Liverpool FC vs Leeds United, English Premier League 2025-26, Today Match Prediction

Liverpool FC vs Leeds United Match Prediction & Analysis

After a stutter in the middle of the first-half of last year, Liverpool have steadily climbed the ladder, rounding off the year with a win over Wolves. With momentum on their side, the Reds will fancy their chances of taking all three points when they host bottom-placed Leeds United in the New Year clash at 11:00 PM. Leeds, however, arrive hoping to extend a four-match unbeaten run.

Current Standings: At present, Liverpool sits 4th in the points table with 32 points, while Leeds finds itself at the 16th position with 20 points. 

Head-to-Head Record: In the overall head-to-head battles, Liverpool holds a lead of 18-7 in 31 games with 6 draws.  

TEAMS PREVIEW

Liverpool FC Preview

What was expected to be a routine outing for Liverpool against bottom-placed Wolves turned into a nervy affair, but the Reds eventually prevailed 2–1. The night belonged to Florian Wirtz, Liverpool’s £100m-plus signing, who enjoyed his best league display yet — scoring his first Premier League goal after Gravenberch opened up the scoring 89 seconds earlier. Wirtz also created three key chances, though both he and Liverpool faded after the break, reflected in a drop in xG from 1.13 in the first half to 0.42 in the second.

Despite missing midfield general Dominik Szoboszlai through suspension, Slot’s side still did enough to claim all three points. The win also boosted Liverpool in the standings, lifting them to fourth place and three points clear of Chelsea after the Blues slipped up in their final fixture.

Stats that matter 

1. Writz found his first goal of the season after 21 attempts on goal ( seven on target).
2. Liverpool have won each of their last three Premier League games, earning more points (nine) than their previous 10 matches in the competition
3. The Reds have started of a New Year with a win only on three of their last 11 years. 

Team News 

Liverpool will be without injured quartet Alexander Isak, Stefan Bajcetic, Joe Gomez and Giovanni Leoni, while Wataru Endo remains a doubt due to fitness concerns. There is a boost, however, as Dominik Szoboszlai returns after serving his one-match suspension.

Liverpool Probable XI: Alisson (GK); Frimpong, Konate, Van Dijk, Robertson; Gravenberch, Jones; Szoboszlai, Mac Allister, Wirtz; Ekitike

Leeds United Preview

The Whites are enjoying a purple patch, going unbeaten in their last five matches and closing out the year with a 1–1 draw against Sunderland. Once again, Dominic Calvert-Lewin was the saviour, striking to cancel out an early first-half deficit and making it six consecutive Premier League appearances with a goal — a first in his Premier League career. 

More than the unbeaten run itself, the calibre of opponents stands out — wins over Chelsea (3–1) and Crystal Palace (4–1), plus a thrilling 3–3 draw against Liverpool at home. On that evidence, it’s fair to say the Whites head to Anfield ready for the challenge.

Stats that matter 

1. Leeds have won just one of their last six league games on New Year’s Day.
2. Only once in their last 16 matches have Leeds won against the reigning champions in the Premier League.
3. Leeds United have achieved one win in their last 10 away games. 

Team News 

Leeds United will be forced to cope without Sean Longstaff, Daniel James and Joe Rodon, all of whom are sidelined through injury.

Leeds United Probable XI: Roefs (GK); Hume, Mukiele, Ballard, Alderate, (Defenders); Geettruida, Xhaka, le Fee (Midfielders); Adingara, Rigg, Brobbey (Forwards). 

LIVERPOOL FC vs LEEDS UNITED
Winning Prediction

Despite boasting a dominant head-to-head record, Liverpool will be wary of an in-form Leeds side who rallied from 2–0 down to draw 3–3 in the last meeting, and even won 2–1 on their previous visit to Anfield in 2022. Still, with the Reds finding their rhythm and Leeds often slowing out of the blocks in the New Year, Liverpool are backed to claim the win. 

Liverpool to Win (2-1)

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