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CLAIM NOWIpswich's Home Form to be Tested by Leicester
We Predict a draw (1-1)
Tournament: English Premier League 2024-25 | Venue: Portman Road, Ipswich
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Ipswich was part of a 7 goal thriller last week, except on the losing end. Bryan Mbeumo broke hearts with a 96th minute winner that evaded every player and nestled into the net. Liam Delap who is developing into a formidable young player thought he did enough to give his club a hard fought point, but the Bees had other plans. Ipswich boss hailed his players’ performance despite taking the lead and conceding 3 goals. The Tractor Boys have now lost 10 points from winning positions in the league this season. If they are to stay up, they can’t afford to let more games slip away.
Leicester City had a chance to capitalise on Man United’s shortcomings. Instead their plans completely misfired as they succumbed to a 5-2 loss. Steve Cooper will be banned from Saturday’s dugout, after having picked up a yellow for protesting against an offside call that was not given.
The Carabao Cup only applies VAR in semis and finals and therefore a human-error proved costly for the Foxes. The last time Leicester travelled down South was when they found themselves 2-0 down at halftime. Although they went on to win that game 3-2, Cooper’s prime task is to make sure Leicester stay in the Premier. Time will tell which of the two newly promoted sides get their act right.
Head-to-Head Record : Both teams have played each other 6 times in the Premier League. The Foxes won 2, the Tractor Boys won 3 and 1 game ended in a draw.
Current Standings : The Tractor Boys are languishing in 18th on 4 points. While, Leicester are 15th on 9 points.
Historically, games between these two teams have been relatively low-scoring in the first half, averaging just one goal. Overall, the average number of goals per match is 2.2. When Ipswich Town finds themselves trailing 1-0 at home, their chances of a comeback are decent, with a win rate of 36%. Conversely, when they take an early lead, their win percentage jumps to 70%.
The Tractor Boys have a 30% success rate in winning the first half. However, they've endured a recent slump, going four home games without a win and extending their overall winless streak to ten matches. A 1-1 draw is the most common result in this fixture, but when played at home, a 2-0 victory is more likely.
One player to watch is Conor Delap, who has been instrumental in Ipswich's goal-scoring efforts. He's scored 56% of their goals this season, a higher percentage than any other player in the league except Chris Wood. Delap's impact is evident in his shot-taking ability, leading the team in both total shots and shots on target.
Unfortunately, Ipswich will be without key players Massimo Luongo, Axel Tuanzebe, and Chiedozie Ogbene due to injuries. These absences could further hinder their chances of securing a positive result.
Ipswich Town Probable Starting Lineup - Muric (GK), O’Shea, Burgess, Davis Woolfenden, (DEF), Phillips, Cajuste, Smodics, Chaplin, Ogbene (MID), Hirst (FWD).
Leicester City has a slight historical advantage over Ipswich Town, losing only one of their last five encounters across all competitions. However, their away record when trailing 1-0 is poor, with a mere 9% win rate. On the other hand, when they take an early lead, their success rate jumps to 68%. Their most recent meeting ended in a 1-1 draw.
A notable aspect of Leicester's recent performances is their tendency to score goals in the latter stages of matches. A significant portion of their goals, 38%, have been netted between the 61st and 75th minutes.
Jamie Vardy is poised to make history. If he scores in this match, he will become the oldest player to score in three consecutive Premier League appearances. The 37-year-old forward has already netted four goals in nine Premier League games this season, surpassing his total from the previous campaign.
Leicester will be without several key players due to injuries, including Patson Daka, Jacob Stolarczyk, Hamza Choudhury, and Victor Kristiansen. These absences could impact their squad depth and overall performance.
Leicester City Probable Starting Lineup - Hermansen (GK), Pereira, Faes, Okoli, Justin, (DEF), Ndidi, Winks, Fatawu, Buonanotte, Mavididi (MID), Vardy (FWD).
Both teams are dangerous in attack, but toothless when it comes to defending. This newly promoted affair should be intriguing as both haven’t registered recent wins. Ipswich are getting a reality check of life in the Premier League and last week’s encounter against Brentford will have dented their confidence. The Foxes look to be an inconsistent side, although they were hard done by against United.
We Predict a draw (1-1)
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