Ipswich Town FC vs Aston Villa FC, English Premier League 2024-25, Today Match Prediction

Ipswich Town FC vs Aston Villa FC Match Prediction & Analysis

Two teams with contrasting ambitions take each other on at Portman Road. Sam Morsy’s 90+5 minute equaliser pierced Saints’ hearts in a 1-1 draw, but it’ll take a lot more to deal and dust aside Unai Emery’s men. The battle of the newly promoted sides ended up being a celebration of a point for Ipswich and a huge loss for Southampton. Ipswich last won a top-flight match in April, 2002 winning 1-0 against Middlesbrough. The Tractor Boys who gained back to back promotion from League 1, all the way to the Premier League will be looking to desperately register 3 points. 

Aston Villa, boasting of an attacking threat like no other, left it late against Wolves to claim victory. Unai Emery who has been a serial winner in Europe, had a hangover to shake off against Wolves. However, this time round he’ll look at getting things done in fast fashion. In 18 Premier League matches against newly promoted sides, Emery has a win percentage of 78%. (W14, D2, L2). Winning 9 out of 10 as Villa boss. 

Head-to-Head Record : Both teams have met 45 times in all competitions. Ipswich has won 13 of those, Villa secured 21 wins, with 11 stalemates between them. 

Current Standings : Newly promoted Ipswich have drawn three of their past 5 games and find themselves flirting in 17th position with teams in the relegation zone. Villa are comfortably sitting in third. 

TEAMS PREVIEW

Ipswich Town FC Preview

The last time Ipswich beat Villa was a 1-0 away win in March, 1994. Kieran McKenna’s men have gone without a victory in their previous 5 games (D3, L2). They last had a longer winless start to a top-flight season in 1982-1983 (opening 6 games). The transition from Championship to Premier League is always an elusive one, and Ipswich has been on the receiving end of an unforgiving fixture list, beginning their campaign against Liverpool and Man City.

Players to watch out for 

Only Bournemouth’s Marcus Tavernier (197) has applied more pressure onto opponents in the Premier League this season than Ipswich’s Omari Hutchinson (196). This makes Ipswich an exciting spectacle to watch, always on the front foot. Although Arijanet Muric has one Premier League clean sheet in 14 games for Burnley and Ipswich, according to Opta’s xGoT model, the keeper has prevented 9.4 goals in the competition, the best prevention rate of any goalkeeper since his debut on March 16. 

Stats That Matter 

Ipswich Town are ranked second worst in ball possession with 37.2% averaging 7.6 shots per game. The Tractor Boys score an average of 0.60 goals per match with a shooting accuracy of 37%. Sammie Szmodics and Sam Morsy are the top scorers with 1 goal apiece. The team has an average of 3 saves per game, the 11th best in the season. They have conceded an average of 1.60 goals per match.

Injury list - Harry Clarke is ruled out with an ankle injury. So is Kalvin Phillips who is nursing a thigh injury. 

Ipswich Town Probable Starting Lineup - Muric (GK), Tuanzebe, O’Shea, Greaves, Davis (DEF), Morsy, Cajuste (MID), Ogbene, Hutchinson, Szmodics, Delap (FWD).

Aston Villa FC Preview

Villa come into this game on the back of a forgettable away win at Wycombe in the EFL Cup. Aston Villa have won their first two away Premier League games this season - only once in their league history have they opened a season with three away wins, doing so in 2020-21. 

But as we know, Ipswich who are considered underdogs this season are capable of causing an upset despite Villa having beaten Leicester, Everton, Wolves and looking to break their record of 5 consecutive wins in a row, that they registered between March and April 2023. Since Unai Emery took charge of Villa in 2022, only Erling Haaland (66) and Mohammad Salah (59) have been involved in more Premier League goals than Ollie Watkins (53 - 35 goals, 18 assists).

Stats That Matter

Aston Villa are ranked 8th in ball possession with 51.4% averaging 12.4 shots per game. The Lions score an average of 2 goals per match with a shooting accuracy of 37%. John Duran is the top scorer with 4 goals this season. Ollie Watkins is the second best with 3 goals in the 5 matches played this season. The team has an average of 2 saves per game, the worst in the season. They have conceded an average of 1.40 goals per match.

Injury list - Boubacar Kamara, Tyrone Mings, Matty Cash, Jaden Philogene and John McGinn are all ruled out for the game at Portman Road.

Aston Villa Probable Starting Lineup -  Martinez (GK), Bogarde, Konsa, Torres, Digne (DEF), Onana, Tielemans, Bailey, Rogers, Ramsey (MID), Watkins (FWD).

IPSWICH TOWN FC vs ASTON VILLA FC
Winning Prediction

Ipswich has shown admirable resolve, managing to salvage points against teams in which they looked destined for defeat. Kieran McKenna will want to put out a statement to all those who penciled Ipswich to return to where they came from. For Emery the story is about securing back to back wins. Surely, anything less than a point will be a loss for the Villa. 

Aston Villa to Win (1-2)

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