premier League games so far this season (22 for, 22 against), the most of any side. Indeed, only Newcastle United in 1999-00 and Arsenal in 2011-12 have both scored and conceded 20+ goals in fewer games from the start of a campaign in the competition (10). 

Only Mohamed Salah (14), Erling Haaland (12), Cole Palmer (12) and Bukayo Saka (10) have been directly involved in more Premier League goals this season than Brentford’s Bryan Mbeumo (9 – 8 goals, 1 assist), though he’s played more minutes without a goal involvement in the competition against Everton than any other side (528 – 13 shots, 5 chances created). Yoane Wissa has scored seven goals from just 15 shots in the Premier League this season, with his conversion rate of 47% by far the highest of any player with at least five attempts so far.

Stats That Matter - Brentford are ranked 13th in ball possession with 46.9% averaging 11.2 shots per game. The Bees score an average of 2 goals per match with a shooting accuracy of 48%. Bryan Mbeumo is the top scorer with 8 goals. Yoane Wissa has also scored 7 goals this season. The team has an average of 5 saves per game, the best in the season. They have conceded an average of 2 goals per match.

Injury list - Rico Henry, Aaron Hickey, Josh Dasilva, Igor Thiago, Gustavo Nunes, Kristoffer Ajer are all ruled out. 

Brentford Probable Starting Lineup -  Flekken (GK), Van den Berg, Collins, Pinnock, Lewis-Potter (DEF) Jensen, Norgaard, Janelt (MID), Mbeumo, Wissa, Damsgaard (FWD)

EVERTON FC vs BRENTFORD FC
Winning Prediction

This is going to be a very tricky fixture. Brentford who are scoring countless goals, and also simultaneously conceding, have not won any of their 5 away fixtures. Everton are struggling to find the back of the net and have drawn both their previous two games at Goodison Park. The Toffees lack stand out quality especially in the forward areas. Injuries have ravaged the squad and it has been difficult fielding a consistent 11. Although Thomas Frank’s men have struggled for results away from the GTech, this could be where they turn the tide and rise higher in the ranking. 

We Predict a Draw (1-1)

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