Everton FC vs Newcastle United, English Premier League 2024-25, Today Match Prediction

Everton FC vs Newcastle United Match Prediction & Analysis

Everton will face Newcastle United at Goodison Park in what is considered to be one of the weekend's most anticipated matches, given their head-to-head stats. Meanwhile, the last meeting between the teams at the venue finished with the home team defeating Newcastle by three goals to none.

Ahead of a crucial match, both sides will believe they have a chance to outperform the other due to the confidence earned from prior results. The hosts are coming off a 2-1 home win over Crystal Palace, with Dwight McNeil scoring twice. Meanwhile, Newcastle held the defending Champions to a 1-1 draw at the Etihad Stadium thanks to some solid defensive work.

Current Standings: Despite the win over Palace, Everton is in a perilous 16th place in the table with 4 points. Newcastle, on the other hand, is significantly higher up the table, sitting seventh with 11 points.

Head-to-Head Record: Everton and Newcastle United till date clashed 58 times in the premier league and both teams managed to win 23 apiece, While Everton has won 15 at home and 8 away, Newcastle managed to win 16 at home and 7 away. 12 games ended in a draw. 

TEAMS PREVIEW

Everton FC Preview

After losing from perfectly winnable positions in previous games, the Toffees have now turned the tables by winning despite trailing early in their most recent encounter against Crystal Palace. And it appears that the match prior to the Palace one versus Leicester City was the tipping moment. With away games against Southampton and Ipswich coming up, Everton will be hoping to piece together a few victories in the coming weeks. 

 Jarrad Branthwaite is back! The Toffees' defence had been missing the ace defender in previous games, and his arrival against Crystal Palace made the defence appear much more solid. The centre-back finished making three inceptions, two successful tackles, won all ground duels, and made five clearances. 

Key Players

 Dwight McNeil has looked the part since moving from a wider to a much more central role in the midfield. He had a huge impact on the game against Crystal Palace, scoring two goals. He currently has the most goal contributions of any Everton player (3 goals and 2 assists). Dwight McNeil, together with Calvert-Lewin and Illiman Ndiaye, will be crucial to Everton's chances of beating Newcastle.

Stats That Matter 

Everton are ranked the worst in ball possession with 37.2% averaging 11.3 shots per game. The Toffees score an average of 1.17 goals per match with a shooting accuracy of 28%. Dwight McNeil is the top scorer with 3 goals this season. Dominic Calvert-Lewin has also scored 2 goals in the 6 matches played this season. The team has an average of 2.8 saves per game, the 13th best in the season. They have conceded an average of 2.50 goals per match.

Tactics 

 No changes to the starting 11 from the Crystal Palace game, as Dyche is likely to line up his team in a 4-2-3-1 formation. 

Everton Probable Starting Lineup - Pickford (GK) ; Garner, Tarkowski, Branthwaite, Mykolenko (Defenders); Doucoure, Mangala, Lindstrom, McNeil, Ndiaye (Midfielders); Calvert-Lewin

Newcastle United Preview

Following a disheartening loss to Fulham (1-3), Eddie Howe's team took advantage of their home game against Manchester City, who were missing important players, and came away with valuable points as they held the Citizens for a 1-1 draw.

Former Everton winger Anthony Gordon, who has 13 goals in 23 Premier League appearances in 2024, is the one to watch. He has two goals so far this season. Aside from Gordon, Harvey Barnes, who has three goals and two assists, is the second essential player to watch out for. 

Stats That Matter 

Newcastle are ranked 14th in ball possession with 44.5% averaging 11.2 shots per game. The Magpies score an average of 1.33 goals per match with a shooting accuracy of 36%. Harvey Barnes is the top scorer with 3 goals this season. Anthony Gordon has also scored 2 goals in the 6 matches played this season. The team has an average of 4.8 saves per game, the 4th best in the season. They have conceded an average of 1.17 goals per match.

Tactics 

Eddie How usually lines up his 11 in a 4-3-3 shape. And is expected to go in with the same in the upcoming game as well. Everton has struggled with set-pieces this season, conceding three goals, as well as counter-attacks, conceding twice in five shots. Clearly, these will be the areas that the Magpies attempt to exploit. Furthermore, the majority of Everton's surrendered goals came in the second half. Using   substitutes  properly would undoubtedly aid the Magpies in this game. 

Newcastle United Probable Starting Lineup - N. Pope (GK); F. Schar, L. Hall, D. Burn, Trippier (Defenders); Joelinton, Guimaraes, Tonali (Midfielders); A. Gordon, A. Isak, Barnes (Forwards) 

EVERTON FC vs NEWCASTLE UNITED
Winning Prediction

Based on the head-to-head statistics, both teams have comparable stats. However, Newcastle have a slight advantage here as they have won five of their last eight Premier League meetings with Everton. That said, Everton have won six of their last eight matches at Goodison Park. In addition, since April 6, the Toffees have won more points at home than any other side in the league. Nonetheless, it's a difficult game to call. Meanwhile, an xG of 3 is expected for this contest. We back Newcastle to triumph over the Toffees.

Newcastle United to Win (1-2)

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