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CLAIM NOWCan City Bounce Back Against In-Form Liverpool?
Liverpool to Win (3-1)
Tournament: English Premier League 2024-25 | Venue: Anfield, Liverpool
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Liverpool, riding a 15-game unbeaten streak, will host a struggling Manchester City side at Anfield. The Reds, in top form, will look to exploit City's defensive vulnerabilities. Guardiola's side, plagued by recent losses, will need to significantly improve their performance to avoid a humiliating defeat.
Stats That Matter
Liverpool are ranked 14th in ball possession with 45.7% averaging 13.6 shots per game. The Hammers score an average of 1.25 goals per match with a shooting accuracy of 34%. Tomas Soucek and Jarrod Bowen are the top scorers with 3 goals each this season. The team has an average of 2.9 saves per game, the 12th best in the season. They have conceded an average of 1.58 goals per match.
Manchester City are ranked 10th in ball possession with 51.6% averaging 14.2 shots per game. The Gunners score an average of 1.75 goals per match with a shooting accuracy of 36%. Bukayo Saka and Kai Havertz are the top scorers with 4 goals each this season. Gabriel Martinelli has also scored 3 goals this season. The team has an average of 2.8 saves per game, the 15th best in the season. They have conceded an average of 1 goal per match.
Head to Head Record - Both teams have met each other in 182 games. Liverpool have won 83 games, Man City have won 49 games with 50 draws being played out.
Current Standings - Liverpool are first on the table with 31 points. Man City are in second with 23 points.
Liverpool finally ended their Real Madrid curse as they maintained their flawless Champions League record with a fully deserved victory in a thrilling encounter at Anfield. They had failed to beat the holders in eight previous meetings in the tournament – including two Champions League finals – but there was no denying Liverpool as head coach Arne Slot’s remarkable start in succession to Jurgen Klopp continues.
They did this on the back of a great comeback victory against struggling Southampton on the weekend. Arne Slot's Liverpool did what all teams with Premier League title aspirations have to do in this eventful win – survive a below-par performance to come away with a valuable victory. If the Reds do go on to record a win on Sunday it will open a 11 point gap, and an even bigger wound in Man City hearts.
Liverpool have won just one of their last nine Premier League games against Manchester City (D5 L3), a 1-0 home victory in October 2022. The away side has won just six of the 54 Premier League meetings between Liverpool and Manchester City, the lowest percentage of any fixture to be played more than 30 times in the competition (11%).
Liverpool’s only Premier League defeat so far this season was a 1-0 loss to Nottingham Forest at Anfield. They’ve won seven of their eight league games since then (D1), scoring at least twice in seven of those games. This will be Arne Slot’s first meeting with both Manchester City and their manager Pep Guardiola. None of Liverpool’s last six managers have lost their first ever league meeting with England’s reigning champions (W4 D2). As well as having the most goals and assists combined in the Premier League this season (16), Mohamed Salah’s goal involvements have also been worth a league-high 17 points to Liverpool this term.
Injury - Becker, Chiesa, Jota, Tsimikas, Konate and Bradley are ruled out.
Liverpool Probable Starting Lineup - Kelleher (GK), Trent, Quansah, Virgil, Robertson (DEF), MacAllister, Gravenberch, Jones, (MID) Diaz, Salah, Nunez (FWD).
Manchester City experienced their heaviest home defeat in any competition since 2013. This was the joint-biggest loss of Pep Guardiola's managerial career (fourth defeat by four goals), with the Spaniard now losing to Spurs more often than any other opponent (9). The stats do not stop there. This is the first time City have lost three successive Premier League games under the Spaniard. Guardiola had never previously lost a home league game by four goals in his managerial career.
This was the joint-biggest defeat for Guardiola as a manager. The Spurs fixture is City's heaviest defeat at Etihad Stadium. City are being hit on the counter-attach much more than during any other season under Guardiola. They have faced an average of 1.17 shots on the counter per game this season, as opposed to 0.66 two seasons ago. It clearly means they are struggling to cope with the absence of Rodri in midfield. In Premier League games with him in the team since the start of last season they have won 78% of games when he plays and 50% without him. On defeats it's even starker - 0% with him and 43% without him. Given Arne Slot's men are already eight points ahead, the gap could become 11 points by the time next weekend is over. Only once has a team had a bigger lead after 12 games -
Manchester City have won just one of their last 21 Premier League away games against Liverpool (D7 L13), beating them 4-1 in February 2021. They’ve not won at Anfield with fans in attendance since May 2003 (2-1). Manchester City have won five of their last six Premier League games against sides starting the day top of the table (D1). Manchester City have lost their last three Premier League games, as many as they had in their previous 47 combined (W35 D9). In his managerial career, Man City’s Pep Guardiola has only lost more games against Tottenham (9) than he has against Liverpool (8). Indeed, he’s won just six of his 22 meetings with the Reds (27%), his lowest win rate against any side he’s faced more than five times in all competitions.
Three of Ilkay Gündogan’s four Premier League goals against Liverpool have come at Anfield, with no Man City player scoring more away against the Reds in the competition’s history (Nicolas Anelka also three). His next appearance will be his 200th in the Premier League, while if Man City win here, he would be the third player to win as many as 150 of his first 200 appearances in the competition (currently 149 – Bernardo Silva won 153 and Ederson 151 of first 200).
Injury - Bobb, Rodri, Dias, Doku and Kovacic are all ruled out.
Man city Probable Starting Line Up : Ederson (GK), Lewis, Ake, Akanji, Gvardiol (DEF), Nunes, Silva, Foden, Grealish, Gundogan (MID) Haaland (FWD).
Liverpool are dominating, while Manchester City are struggling to find their footing. The Reds are brimming with confidence, whereas City seem lost, particularly in defense. The absence of their key defensive midfielder has clearly affected their performance. Arne Slot could be having one of the best weeks of his managerial career. Few managers have the opportunity to defeat both Manchester City and Real Madrid within four days.
Liverpool to Win (3-1)
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