FC Goa vs ATK Mohun Bagan, Indian Super League 2024-2025, Today Match Prediction

FC Goa vs ATK Mohun Bagan Match Prediction & Analysis

In a repeat of last season’s playoff clash, host Goa will face Mohun Bagan for the first time this season. The match is scheduled for Friday, the 20th at the Fatorda Stadium at 7:30 p.m. ISL. Having completed 11 rounds of matches in the ISL 2024/25, it will be the first meeting between the teams this season.

Both teams are in red-hot form heading into Friday’s clash. Goa is riding a six-match unbeaten streak, while Mohun Bagan is on an eight-game unbeaten run. However, it’s Bagan who have been the more dominant side with 7 wins and just 1 draw, placing them firmly at the top of the points table. This promises to be a thrilling encounter!

Current Standings: ATK Mohun Bagan find themselves in the pole position in the points table with 26 points, while Goa is placed 4th with 19 points

Head-to-Head Record: ATK Mohun Bagan hold a 5-3  win-loss record over the Gaurs in ISL matches.

TEAMS PREVIEW

FC Goa Preview

FC Goa were on the brink of a stunning double over Bengaluru, having already beaten the Blues 3-0 at home. With a commanding 2-0 lead by the 66th minute, the script seemed perfect. But football’s unpredictability came alive at the Kanteerava. 

Spurred by their passionate home crowd, Bengaluru staged a thrilling comeback, striking twice in just 12 minutes to snatch a dramatic draw from the jaws of defeat.  As they gear up to face Bagan on Friday, they’ll be counting on the Fatorda crowd  to create the same electrifying atmosphere that powered Bengaluru’s dramatic comeback at the Kanteerava. 

Key Player

Armando Sadiku, the Albanian striker with 8 goals this season, is set to face his former club Mohun Bagan in a highly anticipated clash. Having scored 8 goals for Bagan last season, Sadiku knows their players and tactics like the back of his hand. Now on the opposite side, he’ll be pivotal in cracking Bagan’s formidable defense. 

Stats That Matter

FC Goa's last two home games were against Bengaluru and Punjab FC, both resulting in wins for the Gaurs. Goa has maintained a consistent scoring record this season, finding the back of the net in all 11 matches. Interestingly, 29% of their goals are scored within the 31-45 minute period. At home, they boast an impressive average of 1.95 goals per game. 

FC Goa are ranked 6th in ball possession with 54.4%. They average 14.3 shots and 4.7 corners per game. Armando Sadiku is the top scorer with 8 goals. Iker Guarrotxena and Udanta Singh Kumam have also scored 2 goals each this season. On the defensive side, the team makes an average of 18.7 clearances and 2.5 saves per game, the 7th best in the season. They have managed 14 tackles and 8.2 interceptions but conceded 1.36 goals per game.

FC Goa Probable Starting Lineup - Tiwari (GK), J Gupta, Jinghan, Odei, Boris  Singh, McHugh, Guarrotxena, Kumam, Dev Chetri, Yasir, Sadiku

ATK Mohun Bagan Preview

In stark contrast to Goa's result, Mohun Bagan staged a sensational late comeback to secure crucial points and hold Bengaluru at bay from the top spot. Down 1-2 against Kerala Blasters until the 85th minute, super subs Jason Cummings and Ashique Kuruniyan turned the game on its head. 

The duo accounted for the Mariners’ equaliser with Cummings netting the 86th-minute goal. Eventually, that propelled them to a third goal and clinching a win from the jaws of a defeat. The thrilling 3-2 victory showcased Bagan’s bench strength and unwavering grit, a necessary requirement that will give them more confidence as we go deep into the tournament. 

Defensive Fortress

Notwithstanding what happened in the last game, defensively, the Mariners have been the benchmark this season, boasting the fewest goals conceded (10) and the second-best xGA (1.29). Their tactical edge lies in frustrating opponents early, and if they can keep Goa at bay in the opening phase, Goa's attacking rhythm could falter. Given that Goa has scored in every game so far, their desperation to maintain that streak might just create openings for the Mariners to exploit. 

Stats That Matter

Mohun Bagan Super Giant are ranked 1st in ball possession with 55.8%. They average 15.7 shots and 6.7 corners per game. Jamie MacLaren is the top scorer with 4 goals this season. Manvir Singh and Subashish Bose have also scored 3 goals each this season. On the defensive side, the team makes an average of 17.3 clearances and 3.5 saves per game, the 3rd best in the season. They have managed 16 tackles and 10.5 interceptions but conceded 0.9 goals per game.

Mohun Bagan has been a formidable defensive force this season, boasting the most clean sheets with six. Offensively, 32% of their goals are scored within the 31-45 minute period, showcasing a strong attacking rhythm in the latter stages of the first half. Four players from Mohun Bagan have contributed significantly with three or more goals each. On the road, the Mariners maintain a solid scoring average of 1.77 goals per game.

ATK Mohun Bagan Probable Starting Lineup - V. kaith(GK) , Rai, Rodriguez, Aldred, Bose, Ralte, Tangri, M. Singh, Petratos, Colaco, Maclaren

FC GOA vs ATK MOHUN BAGAN
Winning Prediction

Mohun Bagan holds a dominant head-to-head record against FC Goa. In the last ten matches across all competitions, Bagan boasts a 6-3 win-loss record. However, in the last five ISL games, FC Goa has enjoyed a slight edge, winning three, including resounding victories by 3-0 and 4-1. Notably, the Mariners have won two of their past three matches at Fatorda.

Given their overall dominance and recent successes at Fatorda, we are inclined to back Mohun Bagan for a win in this match. ATK Mohun Bagan is favored to win with odds of 2.46 compared to Goa's 2.80, while a draw is priced at 3.45

ATK Mohun Bagan to Win (1-2)

1xBet

330% up to ₹65,000 on your 1st Deposit with Reg Code: TOPBK

BET NOW