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CLAIM NOWLeicester Targets Comeback Against Everton
Our Prediction is a Draw (1-1)
Tournament: English Premier League 2024-25 | Venue: King Power Stadium, Leicester
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Leicester City play host to Sean Dyche’s Everton at King Power Stadium on Saturday, 7:30 pm IST. Leicester City’s last match with Crystal Palace resulted in a draw (2-2) as both J.Vardy and S.Mavididi scored one goal each. Everton, on the other hand, lost their previous game to Aston Villa 3-2 despite D.Calvert-Lewin and D.McNeil scoring two goals.
Current Standings: Leicester City are currently in the 15th position, with two draws, two losses and a goal differential of -2. Meanwhile, the Toffees are at the last position with four losses and a goal differential of -9.
Head to Head Record: Both Leicester City and Everton have played 34 matches together in the Premier League. Everton has a dominant record by winning 11 of these games (5 home and 6 away) with Leicester winning 7 (4 home and 3 away). Apart from this, 16 matches resulted in a draw.
The Foxes have had a week to reflect on their loss to Crystal Palace at the Selhurst Stadium, where they blew a 2-0 lead and ended up sharing points with the Eagles after the game ended with a scoreline of 2-2. However, they would have appreciated the six-day gap between the Palace and now because, unlike their opponents, they have not had a midweek Cup game and will be fresher heading into a must-win game.
Attack is the best form of defence
Steve Cooper, unlike his predecessor, prefers to create opportunities through counterattacks and breaks. However, the side often feels static on the pitch, inviting trouble. It's no surprise they've had an xG of 4.31 in four games and allowed nearly two goals per game.
Almost all of their goals have come from taking chances up front by dictating the game. Cooper has excellent wingers at his disposal, as well as an experienced man up front in Vardy. So they could be better suited to putting those resources to use by playing more proactively in the coming games.
Stats that matter
Leicester City are ranked the third worst in ball possession with 41% averaging 8.8 shots per game. The Foxes score an average of 1.25 goals per match with a shooting accuracy of 40%. Jamie Vardy is the top scorer with two goals. Both Stephy Mavididi and Wout Faes have one goal apiece. The team averages 3.5 saves per game, the eight best in the season. They have conceded an average of 1.75 goals per match.
Injury Concerns
Jakub Stolarczyk, Patson Daka, and Odsonne Edouard are all doubts for the Everton match owing to injuries.
Leicester City Starting Lineup: M.Hermansen (GK); J.Justin, W.Faes, C.Okoli, V.Kristiansen (Defenders); W.Ndidi, H.Winks, S.Mavididi, J.Ayew, O.Skipp (Midfielders); J.Vardy (Forward)
It's been a forgettable week for Everton, as in a matter of days, Sesn Dyche's side has lost a game from a position of strength to getting knocked out of the EFL Cup in the third round via the dreaded penalties. The last thing the Toffees need is yet another defeat in the weekend. In addition to the defeats, Dyche is under increased strain as reports circulate that he may be replaced by Moyes.
Last season, the Toffees finished behind City, Liverpool, and Arsenal as the team that conceded the fewest number of goals. However, after the first four rounds, they have conceded the most goals with 13 and an xG of 10.52, the highest among all the teams.
Toffees miss Jarrad Branthwaite
The biggest caveat to Everton's poor start has been the absence of Jarrad Branthwaite, whose form last season put him on the edge of making Gareth Southgate's final England squad for Euro 2024. The centre-back's absence has been felt most strongly when the Toffees have coped with crosses into the box. Six of the 13 goals they've conceded this season were from crosses. Armando Broja and Youssef Ramalho Chermiti will miss the trip to Leicester, while Nathan Patterson, Jarrad Branthwaite, Seamus Coleman, and Vitalii Mykolenko are expected to be healthy and ready.
Stats that matter
Everton are ranked second last in ball possession with 35.2% averaging 10.8 shots per game. The Toffees score an average of 1 goal per match with a shooting accuracy of 28%. Dominic Calvert-Lewin is the top scorer with 2 goals. Both Michael Keane and Dwight McNeil are the top scorers with one goal each. The team averages 3.2 saves per game, the tenth best in the season. They have conceded an average of 3.25 goals per match.
Everton Starting Lineup: J.Pickford (GK); M.Keane, J.Tarkowski, A.Young, V.Mykolenko (Defenders); D.McNeil, I.Ndiaye, J.Harrison, I.Gueye, T.Iroegbunam (Midfielders); D.Calvert-Lewin (Forward)
It's one of those games where both teams seem content to play to a draw. Three of the sides' last five matches have resulted in draws. Regardless, Everton has the upper hand in the head-to-head duel, having lost only once in the last seven meetings with the Foxes.
You can anticipate an xG of 2.5/3, given how their recent contests have played out. If Branthwaite plays, Everton has a chance to eke out some points; otherwise, it will be a win for Leicester City or a draw.
Our Prediction is a Draw (1-1)
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