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Can UAE topple Iraq's challenge?
Iraq to Win (1-0)
Tournament: Fifa World Cup Qualifiers (AFC) | Venue: Basra International Stadium, Basra
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The AFC qualifiers are heading for a dramatic finish as Iraq and the UAE gear up for one final showdown with a place in the inter-confederation playoffs on the line. Their first-leg meeting at the Mohammed Bin Zayed Stadium ended 1–1, setting up a decisive, winner-takes-all clash at the Basra International Stadium on November 18.
Head-to-head Record: Across 18 meetings, Iraq hold a slight edge with six wins, while UAE have claimed five, and the other seven ended in draws.
It wasn’t quite the night the Lions of Mesopotamia hoped for in the first leg, as Ali Al-Hamadi’s early strike was cancelled out just eight minutes later by UAE, leaving Iraq with a frustrating draw despite their strong start. And they would have been even more frustrated with their second-half display, where they clearly looked second best and were spared further damage only by a late decision that ruled out the UAE’s would-be winner.
For a team that entered the tie on the back of three straight clean sheets, the outcome will sting. Still, their World Cup dream remains firmly in their own hands and with the Basra crowd behind them this time, Iraq will fancy their chances of finishing the job.
Stats that matter
1. Iraq are unbeaten in the last six matches across all competitions ( W4, D2)
2. Fewer than 3 goals per match were scored during 5 of the last six matches featuring Iraq.
3. Across their last six World Cup qualifiers, Iraq haven’t managed to score more than once in any game.
Team News
Iraq head into the match with a clean bill of health, and the big boost comes up front—Ayman Hussein, their top scorer in qualifying with eight goals, is expected to return to the starting XI after beginning the first leg on the bench.
Iraq Probable Starting Lineup : Basil (GK); Ali, Younis, Sulaka, Doski; Al-Ammari, Iqbal; Rashid, Amyn, Ali Jasim; Ayman Hussein.
UAE will be delighted by the result of the last game, after going a goal down early in the game but would be disappointed by the fact despite being the better team in the contest with 52% and more shots ( 13 to 9), all they could manage was one goal. More so given having scored 34 goals—the sixth-best tally in the qualifiers, and the fact that they were playing at home.
That said, the UAE have enjoyed a standout qualifying campaign, highlighted by impressive 5–0 and 3–0 wins over higher-ranked Qatar and several strong showings earlier on. After their spirited display in the first leg, Al-Abyad will believe they have one more big performance in them as they head into the decisive clash with Iraq.
Stats that matter
1. UAE have won four of their last six matches across all competitions.
2. In each of those six matches, UAE have managed to score at least one goal.
3. Ali Saleh has been the MVP of their campaign with four assists and three goals in 13 matches.
Team News
Apart from De Lima’s injury, the UAE have a fully fit squad available for this all-important showdown with Iraq
UAE Probable Starting Lineup: Eisa (GK); Pereira, Pimenta, Kouadio, Meloni; Canedo, Nader, Suarez, Ali Saleh; Jiminez; Lucas.
The (1-1) away draw gives Iraq the psychological edge and a safety net. A (0-0) scoreline sees them win, meaning they can sit deep in a compact defensive shape (like a 4-4-1-1). This forces the UAE to attack and potentially leave gaps for Iraqi counter-attacks.
Iraq to Win (1-0)
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