Leeds United vs Burnley FC, English Premier League 2025-26, Today Match Prediction

Leeds United vs Burnley FC Match Prediction & Analysis

Leeds United welcome Burnley to Elland Road on Saturday at 12:30 AM IST in a clash between two newly promoted sides. Leeds head into the fixture on a mixed note after FA Cup elimination, though their recent Premier League form should still give them confidence. 

Burnley, meanwhile, have little left to play for after their last defeat sealed relegation, but they will be determined to sign off with a strong showing against familiar opposition. 

Current Standings: Leeds currently sit 15th in the table with 40 points, while Burnley languish in 19th with 20.

Head-to-Head Record: Leeds have dominated the five Premier League meetings between the sides, winning three to Burnley’s one, alongside a single draw. 

TEAMS PREVIEW

Leeds United Preview

Despite the setback of a 1-0 FA Cup semifinal loss to Chelsea FC, Leeds United head into this fixture with confidence. Their five-game unbeaten run in the Premier League (W2 D3) has provided a solid cushion, highlighted by an impressive 2-1 win over Manchester United at Old Trafford. 

They also showed resilience in a dramatic 2-2 draw against AFC Bournemouth in the last league outing, rescued by a 97th-minute equaliser from Sean Longstaff. That run has lifted Daniel Farke’s side six points clear of the relegation zone and within touching distance of Crystal Palace in 13th.

Stats that matter 

1. The Whites have remained unbeaten in the last three home league games, while managing to keep clean sheets in all of them.
2. Leeds have failed to score in each of their last three league games against Burnley.
3. Only Bournemouth (16) have drawn more games than Leeds (13) in the league this season. 

Team News 

For the upcoming fixture, Gabriel Gudmundsson has been ruled out with a hamstring injury, dealing a blow to the squad. Meanwhile, the availability of Noah Okafor and Jaka Bijol remains uncertain, adding further doubt ahead of the clash.

Leeds United Probable XI - Darlow (GK); Rodon, Bijol, Struijk, Bogle, Ampadu, Tanaka, Justin, Aaronson, Okafor, Calvert-Lewin 

Burnley FC Preview

Burnley FC have been rocked by the resignation of head coach Scott Parker following their 1-0 defeat to Manchester City, a result that confirmed relegation. 

Parker departs after a remarkable 2024/25 campaign, where he led the Clarets to promotion with a record 33-match unbeaten run and 30 clean sheets. Assistant Mike Jackson is now set to take interim charge for the remaining fixtures.

With four games left, including clashes against Leeds United and Wolverhampton Wanderers, Jackson will aim to halt Burnley’s poor run—winless in eight matches and currently on a four-game losing streak, with their last victory dating back to February against Crystal Palace. 

If that happens, Burnley will look to Zian Flemming to lead the way, especially with eight of his nine league goals this season coming away from home.

Stats that matter

1. Burnley have registered only one win from their last 25 Premier League games.
2. Nine of their last 13 points in the league have come from games on the road.
3. Burnley’s average of 9.1 shots per game and 3 shots on target per game are their lowest numbers in a single top-flight campaign.

Team News 

Burnley have confirmed that Josh Cullen, Connor Roberts and Jordan Beyer will miss out through injury. There is some encouragement, though, as Hannibal Mejbri, Axel Tuanzebe and Zeki Amdouni are close to returning and could yet make the matchday squad.

Burnley Probable XI - Dubravka (GK); Walker, Ekdal, Humphreys, Esteve, Hartman, Tchaouna, Ward-Prowse, Laurent, Anthony, Flemming. 

LEEDS UNITED vs BURNLEY FC
Winning Prediction

Everything points in Leeds’ favour heading into this clash—strong recent form, a dominant head-to-head record, and the comfort of Elland Road. While Burnley did register a convincing 2-0 win in the reverse fixture, the current momentum suggests a very different script this time around. Leeds look well-placed to extend their impressive home run with a fourth consecutive victory.

The bookmakers echo that sentiment, heavily backing the hosts at 1.43, while Burnley trail at 7.2 and the draw stands at 5. 

Leeds United to Win (2-1)

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